Afraid-Upward — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,512

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-09 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-10 22:37
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:31
spl ett qad 2026 04 05 spread away 1pt5	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 20:05
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:09
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-27 17:22
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:21
es2 gra leo 2026 04 12 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 14:04
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54
cbb mcnst sfaus 2026 03 11 spread away 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-11 23:24
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 02:15
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-14 15:08
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 18:57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:24:04	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x477389…
06-09 00:21:16	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8774e1…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426f36…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07e1c3…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0858e…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc56309…
06-07 20:25:27	Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	Hamilton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7cda1…
06-07 18:11:22	itf urgesi mazzola 2026 06 07	Federica Urgesi	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97ceb6…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6332e4…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe77b09…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d1e2a…
06-06 22:08:30	mlb oak hou 2026 06 06 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe809f6…
06-06 19:00:01	cs2 ntr am 2026 06 06 game2	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x644a60…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6d892…
06-06 11:32:36	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f50c9…
06-06 11:32:36	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78b067…
06-05 15:45:21	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbec3d…
06-05 01:53:15	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8760db…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39aac8…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d3a32…
06-03 11:31:46	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13380c…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b9b5…
06-03 04:48:09	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa19099…
06-03 04:45:07	Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ca019…
06-03 00:47:04	Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner	QoR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x317fc1…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c682e…
06-02 15:24:35	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45b677…
06-02 12:22:24	Svitolina vs. Kostyuk: Match O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66f88c…
06-02 01:04:52	Frances Tiafoe vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1907c8…
06-01 23:52:41	Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bfda5…
06-01 14:42:50	Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa88eff…
06-01 14:41:36	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a0b86…
06-01 09:05:55	Spread: Athletics (-1.5)	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x509910…
06-01 07:21:41	Counter-Strike: CarritoSpain vs The Last Resort (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage	The Last Resort	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x831cc3…
06-01 06:23:02	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19aaad…
06-01 04:41:12	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x99740f…
06-01 04:11:26	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d7dbb…
06-01 01:07:48	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x03fe8e…
05-31 21:13:47	Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5	Over 4.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x955ef8…
05-31 17:33:03	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38a697…
05-31 15:36:44	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4d99e…
05-31 15:26:44	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55e0d1…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c098d…
05-31 04:46:02	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbfafa…
05-30 19:22:09	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78449f…
05-30 14:25:12	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e2a35…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe4f70…
05-30 12:22:28	Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2707b…
05-30 12:10:50	Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Jovic (+1.5)	Jovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22cd31…
05-30 05:31:48	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc36908…
05-30 04:48:07	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x123a8f…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92cfcb…
05-29 21:58:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86fa90…
05-29 21:20:45	Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)	Paul	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c2bb9…
05-29 21:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b5553…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62749a…
05-29 19:08:06	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54a48e…
05-29 17:27:43	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63ec87…
05-29 13:57:03	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84e8aa…
05-28 17:33:00	Hurkacz vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x700395…
05-28 16:52:17	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd2ae6…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7f4a0…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7945d2…
05-27 17:22:24	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x279ed3…
05-27 14:22:00	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x026add…
05-27 09:47:07	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9696b…
05-27 00:06:56	Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1efc9…
05-26 21:29:21	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36a891…
05-26 20:00:22	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x775973…
05-26 17:35:39	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner	Virtus.pro	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x897f47…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c9bf6…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3508ab…
05-26 09:00:53	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5301c…
05-25 14:10:42	Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeae75c…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x020c40…
05-25 04:48:20	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba488e…
05-25 01:24:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7d3cd…
05-25 00:39:33	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17c2a5…
05-24 20:23:37	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36998c…
05-24 19:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb54971…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac5d94…
05-24 17:22:10	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x71b175…
05-24 16:02:43	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4d1249…
05-24 16:02:41	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5486dd…
05-24 16:02:41	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e1ed9…
05-24 15:29:58	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x199a94…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1b547…
05-24 03:08:03	Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95d200…
05-23 23:12:26	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d6491…
05-23 21:01:38	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)	Levante UD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f4486…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5c460…
05-23 14:29:04	ITF Bol: Andrey Chepelev vs Noa Vukadin	Noa Vukadin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x772f0b…
05-23 01:24:50	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04ad88…
05-22 11:51:16	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a2701…
05-22 03:36:04	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x307cfa…
05-21 20:15:45	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-4.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89abfe…
05-21 20:07:47	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf88016…
05-21 14:24:57	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x167de1…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd2f77…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd66d8a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Ironclad-Meme 0x0549…04a7	747	$3.82K	769	06-09 17:38
Past-Initialise 0x51b5…1b70	744	$3.79K	763	06-09 17:38
Bubbly-Spice 0xca65…7c6b	735	$37.5K	787	06-08 22:09
Impassioned-Complicity 0x996d…12e7	733	$7.50K	756	06-09 00:21
Black-And-White-Plowman 0x0201…c893	730	$3.74K	754	06-09 00:21
Submissive-Plan 0xe1db…4119	729	$7.44K	756	06-08 21:37
Aromatic-Copywriter 0x4678…1350	729	$3.73K	750	06-09 17:24
Frozen-Jewelry 0x4c9c…46b5	729	$3.72K	748	06-08 21:37