Realized P&L
-$321
Unrealized P&L
+$176
Hit rate
9.3%
Resolved
154
Trades
2,429
lifetime
Volume
$24.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$3.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-01 15:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
77% 19% -$319
Politics
16% 32% +$18
Tech
6% 0% -$20
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$5
Crypto
0% 25% +$4
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 1693 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +685 $337 57¢ $390 +$54 10-29 11:17
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? No +550 $356 62¢ $338 -$18 10-29 12:51
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +350 $322 94¢ $331 +$8 10-29 06:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? Yes +349 $291 86¢ $302 +$11 10-29 13:02
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +685 $362 43¢ $295 -$67 10-30 07:17
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes +550 $216 38¢ $212 -$5 10-29 12:51
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes -1,363 -$260 12¢ $-166 +$94 10-31 00:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +224 $74 73¢ $163 +$89 10-29 13:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +147 $131 98¢ $145 +$14 10-29 09:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +150 $135 96¢ $145 +$10 10-29 09:31
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +100 $42 99¢ $99 +$58 10-29 12:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +149 $86 60¢ $89 +$3 11-01 15:40
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +146 $74 55¢ $80 +$6 11-01 15:40
Israeli Knesset election annulled? No +80 $72 97¢ $77 +$5 10-29 07:51
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +146 $74 46¢ $67 -$7 10-29 05:43
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +80 $44 80¢ $64 +$19 10-29 04:19
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +100 $61 63¢ $63 +$2 10-28 20:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +224 $155 27¢ $60 -$94 10-29 13:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +149 $64 40¢ $60 -$3 10-29 12:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 10-29 06:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 10-29 08:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +349 $61 14¢ $47 -$14 10-29 13:02
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +50 $32 76¢ $38 +$6 10-29 02:50
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $39 37¢ $37 -$2 10-28 21:26
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $34 66¢ $33 -$1 10-29 01:47
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +37 $24 78¢ $29 +$5 10-29 08:33
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +50 $29 57¢ $29 $0 10-29 06:43
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +50 $31 55¢ $27 -$3 11-01 15:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +50 $19 45¢ $22 +$3 10-29 11:39
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +50 $21 43¢ $21 +$0 10-29 06:43