Distorted-Finding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,182

Trades

2,269

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$8

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:26
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 23:30
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:47
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-10 22:21
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:12
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 06:09
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-05 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f5b37…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x812534…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabdee0…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe34ff2…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1db705…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3b2b9…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x194e86…
10-20 18:39:56	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba1c44…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a83d9…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbf5c8d…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2070c1…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe5bef…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08d68a…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x545675…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe30217…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb43053…
10-13 14:15:19	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fb09a…
10-13 01:33:57	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6baed…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0428f…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb76a8…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6907e…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f01da…
10-09 02:10:02	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadd77c…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdc469d…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0ceee…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x998510…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafe0be…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1701c…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3a92e…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8eb52e…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x27ec7a…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230ace…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7c7e8…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06929d…
10-02 14:15:36	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf89c1e…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x478dfa…
10-01 22:23:56	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb26f22…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55cc3a…
10-01 20:36:08	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x123bcb…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1be209…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dd4eb…
10-01 11:29:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x06718d…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e0ece…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a8b8…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59598a…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5c09d…
09-29 13:58:57	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96b816…
09-29 13:20:14	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe15a7b…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19a233…
09-27 20:41:57	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cdd3a…
09-27 20:12:32	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b1193…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x533a64…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x003b56…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1fb68…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bc7b8…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8943c…
09-26 19:48:45	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2783c…
09-26 16:16:14	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60fe9c…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf87938…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5a5b3…
09-25 10:13:02	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1467a2…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf6f6f…
09-24 09:44:56	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2aeda6…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84e988…
09-23 16:19:43	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3d47d…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a0c20…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe22bca…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde8403…
09-21 13:01:30	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x39dd3e…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aa21f…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32dcf8…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f68ef…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9da1b5…
09-20 09:13:46	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaad3d8…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a57d…
09-19 20:39:09	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc65a40…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aec2a…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27f3ba…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa14ba3…
09-17 00:30:52	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e10da…
09-16 12:24:48	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x001c41…
09-16 01:12:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x843299…
09-15 18:32:07	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b5ed7…
09-15 17:50:00	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fa4bd…
09-15 13:42:09	European T20 Premier League: Amsterdam Flames vs Dublin Guardians	Amsterdam Flames	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c1812…
09-14 18:04:51	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5bfd9…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44c861…
09-14 08:29:06	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b455e…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b78ff…
09-13 10:58:09	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13 game3	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05df73…
09-13 10:57:07	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04e450…
09-13 09:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7b888…
09-12 22:04:12	Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs	LAG Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00758b…
09-12 13:10:15	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7d0c3…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e5542…
09-11 19:25:49	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e8cab…
09-11 10:52:40	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a436e…
09-11 02:58:28	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5fc75…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x722b1f…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23529b…