Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$160

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 11-03 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

79% 55% -$1

Politics

14% 62% $0

Tech

6% 50% -$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	08-23 08:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	$0	08-23 08:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-21 17:59
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 00:03
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	0	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-31 21:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-19 06:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	09-08 08:36
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	09-20 00:00
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	09-14 23:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	09-11 22:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-13 14:29
Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	09-01 17:26
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	08-07 13:16
will rklb reach 74 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	08-04 00:20
will disney say fortnite during earnings call 20260803163137851 849	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-04 08:21
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-07 21:22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	08-04 00:19
will xauusd reach 4150 by august 3 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	08-03 00:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-23 12:22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	+$8	08-12 14:09
will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	08-13 06:28
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	08-22 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	08-12 06:09
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	08-25 05:02
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	08-02 07:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-08 05:27
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	08-07 05:15
spy up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	08-05 00:23
will trump say biden 3 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427273	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-06 21:12
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-05 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 04:20:40	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xafa3b8…
10-31 16:26:37	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb5a5e3…
10-24 07:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6b16c3…
10-23 23:17:12	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6665a…
10-22 02:02:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0ababd…
10-16 03:47:28	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x34a94b…
10-15 18:24:22	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x312931…
10-15 10:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x72b4e3…
10-14 01:29:22	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe13b22…
10-13 05:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x170118…
10-12 21:12:59	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x63834e…
10-12 13:12:38	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x966fa6…
10-09 03:09:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x48ef53…
10-08 19:07:56	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x85b832…
10-08 10:03:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x728ae6…
10-08 01:23:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5a5da7…
10-07 17:18:32	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xbb6d6f…
10-07 09:11:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5f511c…
10-07 00:41:02	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5b4a32…
09-30 20:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8eca35…
09-24 21:44:03	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xeb36b1…
09-24 09:43:32	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xccbec4…
09-20 00:00:16	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5931ab…
09-15 07:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xbe9d40…
09-14 23:17:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3997e5…
09-11 22:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdfed75…
09-08 08:36:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xcc18e7…
09-08 00:03:12	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x2141a8…
09-02 21:52:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6aafeb…
09-02 13:50:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x69576b…
09-01 17:26:00	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8b2b56…
08-25 05:02:18	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7af3e0…
08-25 05:01:55	Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0ff18d…
08-24 08:57:06	Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x29b2b9…
08-24 00:56:25	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x002754…
08-23 12:22:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9b80e0…
08-23 08:37:48	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xdd1e3d…
08-23 08:37:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xbea9cb…
08-22 15:05:15	Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf907b8…
08-22 06:10:28	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3de1ab…
08-21 10:05:22	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x38c110…
08-21 02:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1aff69…
08-20 18:03:48	xauusd up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xeb92c3…
08-20 07:50:37	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa9b35b…
08-19 23:06:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd397a2…
08-19 14:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb15b9d…
08-19 06:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xee19d5…
08-13 14:29:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc8ffb5…
08-13 06:28:36	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xeefc7d…
08-12 22:14:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1917aa…
08-12 14:09:46	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x60ec03…
08-12 06:09:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x673cc3…
08-08 05:27:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xae313e…
08-07 21:26:52	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x65f40e…
08-07 21:22:27	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe1d8d9…
08-07 13:16:54	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x69456c…
08-07 05:15:04	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xca567a…
08-06 21:12:14	will trump say biden 3 times during friday roundtable 20260805211427273	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf05c1e…
08-06 12:48:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x52b8c1…
08-06 04:47:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x52fb95…
08-05 20:27:27	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6601f1…
08-05 00:23:48	spy up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0c1dbf…
08-04 16:23:21	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xff0a37…
08-04 08:21:42	will disney say fortnite during earnings call 20260803163137851 849	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0388f7…
08-04 08:21:27	will trump say through the roof during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421455	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2ed03c…
08-04 00:20:24	will rklb reach 74 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xed3db3…
08-04 00:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x965ed6…
08-03 16:19:02	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xaef03a…
08-03 08:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0b8af4…
08-03 00:05:45	will xauusd reach 4150 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb88798…
08-02 16:05:00	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf2d8ca…
08-02 07:55:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x61c359…
08-01 22:55:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0bd529…
08-01 13:16:17	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x627056…
08-01 05:10:53	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdeaeab…
07-31 21:09:30	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x24c44c…
07-31 13:06:23	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x78fb96…
07-31 04:30:45	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xc53f90…
07-30 06:36:32	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7b917e…
07-29 04:26:12	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x319115…
07-28 01:58:54	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4d85ea…
07-27 06:16:24	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x920ec0…
07-26 18:10:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbe7bcd…
07-26 06:09:42	cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4f08b0…
07-25 18:08:07	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd38044…
07-25 06:07:21	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdb1064…
07-24 18:07:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8c4aa0…
07-24 06:06:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xc48a24…
07-23 18:04:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x8b5f7a…
07-23 06:03:27	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa083df…
07-22 18:02:52	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x8020bf…
07-22 05:59:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xce23cc…
07-21 17:59:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9568cb…
07-21 05:58:54	will hood dip to 95 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x3db6c6…