Squiggly-Churn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$757

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-25 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

96% 73% +$44

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	9	$90	190	70	+120	No	-$42	05-13 02:16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$74	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	05-08 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$50	06-25 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$43	100	0	+100	Yes	+$57	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$41	100	0	+100	No	-$41	06-04 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$41	100	0	+100	Yes	+$59	06-04 05:08
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$41	120	0	+120	No	-$41	05-13 02:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$40	100	0	+100	No	-$40	05-18 00:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$39	100	0	+100	No	-$39	05-18 00:37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$24	100	0	+100	No	-$24	06-25 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$21	120	0	+120	Yes	+$99	05-13 02:17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$19	200	80	+120	No	-$8	05-13 02:16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$18	100	0	+100	No	-$18	06-25 07:00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$15	100	0	+100	No	-$15	05-25 02:20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$14	100	0	+100	Yes	+$86	05-18 00:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$14	25	25	+0	No	+$3	05-08 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	04-27 03:47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	7	$10	180	80	+100	No	-$5	05-18 00:38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	06-04 05:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-07 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$5	50	50	+0	No	-$2	05-08 06:49
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 03:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-25 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:58
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 1?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-10 02:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	04-30 00:52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on June 1?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-01 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 07:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xbeda39…
06-25 07:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x27442d…
06-25 07:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x11494c…
06-04 05:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc14350…
06-04 05:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x88b442…
06-04 05:08:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x3f5648…
06-01 01:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x26d5be…
06-01 01:15:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on June 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x840795…
06-01 01:13:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x877438…
06-01 01:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x595c41…
06-01 00:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 1?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0f30f0…
05-25 07:14:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 25?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1cb9ed…
05-25 07:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe53c62…
05-25 07:13:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 25?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4e10e2…
05-25 07:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 25?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xacca0f…
05-25 07:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x13c29c…
05-25 02:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xa40eae…
05-25 02:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6c75fc…
05-25 02:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x0f7abb…
05-19 04:32:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x95e459…
05-18 00:38:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0x1a5216…
05-18 00:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xfe9584…
05-18 00:36:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x48a51d…
05-18 00:35:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc1c3a6…
05-18 00:34:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x36d051…
05-18 00:31:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x05ff25…
05-18 00:30:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x7f5f88…
05-18 00:28:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x6a979d…
05-18 00:28:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0xd7068b…
05-18 00:28:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0x1ab8a9…
05-18 00:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf8f1f9…
05-18 00:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xd1282a…
05-18 00:25:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x8ef0fc…
05-18 00:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0xd6057b…
05-18 00:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x286a40…
05-18 00:25:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0xd5ca8c…
05-18 00:25:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xba4cd2…
05-13 02:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xcd8ef4…
05-13 02:17:38	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x944bdd…
05-13 02:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xf8432e…
05-13 02:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x80b02e…
05-13 02:16:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$5	0x80d452…
05-13 02:16:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	34¢	$24	0x616277…
05-13 02:15:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$5	0x092bc7…
05-13 02:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	35¢	$24	0x9cd78d…
05-13 02:14:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x62fe33…
05-13 02:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0x91a8f8…
05-13 02:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x748559…
05-13 02:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x59a2c8…
05-13 02:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$2	0x97b573…
05-13 02:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x04a4b6…
05-13 02:14:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x9b35fa…
05-13 02:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x81c570…
05-13 02:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x253b7f…
05-13 02:13:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xad2363…
05-13 02:13:44	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x246f1a…
05-13 02:13:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	34¢	$41	0xe6143d…
05-10 03:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf1f710…
05-10 03:22:13	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ae9b7…
05-10 03:02:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x34558c…
05-10 02:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfb5024…
05-10 02:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1446dd…
05-08 06:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xb8a06d…
05-08 06:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0xd063c8…
05-08 06:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xbbedc8…
05-08 06:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x120ce7…
05-08 06:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x8d719e…
05-08 06:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x552e60…
05-08 05:31:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb06bf0…
05-08 05:30:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6678e9…
05-08 05:29:13	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfb9bce…
05-08 05:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb934e1…
05-07 01:29:01	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x60ee6d…
05-07 01:28:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1d9581…
05-07 01:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39e77d…
05-07 01:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x81ba16…
05-07 01:23:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xa92ecb…
05-07 01:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b8c3c…
05-07 01:18:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xea0da1…
04-30 00:54:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63d2bd…
04-30 00:53:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x46de42…
04-30 00:52:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xd0edd2…
04-30 00:51:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7a3888…
04-30 00:51:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on April 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x952481…
04-29 01:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01882b…
04-29 01:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 29?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2be0c…
04-29 00:53:52	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdbcc20…
04-29 00:46:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0abb24…
04-29 00:42:24	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x4308b8…
04-27 03:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x10bd93…
04-27 03:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc05145…