Talkative-Worm — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$414

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved (90d)

101

Trades (90d)

171

441 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$18.0K

$59.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

$1.97K

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-13 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

54% 64% +$895

Politics

31% 77% -$161

Sports

7% 55% +$136

Tech

5% 67% +$74

Crypto

2% 100% +$16

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$129

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	+1,020	$976	100¢	$1.0K	+$40	11-11 10:15
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	+534	$496	95¢	$507	+$11	11-11 10:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+405	$356	84¢	$342	-$14	11-11 10:04
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+60	$49	70¢	$42	-$7	10-02 21:06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	+25	$23	98¢	$25	+$2	11-13 15:44
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+105	$20	16¢	$17	-$3	10-02 16:55
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+103	$4	10¢	$11	+$7	10-13 16:19
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	+38	$22	10¢	$4	-$18	11-03 08:48
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+231	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	08-05 19:19
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+30	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	08-05 19:20
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+17	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-25 23:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	5	$2.7K	1,477	1,477	+0	No	+$155	11-10 18:52
will russia announce a christmas truce	2	$2.0K	1,052	1,052	+0	No	+$52	01-08 00:32
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	2	$1.9K	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$110	02-26 10:15
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.9K	979	979	+0	No	+$45	05-15 15:08
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$1.8K	934	934	+0	Yes	+$83	05-12 20:22
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	1	$1.5K	1,866	0	+1,866	Yes	+$345	11-10 19:02
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$1.5K	1,489	0	+1,489	Yes	+$12	09-17 14:14
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	1	$1.3K	1,328	0	+1,328	No	+$28	02-01 20:55
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.2K	690	690	+0	Yes	+$186	06-21 03:21
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,096	76	+1,020	open	—	11-11 10:15
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	1	$1.1K	1,170	0	+1,170	No	+$70	01-14 16:22
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	3	$1.0K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$66	03-03 17:36
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	1	$1000	1,009	0	+1,009	No	+$9	01-08 00:32
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	4	$985	514	514	+0	Yes	+$19	11-09 22:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	1	$939	948	0	+948	No	+$9	03-05 09:44
president trump to attend usa opening match 20260607163739001	1	$921	926	0	+926	No	+$5	06-12 23:35
Will the US strike Mexico next?	1	$904	920	0	+920	No	+$16	01-11 11:15
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	1	$849	857	0	+857	Yes	+$8	06-25 21:33
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	2	$845	988	0	+988	Yes	+$143	06-17 23:59
will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	1	$841	844	0	+844	Yes	+$3	06-15 02:44
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	1	$840	845	0	+845	Yes	+$5	06-15 13:46
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$840	844	0	+844	No	+$4	02-26 21:11
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?	1	$800	802	0	+802	No	+$2	06-30 01:41
will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	2	$794	408	408	+0	No	-$6	08-09 11:26
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	2	$749	801	0	+801	No	+$52	07-25 09:29
will russia join the board of peace	7	$730	405	405	+0	No	+$26	03-25 21:06
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$679	738	0	+738	No	+$59	10-15 18:53
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?	1	$625	655	0	+655	Yes	+$30	10-12 18:22
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?	2	$619	315	315	+0	No	+$9	11-09 13:37
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	2	$608	321	321	+0	open	—	11-09 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 15:44:49	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0xade9f2…
11-13 12:18:03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xea8f00…
11-13 12:17:37	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xacd7b1…
11-13 12:17:22	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x6323ed…
11-13 12:17:16	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4b88a6…
11-13 09:44:39	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x260df7…
11-12 10:49:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x6436fb…
11-11 19:40:30	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B	Zero Tenacity	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2d5d9a…
11-11 10:23:42	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	534	93¢	$496	0x641828…
11-11 10:15:13	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0x557376…
11-11 10:04:42	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	405	88¢	$356	0x54a63e…
11-11 10:00:51	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0xca0b28…
11-11 10:00:36	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	79	5¢	$4	0x243bf7…
11-11 09:37:19	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0x45b7fd…
11-10 19:02:13	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	1,866	82¢	$1,521	0x64b464…
11-10 19:01:51	Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?	No	SELL	111	79¢	$87	0x451fe5…
11-10 18:52:54	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	SELL	1,477	98¢	$1,452	0xdd154b…
11-10 17:56:37	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	81	92¢	$75	0x861b84…
11-10 17:56:22	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0xbcee3e…
11-09 22:25:54	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	923	87¢	$805	0xe7c4d9…
11-09 22:25:13	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	SELL	321	96¢	$308	0x9d20fb…
11-09 22:25:04	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	514	98¢	$502	0x3ec443…
11-09 16:15:07	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	129	81¢	$105	0xf106d7…
