Squiggly-Churn — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

10 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$70

$70 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-10 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

96% 75% +$16

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	No	+4	$4	100¢	$4	$-0	05-10 03:02
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	+4	$4	100¢	$4	$-0	05-10 03:24
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	+2	$2	100¢	$2	$-0	05-10 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$35	50	0	+50	Yes	+$15	05-08 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$14	25	25	+0	No	+$3	05-08 06:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$5	50	50	+0	No	$-2	05-08 06:49
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-10 03:02
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-10 03:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-07 01:28
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 8?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-08 05:30
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-10 03:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 03:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf1f710…
05-10 03:22:13	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2ae9b7…
05-10 03:02:37	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x34558c…
05-08 06:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0xd063c8…
05-08 06:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xbbedc8…
05-08 06:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x120ce7…
05-08 06:08:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x8d719e…
05-08 06:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x552e60…
05-08 05:30:08	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6678e9…
05-07 01:28:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1d9581…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	3	$8.60K	171	05-08 08:59
Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676	3	$3.76K	5	05-08 14:15
Compassionate-Hardware 0xb4e9…f380	3	$2.67K	5	05-08 06:55
Far-Acid 0xf6e6…e0bb	3	$2.22K	12	05-08 13:39
Serpentine-Maggot 0x6964…ef53	3	$1.84K	10	05-08 14:24
Hospitable-Maestro 0x2061…8ec9	3	$1.62K	3	05-08 06:55
Salty-Geometry 0xbac4…1ab2	3	$1.60K	5	05-08 05:29
Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d	3	$1.48K	241	05-06 09:21