Corny-Spread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.2%

Resolved

Trades

4,393

lifetime

Volume

$158.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 08-09 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

70% 0% $-121

Other

26% 0% $-1,723

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% 50% $-36

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	103	$16.8K	9,663	10,063	-400	open	—	04-21 20:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	95	$12.8K	6,576	6,735	-159	open	—	05-23 04:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	104	$9.2K	6,543	6,843	-300	open	—	04-05 20:46
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	165	$5.9K	7,420	8,010	-591	open	—	05-28 02:52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	25	$4.1K	2,192	2,261	-69	open	—	04-27 12:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	31	$3.7K	2,535	2,535	+0	open	—	04-25 15:54
Trump out as President by April 30?	767	$3.6K	119,982	130,114	-10,132	open	—	04-07 12:53
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	111	$3.4K	10,221	8,694	+1,527	open	—	06-15 12:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	243	$3.1K	22,702	22,051	+652	open	—	06-14 18:32
James Comey arrested by May 15?	27	$2.9K	1,545	1,801	-256	open	—	04-29 13:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	79	$2.9K	2,140	2,182	-43	open	—	06-14 07:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	61	$2.9K	4,252	4,252	+0	open	—	05-30 03:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	38	$2.9K	4,056	3,963	+93	open	—	05-31 16:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	28	$2.8K	1,444	1,644	-200	open	—	05-28 21:12
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	69	$2.6K	5,074	5,480	-406	open	—	06-24 18:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	76	$2.5K	6,119	6,119	-0	open	—	07-24 09:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	40	$2.5K	1,325	1,575	-249	open	—	06-01 16:21
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	7	$2.3K	1,153	1,153	+0	open	—	05-21 04:22
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	13	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-22 14:42
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	8	$1.6K	829	828	+1	open	—	04-21 13:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$1.5K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	05-19 18:36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	15	$1.4K	815	815	+0	open	—	05-30 01:02
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	105	$1.4K	7,577	3,936	+3,642	open	—	04-14 23:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	4	$1.4K	691	691	+0	open	—	04-21 04:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	15	$1.4K	594	921	-327	open	—	06-14 06:26
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	23	$1.4K	1,240	765	+475	open	—	06-15 13:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	9	$1.3K	987	1,087	-100	open	—	06-14 21:42
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	28	$1.3K	1,307	1,307	+0	open	—	06-24 17:39
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	9	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-19 23:52
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	20	$1.3K	707	639	+68	open	—	04-24 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 04:37:49	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xfb7110…
08-09 04:15:16	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x23e7ac…
08-09 02:38:45	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long 20260807064756494	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x115106…
08-08 08:59:39	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x93440e…
08-08 02:04:09	mlb laa mia 2026 08 07	Los Angeles Angels	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x0e6c15…
08-08 02:01:31	mlb laa mia 2026 08 07	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x446a82…
08-07 20:44:40	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x0d1e12…
08-07 19:24:09	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x93c086…
08-07 17:51:45	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x26ae0f…
08-07 17:33:28	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x134a9e…
07-25 05:34:10	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	136	9¢	$12	0xf66a50…
07-24 09:59:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	562	29¢	$163	0xea3de3…
07-23 23:15:03	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	90	48¢	$43	0x7fb2e6…
07-23 20:57:00	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	90	50¢	$45	0x6084c4…
07-22 18:11:01	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	SELL	408	16¢	$67	0x321c9b…
07-22 04:10:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	188	27¢	$51	0x2dc645…
07-21 23:24:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	750	28¢	$210	0x62cb8d…
07-21 22:22:51	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0xd5eacf…
07-21 20:40:58	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe9d420…
07-21 18:45:16	andrew tate extradited to uk by sep 30 20260719022813213	Yes	BUY	499	12¢	$60	0x15f40d…
07-21 11:12:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	75	21¢	$16	0xac4adb…
07-20 21:19:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	79	24¢	$19	0x83df0d…
07-20 20:09:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	71	24¢	$17	0xa93eb1…
07-20 14:36:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0x974e6e…
07-20 03:54:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	261	19¢	$50	0x29debf…
07-20 03:08:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0x1848f7…
07-19 21:01:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	300	23¢	$68	0xc1d815…
07-19 05:58:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xb6fed0…
07-19 05:58:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	599	19¢	$114	0x2b0aef…
07-19 02:26:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	672	28¢	$191	0xb294ef…
07-19 02:26:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	754	19¢	$143	0x2ec71e…