11-09 16:14:51	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	Yes	SELL	114	93¢	$106	0x642a65…
11-09 13:38:27	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	No	BUY	344	91¢	$313	0xeef1b4…
11-09 13:37:58	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?	No	SELL	315	100¢	$314	0x9b4996…
11-07 20:54:43	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?	Yes	BUY	114	77¢	$89	0x1b112e…
11-07 20:53:55	Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0xcca788…
11-07 20:53:16	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	25	57¢	$15	0x4b7508…
11-07 20:50:13	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	Yes	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0xf222bb…
11-06 16:32:54	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 9?	No	BUY	315	97¢	$305	0x9bb217…
11-06 05:12:16	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x23dd1d…
11-05 16:28:21	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	BUY	321	94¢	$300	0xde2c45…
11-05 14:42:18	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x73cf06…
11-04 21:26:13	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x3f3cb7…
11-04 21:23:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x99422c…
11-04 12:16:43	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xfc0508…
11-04 12:15:25	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7f5515…
11-03 20:18:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x067700…
11-03 16:17:30	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdf64a9…
11-03 16:16:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb8d3a6…
11-03 12:36:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x2ce255…
11-03 10:35:06	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	95¢	$83	0x3002c0…
11-03 10:29:51	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x5b38ad…
11-03 10:16:46	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x561358…
11-03 08:56:00	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xce753f…
11-03 08:55:49	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfbc85c…
11-03 08:53:18	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xbde16e…
11-03 08:50:30	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x018a4f…
11-03 08:50:09	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x42eb41…
11-03 08:49:52	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner	Heroic	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4e0bd5…
11-03 08:49:22	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb49f78…
11-03 08:48:58	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xfdf791…
10-31 18:48:46	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf6a014…
10-31 17:38:33	Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x48ac27…
10-30 23:40:42	Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xbeba40…
10-30 23:37:54	Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb71621…
10-30 23:36:22	Spread: Devils (-1.5)	Golden Knights	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5c5a6e…
10-30 23:16:49	Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?	No	BUY	111	76¢	$84	0x321522…
10-30 23:11:37	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xa75ec9…
10-30 23:09:13	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xad6f4e…
10-30 23:04:42	Jets vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xd08c5a…
10-30 18:51:57	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8b5953…
10-29 20:40:16	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	OG	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x5b24f1…
10-29 19:21:18	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x81c653…
10-29 11:24:37	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0x19786b…
10-27 06:06:02	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xb0635b…
10-27 00:25:30	Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x7bf5c2…
10-26 19:26:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xdac432…
10-26 19:24:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x801801…
10-26 16:22:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xfd725f…
10-25 23:09:14	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x71b704…
10-25 12:43:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	64	70¢	$45	0x1def5c…
10-24 17:14:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$64	0x6bdf7a…
10-24 11:53:47	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	81¢	$58	0x7a4b56…
10-17 19:14:14	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	225	88¢	$198	0xce135b…
10-17 08:12:33	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	155	73¢	$114	0x599b95…
10-17 08:12:02	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	88	97¢	$85	0xf4e01f…
10-16 19:12:19	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xe89c13…
10-16 07:30:16	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	230	97¢	$224	0xfa6981…
10-15 20:50:08	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0x469048…
10-15 19:11:46	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x02d4c6…
10-15 18:53:55	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	516	95¢	$490	0xa5fac1…
10-15 18:48:28	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0x33c403…
10-15 18:42:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xa6ec41…
10-15 18:12:07	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	SELL	36	84¢	$30	0xaa8546…
10-15 17:23:41	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x384008…
10-15 17:19:13	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf3f4f1…
10-15 17:17:43	will ukraine target moscow on october 15 2026	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1713f5…
10-15 15:12:04	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xddc95b…
10-15 13:13:38	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x78aa4d…
10-13 16:19:10	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0xe6d22d…
10-13 11:44:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Zverev	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xcf758d…
10-12 18:22:53	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	655	95¢	$625	0x9c497c…
10-11 07:44:25	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd67ce0…
10-11 07:38:33	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	158	49¢	$78	0x7e283c…
10-10 20:31:39	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x8691c8…
10-10 20:30:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8c09c8…
10-10 20:26:43	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x60b651…
10-10 20:15:16	Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x2e340b…