Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

Trades

133

lifetime

Volume

$3.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 11-05 08:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 55% +$15

Politics

18% 28% -$65

Other

9% 14% -$14

Tech

6% 100% +$4

Sports

3% 75% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		+88	$30	6¢	$6	-$24	05-01 23:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		+36	$10	2¢	$1	-$9	05-01 22:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$250	155	131	+24	Up	+$10	05-01 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$213	116	115	+1	Up	+$14	04-28 08:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	3	$211	116	116	+0	Yes	+$21	04-28 15:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$209	156	156	+0	No	+$9	04-27 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$180	206	0	+206	Down	+$26	04-28 08:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$174	106	106	+0	Yes	+$4	05-12 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$159	182	0	+182	Down	+$22	04-28 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	5	$157	90	90	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$156	85	85	+0	Down	+$6	10-23 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$130	135	0	+135	Up	+$5	04-29 09:23
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?	1	$109	130	0	+130	Yes	+$21	04-27 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	8	$101	429	187	+242	Up	-$27	05-12 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$82	73	32	+41	Down	-$18	10-23 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$60	48	48	+0	Down	+$10	10-21 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$56	32	32	+0	Up	+$6	10-21 20:54
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?	2	$51	126	0	+126	Yes	-$51	04-28 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:20 UTC	2	$49	44	44	+0	Down	-$1	07-27 12:23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$46	123	123	+0	Yes	+$6	07-11 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$15	04-27 22:31
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	3	$36	24	24	+0	Yes	+$12	05-01 20:44
Iran leadership change by December 31?	1	$30	88	0	+88	open	—	05-01 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$30	33	0	+33	Up	-$30	04-28 12:34
Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	2	$29	22	22	+0	No	+$9	04-29 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	05-01 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$26	19	18	+1	Up	+$8	04-28 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	Up	-$25	10-22 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Down	-$25	10-23 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	+$9	10-22 08:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$23	23,450	0	+23,450	Yes	-$23	04-24 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-01 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb418eb…
10-23 08:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb36dda…
10-23 08:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x50540d…
10-23 08:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x5e41f2…
10-23 08:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xcde9dd…
10-23 08:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x80bf1b…
10-23 08:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xf57436…
10-23 08:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x1181a9…
10-23 08:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0x157854…
10-23 08:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xba726a…
10-22 08:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x095ccd…
10-22 08:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x8925a2…
10-21 20:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	48	72¢	$35	0x96c7ef…
10-21 20:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x1f1497…
10-21 20:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xa3b268…
10-21 20:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x36039c…
07-27 12:23:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0x72ee74…
07-27 12:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x3ef2fb…
07-11 01:02:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	123	21¢	$26	0xe928cb…
07-06 18:57:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x9404c0…
07-06 18:46:55	Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xdaacbc…
07-06 18:43:16	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0xcdc785…
06-30 11:32:26	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0xa432c3…
06-14 23:17:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xacdf3b…
06-14 23:17:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	123	16¢	$20	0x8e5793…
06-14 23:16:49	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x12fd5a…
06-08 22:00:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x0b82a8…
05-18 12:51:19	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd8b3e6…
05-18 12:50:45	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xef1b70…
05-18 12:04:58	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x506c2e…
05-12 12:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	149	3¢	$4	0x316828…
05-12 12:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xaa75b6…
05-12 12:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x4eda81…
05-12 12:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2b7463…
05-12 12:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	147	18¢	$26	0xa0beee…
05-12 12:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x73600f…
05-12 12:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	24¢	$8	0x37ef41…
05-12 12:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x996fc0…
05-12 12:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x77da35…
05-12 12:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0x150e55…
05-12 12:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xb07ab3…
05-12 12:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0xc2f36c…
05-12 12:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xba6e5e…
05-12 12:21:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	84¢	$89	0x967fd0…
05-02 00:45:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0xbc0ed8…
05-02 00:44:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0xd70739…
05-02 00:40:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x84a870…
05-01 23:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xae07e5…
05-01 23:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x72547f…
05-01 23:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x0ce712…
05-01 23:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x05b613…
05-01 23:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8350c8…
05-01 23:35:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xc23067…
05-01 23:34:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xccd53f…
05-01 23:24:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc6cb0c…
05-01 23:02:50	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x22db4f…
05-01 22:16:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x6812b0…
05-01 21:56:36	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x1c576f…
05-01 21:24:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xe74b2f…
05-01 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x66d7f7…
05-01 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x5f0ac7…
05-01 20:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0x57429e…
05-01 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x508c6b…
05-01 20:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0xd42a46…
05-01 20:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe32e72…
05-01 20:44:52	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x85a76d…
05-01 12:11:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xf0da60…
04-30 11:38:54	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x3726c2…
04-30 10:16:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xb49c5c…
04-30 10:15:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x8cc192…
04-30 08:35:52	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x93656e…
04-29 11:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x508e1f…
04-29 11:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xb7ebec…
04-29 09:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	135	96¢	$130	0x2e7f6d…
04-29 09:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x004535…
04-29 08:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe40fc6…
04-29 07:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8f8c79…
04-29 07:46:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x2a6dc5…
04-29 07:46:26	Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0x8d663e…
04-28 15:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x6c6ea8…
04-28 13:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x63335f…
04-28 12:59:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	82¢	$81	0xb3abbb…
04-28 12:50:52	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	111	44¢	$49	0xc0ca46…
04-28 12:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x120a48…
04-28 10:21:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x292c02…
04-28 10:16:36	Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x56a2d7…
04-28 10:11:24	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x0faf51…
04-28 09:59:40	Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbf36a9…
04-28 09:59:20	Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5b0dd7…
04-28 08:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	64	1¢	$1	0xbfdac8…
04-28 08:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x66bec2…
04-28 08:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	206	87¢	$180	0x01122d…
04-28 08:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	182	88¢	$159	0xc40920…
04-28 08:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0x82bcaf…
04-28 08:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x5a523a…
04-28 08:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x0dce66…
04-28 08:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x40e346…
04-28 08:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdf0638…
04-28 08:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x65a9a8…
04-28 08:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0x641268…