Afraid-Upward — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

2,255

Trades

2,331

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$19

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
spl ett qad 2026 04 05 spread away 1pt5	2	$20	20	0	+20	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	+$0	04-05 20:05
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 01:02
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-10 22:37
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:36
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 06:09
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:31
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c6e06…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55a84c…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31af2e…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0b19b…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a82ec…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1be51…
10-20 18:37:44	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41d7cd…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1934e…
10-15 20:32:36	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ab42b…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d6957…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea3972…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8e851…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6322d0…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d2d48…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x192a80…
10-13 14:15:19	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc66595…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1007a3…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc01e3…
10-12 09:01:40	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa4352…
10-12 09:01:39	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ad3a5…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e5029…
10-11 10:49:50	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6aa905…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b108…
10-10 12:54:21	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa909c6…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6dcf5…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x353a90…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24d4ec…
10-08 19:13:21	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fb206…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x088a49…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a2bf…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1615d8…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35d634…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5c7fc…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x348497…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x611d84…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9e9c1…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4ac81a…
10-03 14:50:29	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e9c50…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e0c28…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x421687…
10-02 14:15:30	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34ec8e…
10-02 14:13:26	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7b045…
10-01 22:20:05	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12090a…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a646c…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x66940f…
10-01 12:04:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdaeb0…
10-01 11:30:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x99fdd6…
10-01 07:27:03	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7461bd…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd78ba6…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab2cdb…
10-01 04:48:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x598e7c…
09-30 23:54:45	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5898a…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3edc0…
09-30 01:58:15	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73cae7…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x444b3f…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa3db5…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa03384…
09-28 17:14:17	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46c158…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10d6c9…
09-27 20:16:14	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6674f5…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9094e0…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e525d…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0626a…
09-27 00:22:12	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b2796…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf5de1…
09-26 20:01:36	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc49be1…
09-26 19:53:27	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf8f8e…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x117e7e…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x995f64…
09-25 10:16:33	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x995684…
09-24 21:35:09	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x053e08…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x820b61…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafea11…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7ba0e…
09-23 16:19:30	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x063c21…
09-23 04:45:16	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff1c07…
09-21 19:09:03	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f622f…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x421c54…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ddebf…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1004d…
09-20 19:43:13	Islanders vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c8929…
09-20 12:44:51	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x911054…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x730408…
09-20 01:26:42	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91b4cc…
09-20 00:02:51	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffdd63…
09-19 15:39:35	lol kor usa 2026 09 19	South Korea	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d01ce…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc32c58…
09-17 19:33:09	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d75c5…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30d5b6…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x766113…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa14ba3…
09-17 00:30:52	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x408591…
09-16 21:19:13	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd2491…
09-16 12:05:13	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b736e…
09-16 10:23:10	M25 Zlatibor: Veljko Krstic vs Henry Best	Veljko Krstic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf55967…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe573e7…
09-15 17:49:28	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe22d2a…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1260d…
09-14 10:07:30	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x481b4d…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84cb50…