Understated-Threshold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$238

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

1,562

Trades

2,042

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 09-13 05:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 60% -$133

Other

30% 76% -$105

Sports

0% 62% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$202	160	160	+0	Down	+$42	05-26 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$107	78	78	+0	Down	+$27	05-27 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$106	80	80	+0	Up	+$26	05-27 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$101	78	78	+0	Up	+$21	05-27 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$92	78	78	+0	Down	+$12	05-26 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$86	80	80	+0	Up	+$6	05-26 13:12
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:05 UTC	1	$80	151	0	+151	Down	-$80	06-08 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$80	145	0	+145	Down	-$80	05-26 13:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:25 UTC	1	$80	142	0	+142	Up	+$62	06-04 07:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:05 UTC	2	$59	40	40	+0	Up	+$19	06-06 12:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 06:50 UTC	2	$59	40	40	+0	Down	+$19	06-04 06:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:05 UTC	2	$57	39	39	+0	Down	+$17	06-05 07:07
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:45 UTC	2	$57	39	39	+0	Up	+$17	06-06 12:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:35 UTC	2	$56	39	39	+0	Up	+$16	06-08 16:39
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$56	37	37	+0	Down	+$16	06-01 09:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 09:45 UTC	2	$56	38	38	+0	Up	+$16	06-04 09:46
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$51	38	38	+0	Up	+$11	06-01 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$51	39	39	+0	Up	+$11	05-27 10:17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 14?	1	$50	64	0	+64	No	-$50	05-14 05:46
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 06:30 UTC	1	$50	99	0	+99	Down	-$50	06-08 06:29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?	1	$50	62	0	+62	No	-$50	05-15 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 16?	1	$50	60	0	+60	Yes	+$10	05-16 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?	1	$50	80	0	+80	Yes	+$30	05-16 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?	1	$50	63	0	+63	Yes	+$13	05-15 06:04
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?	1	$50	68	0	+68	No	-$50	05-14 05:32
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$42	31	31	+0	Up	+$10	06-02 07:11
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$41	32	32	+0	Up	+$9	06-02 06:55
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:00 UTC	1	$40	76	0	+76	Down	-$40	06-08 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$40	74	0	+74	Down	-$40	05-26 13:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 07:20 UTC	1	$40	74	0	+74	Down	-$40	06-04 07:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 05:30:07	Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb2999f…
09-13 05:29:58	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf9f714…
09-01 06:20:12	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd103ee…
09-01 06:20:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5b246e…
09-01 06:19:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa9d01…
09-01 06:19:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x37e1ca…
09-01 06:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfd864a…
08-31 06:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 31?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8c9e36…
08-31 06:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 31?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xb361ff…
08-31 06:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on August 31?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x48f67b…
08-31 06:19:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 31?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8072ab…
08-30 06:08:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc167ca…
08-30 06:08:01	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f0594…
08-30 06:07:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3f0978…
08-30 06:07:46	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1b4d0b…
08-30 06:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb2a3a0…
08-30 06:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 30?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x29dce2…
08-30 06:03:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 30?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xcb5c40…
08-29 06:18:51	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x13a4d5…
08-29 06:18:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7860bb…
08-29 06:18:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8524b…
08-29 06:18:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe56f61…
08-29 06:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 29?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x90925b…
08-29 06:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 29?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x0455f4…
08-29 06:14:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 29?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x04c8e0…
08-28 06:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 28?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x6d9444…
08-28 06:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcfbc33…
08-28 06:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1f48b3…
08-28 06:11:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x18e373…
08-28 06:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 28?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x5d87ed…
08-27 06:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02b52f…
08-27 06:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e2cb1…
08-27 06:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x53763f…
08-27 06:27:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x61d0f5…
08-27 06:26:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcf087…
08-27 06:26:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x95c8ea…
08-27 06:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x074d51…
08-27 06:26:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb42f1d…
08-27 06:26:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x396eff…
08-27 06:26:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x018577…
08-27 06:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaaaf85…
08-27 06:26:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7e0293…
08-27 06:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4427cb…
08-27 06:21:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x60fd05…
08-27 06:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x136b6a…
08-27 06:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5c287f…
08-25 06:28:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7ea870…
08-25 06:28:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc604c4…
08-25 06:28:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6e75bd…
08-25 06:28:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9ff8df…
08-25 06:27:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd13a80…
08-25 06:27:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf0c714…
08-25 06:27:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x74ba52…
08-25 06:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x09f7be…
08-25 06:27:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7379a8…
08-25 06:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x87ea25…
08-25 06:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x962715…
08-25 06:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf22b57…
08-25 06:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xce557b…
08-25 06:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa82948…
08-25 06:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0b115f…
08-25 06:16:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe9fa6a…
08-24 06:06:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x649c62…
08-24 06:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb128e4…
08-24 06:04:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9920d8…
08-24 06:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa59808…
08-24 06:04:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd40f4f…
08-24 06:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7c27cd…
08-24 06:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6489b4…
08-24 06:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbea117…
08-24 06:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4586e0…
08-24 06:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0fb10d…
08-24 06:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x03e158…
08-24 06:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 24?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x0740f1…
08-24 06:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 24?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xfd701d…
08-23 05:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe124b5…
08-23 05:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb86bae…
08-23 05:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c8bdf…
08-23 05:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc785a…
08-23 05:43:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfb36f6…
08-23 05:43:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe1e22…
08-23 05:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa9e858…
08-23 05:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3e4281…
08-23 05:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 23?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x82de42…
08-23 05:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3dc461…
08-23 05:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 23?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xf06a0a…
08-22 05:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5083ff…
08-22 05:51:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd78a9a…
08-22 05:51:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x81ac3b…
08-22 05:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb8c99f…
08-22 05:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9db18f…
08-22 05:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x072e39…
08-22 05:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd7ff5b…
08-22 05:50:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x300910…
08-22 05:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 22?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x50ef1d…
08-22 05:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 22?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x54ba73…
08-21 08:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6171c9…
08-21 08:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda907f…
08-21 08:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd0a97…
08-21 08:42:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd37c34…