Runny-Testimony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$417

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-28 07:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-0

Politics

28% — —

Crypto

24% 100% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	12	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 07:40
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	8	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	01-28 09:44
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	01-26 09:33
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 06:17
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	5	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	01-05 03:17
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-12 08:20
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 07:12
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-24 07:02
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 06:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 04:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 02:10
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 04:00
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 02:33
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:57
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 08:33
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-27 04:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:44
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 07:06
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-04 03:33
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 02:32
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-28 09:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	07-06 07:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 03:47
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 03:17
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:33
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 03:24
highest temperature in chicago on april 2 2026 48forhigher	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 03:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 06:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:19:48	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x247b52…
07-28 07:17:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcdd32a…
07-28 07:09:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xad7204…
07-28 06:53:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcbc568…
07-27 06:19:34	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x89c6aa…
07-27 04:46:24	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x97f4d7…
07-27 04:26:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf64c11…
07-27 04:22:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2072e6…
07-25 07:23:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb37d94…
07-25 07:16:25	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa9bec0…
07-25 07:10:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x40b660…
07-25 07:00:24	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d1cca…
07-24 07:15:36	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4ed38a…
07-24 07:08:04	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf2dc8c…
07-24 07:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x73844e…
07-24 06:56:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x016a11…
07-23 07:12:24	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8b54c2…
07-23 07:01:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c542a…
07-23 06:58:04	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1194ab…
07-23 06:44:24	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x734f59…
07-22 06:43:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbab521…
07-22 06:30:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0d8bee…
07-21 06:16:07	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x24c636…
07-21 06:11:36	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6cd02…
07-21 06:06:04	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb914d6…
07-21 03:48:15	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x480d62…
07-20 07:16:45	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcda974…
07-20 07:09:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa52d6f…
07-20 07:06:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x82202e…
07-20 07:01:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x48f292…
07-18 07:04:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x634307…
07-18 06:59:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x15a638…
07-18 06:57:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x97a091…
07-18 06:51:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f429b…
07-16 07:07:50	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xc7d84d…
07-16 06:50:38	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7a30a3…
07-16 06:42:17	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xac5b67…
07-16 06:33:50	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x858f11…
07-15 06:22:14	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x52cd26…
07-15 06:14:19	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2429ce…
07-14 06:44:55	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x771431…
07-14 06:38:28	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e84b9…
07-13 07:09:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x796075…
07-13 07:01:20	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78d2c7…
07-11 07:06:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x59d648…
07-11 07:01:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5b3f0b…
07-11 06:55:37	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd4ec90…
07-11 06:45:58	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbfce05…
07-10 07:24:29	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8dd07e…
07-10 07:07:49	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa95258…
07-10 07:02:47	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x219be6…
07-10 06:59:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc58d31…
07-09 06:29:01	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x135ca2…
07-09 06:20:28	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3672bb…
07-08 06:43:16	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x765b07…
07-08 06:26:47	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2be462…
07-08 06:07:13	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x32fbba…
07-08 04:24:40	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x25d2f7…
07-07 06:55:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x446441…
07-07 06:49:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc6b0bf…
07-06 07:22:47	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x0f09cd…
07-06 07:11:43	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd56d2c…
07-06 07:06:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd5e5f9…
07-06 06:38:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3942c0…
07-06 06:30:41	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x6a3c17…
07-06 06:17:19	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6cb6d8…
07-04 06:30:14	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x03b282…
07-04 06:17:44	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0c5aa4…
07-03 03:49:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x56d581…
07-03 03:38:02	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b64de…
07-03 03:37:40	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5c16d4…
07-03 03:35:11	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57a1cf…
07-02 03:45:52	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1c5ec6…
07-02 03:43:31	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7d6ef5…
07-01 03:34:44	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x488d35…
07-01 03:20:58	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe3ab50…
06-30 04:34:47	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x867dda…
06-30 03:53:23	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5b9c67…
06-30 03:53:10	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf1bf32…
06-30 03:49:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x974745…
06-29 07:10:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe6d680…
06-29 07:03:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2b0e83…
06-29 06:59:32	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa906d7…
06-29 06:57:29	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac524a…
06-27 06:30:02	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe1286c…
06-27 04:12:38	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x40110f…
06-27 04:12:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x278cf4…
06-27 03:43:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x948590…
06-25 06:20:53	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeb4b90…
06-25 04:57:07	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15ccf2…
06-25 04:56:37	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3d0019…
06-25 04:52:11	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x341dcc…
06-24 07:02:35	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x69b882…
06-24 06:48:17	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc54ea7…
06-23 04:33:41	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf00fa…
06-23 04:19:16	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa62a6f…
06-23 04:18:47	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x71b8c4…
06-23 03:53:58	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x70e4b4…
06-22 06:11:56	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x95d42b…
06-22 04:19:44	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6b74dd…