Realized P&L
-$73
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
65.5%
Resolved
62
Trades
98
lifetime
Volume
$1.93K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$168
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-16 17:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
37% 44% -$18
Crypto
30% 75% -$45
Politics
28% 65% -$21
Sports
5% 62% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -60 -$56 95¢ $-57 -$1 07-29 14:18
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -30 -$24 99¢ $-29 -$5 09-08 02:10
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -24 -$20 94¢ $-22 -$2 09-08 02:09
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -22 -$22 98¢ $-22 +$0 10-16 17:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -38 -$18 38¢ $-15 +$3 10-16 17:01
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-11 $0 09-16 12:04
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-7 -$1 06-16 17:00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -5 -$5 97¢ $-5 $0 06-16 17:01