Realized P&L
-$588
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
9,826
Trades
24,282
lifetime
Volume
$181.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$216
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-20 16:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 228 days
Categories
Crypto
92% 70% -$2,863
Politics
5% 75% +$1,782
Other
2% 59% +$519
Sports
1% 62% -$39
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$13
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 448 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -60 -$59 97¢ $-58 +$0 08-25 23:36
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -47 -$46 97¢ $-46 +$0 08-25 23:36
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -30 -$29 99¢ $-30 $0 08-27 18:21
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -25 -$21 88¢ $-22 -$1 09-07 07:34
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -18 -$17 97¢ $-17 -$1 08-27 18:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -190 -$31 8¢ $-15 +$15 09-02 05:45
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -11 -$11 97¢ $-11 $0 09-07 19:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -70 -$11 12¢ $-8 +$3 09-14 09:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -22 -$11 23¢ $-5 +$6 08-27 18:22
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -250 -$4 1¢ $-4 +$1 09-07 19:01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -20 -$2 4¢ $-1 +$2 09-07 19:03