Livid-Upgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$502

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-07 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

61% 29% +$3

Sports

24% 67% $-6

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Karrigan retire by June 30?	Yes		+89	$4	2¢	$1	$-3	06-07 03:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	2	$54	41	41	+0	Division One	+$28	05-04 23:07
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	8	$44	257	234	+23	open	—	05-04 01:13
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$38	23	23	+0	Team Vitality	+$8	05-04 18:50
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$36	95	0	+95	Yaroslav Amosov	$-36	05-09 11:49
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	4	$35	41	41	+0	open	—	05-04 02:01
btc updown 5m 1776645000	3	$30	22	21	+1	open	—	04-20 00:35
btc updown 5m 1776645600	3	$20	18	10	+8	open	—	04-20 00:45
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	2	$20	20	20	+0	Over	$-0	05-04 23:12
Games Total: O/U 3.5	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 21:23
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	1	$15	29	0	+29	Over	+$14	05-04 23:12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	1	$15	21	0	+21	Miami Marlins	+$6	05-07 23:58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 21:22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 21:22
btc updown 5m 1776645300	3	$10	55	0	+55	open	—	04-20 00:39
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$10	15	0	+15	Heroic	$-10	05-06 13:25
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winner	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-04 17:02
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	2	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	05-03 23:10
btc updown 5m 1776646200	5	$8	40	40	+0	open	—	04-20 00:53
Counter-Strike: Players vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	1	$8	80	0	+80	Players	$-8	05-04 18:59
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	1	$8	16	0	+16	Tampa Bay Rays	+$8	05-07 23:54
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 3 Winner	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 17:04
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 01:12
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 01:12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$7	58	0	+58	Team Falcons	$-7	05-08 00:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 00:57
76ers vs. Knicks	1	$6	8	0	+8	Knicks	+$2	05-04 23:19
cs2 mibra uno 2026 04 19	3	$6	5	2	+3	open	—	04-20 01:46
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	1	$5	64	0	+64	open	—	05-22 01:16
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 4 Winner	1	$5	500	0	+500	Shopify Rebellion Black	$-5	05-08 00:00
Games Total: O/U 4.5	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-03 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 03:04:22	Will Karrigan retire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	89	5¢	$4	0x9ca059…
05-22 01:16:08	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xccfe12…
05-09 11:49:27	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Joel Álvarez	BUY	95	38¢	$36	0x2e3b15…
05-08 00:04:59	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	K27	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xf860d0…
05-08 00:00:59	Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 4 Winner	M80	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfcc76c…
05-07 23:58:13	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x073d84…
05-07 23:54:34	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x139ec0…
05-06 16:38:44	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	K27	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x2c3413…
05-06 13:26:16	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xb89afe…
05-06 13:25:34	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5283df…
05-04 23:19:42	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x9efafb…
05-04 23:12:50	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x7de7c9…
05-04 23:12:36	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x4a3022…
05-04 23:12:28	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x883a26…
05-04 23:07:38	Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	Division One	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x811802…
05-04 18:59:44	Counter-Strike: Players vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	FURIA fe	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x9288af…
05-04 18:50:50	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xaa5f13…
05-04 17:11:38	Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	Division One	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0xecc75c…
05-04 17:04:32	Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 3 Winner	Misa Esports	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x49f3e1…
05-04 17:02:54	Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winner	Mandatory	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xa0bb9e…
05-04 17:01:14	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x7f4401…
05-04 02:01:26	Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Voca	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xb147f5…
05-04 02:01:18	Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Voca	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa36fa5…
05-04 02:01:14	Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Voca	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x4ebaf1…
05-04 01:36:56	Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Voca	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0xd818c2…
05-04 01:13:00	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x826b55…
05-04 01:12:50	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	56	4¢	$2	0xbec814…
05-04 01:12:42	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0x57ad87…
05-04 01:12:32	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	94	4¢	$3	0x291637…
05-04 01:12:20	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3818e9…
05-04 01:12:16	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe44097…
05-04 01:10:20	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner	Team Envy	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xd29498…
05-04 01:07:06	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	G2 Esports	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xa6a0e8…
05-04 00:58:16	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0x3ae831…
05-04 00:57:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x95dbbb…
05-04 00:40:14	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	89	8¢	$7	0x3610e8…
05-04 00:35:10	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner	Team Envy	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3fcfec…
05-04 00:34:10	Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x1a26cc…
05-03 23:10:44	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf12981…
05-03 22:34:08	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xebad80…
05-03 21:31:10	Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xacaac2…
05-03 21:23:02	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd24cd7…
05-03 21:22:52	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3a8753…
05-03 21:22:46	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x560709…
05-03 19:28:58	LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xdaf437…
05-03 19:26:06	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5c64c8…
05-03 19:25:44	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xca01fe…
05-03 17:31:36	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x47ae96…
05-03 14:31:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3c67ad…
05-03 14:29:14	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x331bd7…
05-03 14:23:42	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x87f228…
05-03 14:22:44	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x375e3f…
05-03 14:03:54	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x7beba1…
05-03 14:03:14	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9a6cb4…
05-03 14:02:32	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2f08bf…
04-20 01:46:08	cs2 mibra uno 2026 04 19	UNO MILLE	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6aef6a…
04-20 01:10:34	cs2 mibra uno 2026 04 19	UNO MILLE	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbbe117…
04-20 01:03:50	cs2 mibra uno 2026 04 19	MIBR Academy	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xe7a80b…
04-20 00:53:54	btc updown 5m 1776646200	Down	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x67dbdb…
04-20 00:51:50	btc updown 5m 1776646200	Down	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0xaf140b…
04-20 00:51:50	btc updown 5m 1776646200	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x65001b…
04-20 00:51:50	btc updown 5m 1776646200	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x50d6d6…
04-20 00:51:50	btc updown 5m 1776646200	Down	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x1cfe9e…
04-20 00:46:40	btc updown 5m 1776645900	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb554ef…
04-20 00:46:40	btc updown 5m 1776645900	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8bdca4…
04-20 00:45:34	btc updown 5m 1776645600	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2cb981…
04-20 00:43:02	btc updown 5m 1776645600	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc1d56b…
04-20 00:40:38	btc updown 5m 1776645600	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8ef43d…
04-20 00:39:18	btc updown 5m 1776645300	Up	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0xdfaa80…
04-20 00:39:18	btc updown 5m 1776645300	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x8644d6…
04-20 00:36:12	btc updown 5m 1776645300	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x8a737e…
04-20 00:35:12	btc updown 5m 1776645000	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x770e7c…
04-20 00:33:12	btc updown 5m 1776645000	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x12ba20…
04-20 00:30:36	btc updown 5m 1776645000	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x627ad0…
04-20 00:29:02	will valve add cache to the map pool by april 30 2026	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6ada71…