Lazy-Guidance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$67

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-24 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 89% +$67

Other

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	2	$290	150	150	+0	Yes	+$9	05-10 16:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	2	$272	146	146	+0	Yes	+$18	05-09 15:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	2	$163	86	86	+0	No	+$8	05-11 16:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	2	$159	84	84	+0	open	—	05-04 14:37
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	2	$141	72	72	+0	No	+$1	05-06 23:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	1	$123	128	0	+128	No	+$5	05-08 22:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	2	$105	123	0	+123	No	+$18	05-07 22:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	1	$89	95	0	+95	No	+$6	05-05 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	1	$72	76	0	+76	open	—	05-03 20:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	2	$68	72	0	+72	open	—	05-03 13:26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?	2	$68	36	36	+0	No	+$1	05-06 23:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-27 10:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	2	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	04-25 13:05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$-0	05-05 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	1	$23	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 11:09
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 25c	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-24 22:25
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	1	$20	314	0	+314	open	—	05-15 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-25 15:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-25 14:59
itsb spe sud 2026 04 18 spe	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 14:53
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 19c	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-22 19:21
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 18:06
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 11c	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-23 22:34
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 18corhigher	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-22 14:04
will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 21	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-21 15:08
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 17:49
bitcoin above 80k on april 21	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 17:49
ethereum above 2500 on april 21	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-21 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 21:08:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xaa85c1…
05-24 21:04:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb81265…
05-17 21:01:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x149948…
05-17 16:27:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x55709d…
05-15 17:16:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	314	6¢	$20	0x6e79e0…
05-11 16:18:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x32c251…
05-11 10:46:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	86	91¢	$78	0x838d9b…
05-10 16:32:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x2a4be0…
05-10 10:46:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$140	0x72bc84…
05-09 15:28:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	146	100¢	$145	0x5e64ca…
05-09 11:33:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	146	87¢	$127	0x62ae1c…
05-08 22:46:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0xa874c3…
05-07 22:36:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	122	85¢	$104	0x48f3e1…
05-07 22:27:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4071e9…
05-06 23:40:17	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x9fae09…
05-06 23:39:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x2501b3…
05-06 19:54:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 6?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x3a1dc9…
05-06 19:52:49	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xd849d8…
05-05 21:55:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	95	94¢	$89	0x4a9a83…
05-05 15:11:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xe85922…
05-05 12:47:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb357ef…
05-04 14:37:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xed063c…
05-04 12:09:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x4c2bf7…
05-03 20:16:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	76	95¢	$72	0x08a63e…
05-03 13:26:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	71	96¢	$67	0x7b5d51…
05-03 13:25:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5015a6…
05-03 13:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0f545d…
05-03 08:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf2e935…
05-02 20:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x98f55b…
04-27 11:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xdd29d3…
04-27 10:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x525cf4…
04-27 10:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$20	0xe861fa…
04-26 19:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x828bba…
04-26 19:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$19	0xcb864f…
04-25 15:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xfc3236…
04-25 15:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0x5c9fd2…
04-25 14:59:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x7f73a0…
04-25 13:06:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x29d826…
04-25 13:05:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xd06174…
04-25 12:43:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc3745b…
04-25 12:43:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x61da12…
04-24 22:42:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x35fc13…
04-24 22:25:38	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 25c	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1790d9…
04-23 22:34:16	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 11c	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xdd1734…
04-23 17:35:36	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 25c	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x4e142a…
04-22 19:21:42	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 19c	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4144ca…
04-22 14:04:20	highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa8deb8…
04-21 18:06:28	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xc4da4c…
04-21 17:49:38	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 19c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfe87db…
04-21 17:49:26	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6e99d1…
04-21 17:49:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x763b60…
04-21 17:49:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe83571…
04-21 15:08:38	will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 21	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x9df97d…
04-20 18:19:30	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8fcd04…
04-20 18:15:48	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2f1f4…
04-20 18:12:50	tsla up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x787c7a…
04-20 18:07:00	highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6f4f00…
04-20 09:30:56	ethereum above 2400 on april 20	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6aef8e…
04-20 09:03:06	ethereum above 2400 on april 20	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xef442e…
04-20 09:02:44	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3a3daa…
04-20 09:02:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf1cdad…
04-19 20:02:08	highest temperature in wuhan on april 20 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a0fc9…
04-19 19:59:46	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x076cd3…
04-19 19:59:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xee1105…
04-18 19:31:28	xrp above 1pt5 on april 19	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5b5b7e…
04-18 19:14:10	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x00ccc1…
04-18 17:53:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41985e…
04-18 17:53:02	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x302738…
04-18 17:41:50	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6ee67…
04-18 14:53:36	itsb spe sud 2026 04 18 spe	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xac0f55…
04-18 13:54:08	itsb spe sud 2026 04 18 spe	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x84f6e9…
04-18 13:52:20	ethereum above 2200 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2130b7…
04-18 13:51:56	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc9e63a…