07-19 02:22:40	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Kamaru Usman	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe2d728…
07-19 02:03:04	ufc jar chr20 2026 07 18	Jared Cannonier	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x27b9a2…
07-19 01:59:19	ufc jar chr20 2026 07 18 go the distance	No	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0xa9842a…
07-19 01:50:09	ufc jar chr20 2026 07 18 go the distance	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x41c1d6…
07-19 00:27:55	ufc alb10 tom15 2026 07 18	Alberto Montes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf8f936…
07-19 00:13:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x4c3322…
07-18 23:49:39	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0xf7ec31…
07-18 23:41:31	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x764f6c…
07-18 23:18:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	378	30¢	$113	0x2819e5…
07-18 20:20:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x79ae84…
07-18 14:00:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	310	29¢	$90	0xb693e1…
07-18 13:59:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	487	19¢	$93	0xb02b7f…
07-18 11:27:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x59a931…
07-18 10:20:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x83a7bd…
07-18 08:40:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x597ddb…
07-18 08:19:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x1373db…
07-18 08:19:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	572	19¢	$109	0x0efe52…
07-18 06:46:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	440	27¢	$119	0xd6014f…
07-18 01:03:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x892862…
07-18 01:02:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0x55ff8e…
07-18 01:01:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	230	22¢	$52	0xaf0de3…
07-18 00:37:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x09927e…
07-18 00:25:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	230	25¢	$58	0x3c5c5a…
07-17 23:08:24	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x59d5c2…
07-17 22:31:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	170	28¢	$48	0x08afe1…
07-17 21:46:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x21ad1e…
07-17 21:37:22	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	SELL	168	31¢	$52	0x4241dc…
07-17 21:37:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	540	18¢	$97	0xb89fbf…
07-17 21:35:10	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0x71cf4a…
07-17 21:26:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	324	27¢	$87	0x2acf64…
07-17 17:13:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	53	22¢	$12	0x47fba7…
07-17 15:21:04	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	120	24¢	$29	0x23da75…
07-17 15:08:19	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	80	24¢	$19	0x680ea1…
07-17 14:57:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	311	17¢	$53	0x28cd6f…
07-17 10:46:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	202	23¢	$47	0x5fb467…
07-17 10:42:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xa3c24e…
07-17 10:22:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	219	23¢	$50	0xefb8af…
07-17 10:18:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x3c5f81…
07-17 10:18:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xe3c79b…
07-17 05:32:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	220	22¢	$48	0x5713f6…
07-17 04:59:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	311	17¢	$54	0xa5b8ea…
07-17 00:22:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	430	23¢	$99	0x05847e…
07-16 22:42:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	460	22¢	$101	0x024939…
07-16 19:00:08	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0e4f74…
07-16 17:40:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	605	16¢	$97	0xc3aa44…
07-16 17:39:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x26add8…
07-16 17:36:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x66f2fd…
07-16 17:18:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x5692a4…
07-13 08:17:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	119	16¢	$19	0x254994…
07-12 02:58:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0x0eb917…
07-12 02:55:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb014fb…
07-12 02:45:17	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Cory Sandhagen	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xba8023…
07-12 02:38:11	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	292	10¢	$29	0xb441de…
07-11 22:46:11	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	292	13¢	$38	0x550526…
07-11 22:44:47	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	250	16¢	$39	0x14ecc9…
07-11 08:42:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	923	12¢	$111	0x7fdb16…
07-10 04:34:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	308	16¢	$49	0x348893…
07-09 23:10:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x00d0ab…
07-09 13:53:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	288	17¢	$49	0x77b186…
07-09 13:03:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	118	8¢	$9	0x81baf7…
07-09 13:00:55	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	SELL	537	8¢	$40	0x8494ee…
07-09 03:20:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3421d5…
07-09 03:05:29	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$6	0xb6e4e2…
07-09 02:05:58	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	Yes	BUY	147	6¢	$10	0xcace56…
07-09 01:53:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	141	16¢	$23	0xf0a5d0…
07-09 01:48:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0x2fa68a…
07-09 01:28:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf5519c…
07-09 00:42:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	592	14¢	$83	0xc89174…
07-09 00:36:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x3f630d…