Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$871

Unrealized P&L

-$48

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$81

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 11-06 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% -$526

Crypto

31% 20% -$60

Politics

25% 20% -$285

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+2,000	$91	3¢	$60	-$31	11-05 16:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+702	$28	2¢	$12	-$15	09-07 08:14
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,100	$11	1¢	$8	-$2	11-06 02:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	14	$181	900	0	+900	No	-$181	03-21 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:35 UTC	2	$101	125	125	+0	Up	+$84	03-20 14:39
iran leadership change by march 31	5	$92	55	55	+0	No	+$4	03-17 10:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	20	$91	2,785	0	+2,785	No	-$91	03-23 14:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	3	$91	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	11-05 16:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$75	441	0	+441	No	-$75	03-27 11:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$70	1,227	0	+1,227	No	-$70	04-01 05:53
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$62	10,569	569	+10,000	No	-$40	07-30 14:36
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	13	$59	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$59	10-27 11:17
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	7	$57	1,605	0	+1,605	No	-$57	03-24 14:57
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	99	$52	8,521	0	+8,521	No	-$52	09-17 06:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	3	$45	2,133	0	+2,133	No	-$45	08-24 10:59
Will Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$44	292	0	+292	No	-$44	08-27 11:30
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	21	$42	7,000	0	+7,000	No	-$42	10-03 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 23:30 UTC	2	$38	56	56	+0	Down	+$19	03-20 23:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$36	300	0	+300	No	-$36	09-15 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:35 UTC	2	$35	56	56	+0	Up	+$15	03-21 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 10:55 UTC	4	$30	33	33	+0	Down	+$20	03-30 10:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$28	702	0	+702	open	—	09-07 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:20 UTC	2	$27	83	83	+0	Down	+$7	03-21 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:25 UTC	2	$24	42	41	+0	Down	+$4	03-21 00:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$20	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$20	07-29 12:18
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	412	0	+412	No	-$20	03-19 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 18:55 UTC	2	$16	33	0	+33	Down	-$16	03-21 18:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$15	930	0	+930	No	-$15	08-12 07:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:05 UTC	2	$14	34	0	+34	Down	-$14	03-21 19:08
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	1	$13	435	0	+435	No	-$13	03-25 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:30 UTC	2	$11	515	0	+515	Up	-$11	03-20 14:32
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	16	$11	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	11-06 02:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 00:40 UTC	1	$10	107	0	+107	Down	-$10	03-21 00:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:15:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0xeb6a1c…
11-05 16:06:40	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	940	3¢	$26	0x26c1a8…
11-05 15:48:25	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6b70cd…
11-05 15:47:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe5bfeb…
11-05 15:47:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x42b513…
11-05 11:30:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x9ecce8…
11-05 10:22:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb13459…
11-05 10:05:07	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	452	1¢	$4	0x82771a…
11-02 16:16:28	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	490	5¢	$24	0x5ec245…
10-30 15:01:34	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x539aff…
10-28 19:22:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x6c5d48…
10-28 18:50:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x1dba3e…
10-28 18:50:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xd77585…
10-28 18:50:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0xa27cdc…
10-28 18:50:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x90a16f…
10-28 18:50:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x37dfdc…
10-28 18:50:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x0ca7c7…
10-27 12:36:20	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x46cddd…
10-27 11:17:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xdad718…
10-27 11:17:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$1	0x647452…
10-27 11:17:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0x4fd956…
10-27 11:03:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x7f0a84…
10-27 11:02:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x90580b…
10-27 11:02:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x67d800…
10-26 23:59:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x07ec62…
10-22 22:56:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	2¢	$6	0x32edf9…
10-22 22:47:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	146	2¢	$3	0xd06867…
10-22 22:47:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf9dd91…
10-22 22:47:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x09eb9a…
10-16 14:22:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$38	0x6103b2…
10-16 14:01:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	4¢	$7	0x702b4c…
10-03 04:14:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x452720…
10-03 04:14:05	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0xcb6148…
10-03 00:32:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0xdc9e1d…
10-03 00:32:59	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$1	0x33bab8…
10-02 11:08:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	327	1¢	$3	0xcbfce2…
10-02 11:06:29	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	673	1¢	$6	0x2e4d44…
10-02 11:04:11	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	296	1¢	$2	0xf83522…
10-02 11:03:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$3	0x3f7e1f…
10-02 11:02:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe895ec…
10-02 11:02:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,063	1¢	$9	0xa76e47…
09-25 15:59:44	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	570	7¢	$40	0x216866…
09-17 06:53:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xea9f79…
09-17 06:47:06	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	176	0¢	$0	0xf2498e…
09-17 06:38:28	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3b64cd…
09-17 06:22:49	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x786f38…
09-17 06:22:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2d08b6…
09-17 06:18:51	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	754	0¢	$2	0xf41c0f…
09-17 06:08:30	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x89216d…
09-17 05:24:49	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8a16ea…
09-17 05:24:07	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x610aad…
09-17 05:17:48	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x34c635…
09-17 04:29:10	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x04bf04…
09-17 03:45:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	103	0¢	$0	0xa3967f…
09-17 03:45:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x2f04fd…
09-17 03:45:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	0¢	$0	0x120f6f…
09-17 03:44:27	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5f681f…
09-17 03:38:10	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe5c130…
09-17 03:35:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	546	0¢	$2	0x481197…
09-17 03:35:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0x3a559c…
09-17 03:35:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$1	0x1e4d53…
09-17 03:35:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xdbe813…
09-17 03:17:52	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa316c4…
09-17 03:03:54	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbd735a…
09-17 02:58:01	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc18c58…
09-17 02:47:09	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	121	0¢	$0	0xcb5814…
09-17 02:40:19	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd59d62…
09-17 02:39:15	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	503	0¢	$1	0xeb0c48…
09-17 02:39:15	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x11c0d8…
09-17 02:39:15	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	931	0¢	$2	0x0e8df5…
09-17 02:39:15	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	409	0¢	$1	0x091e0b…
09-17 01:29:49	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf19e84…
09-17 01:23:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0x0d1439…
09-17 00:15:03	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x606c9d…
09-17 00:08:36	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x72d83f…
09-17 00:08:33	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x1acd4b…
09-17 00:08:30	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd6eadb…
09-16 09:32:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x58c9dc…
09-15 13:57:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x708012…
09-11 21:31:52	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,063	0¢	$12	0x7821b7…
09-11 01:59:12	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd608af…
09-09 18:50:06	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xaf7382…
09-09 18:48:40	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xd4c89d…
09-09 18:47:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xadb184…
09-07 08:14:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	4¢	$6	0x9890c6…
09-03 09:11:31	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xe79ad5…
09-03 08:46:10	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xd59ad0…
09-03 08:39:00	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa56434…
09-03 08:38:31	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xe2e34f…
09-03 08:29:54	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xe05bd0…
09-03 08:22:31	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc7655f…
09-03 08:22:31	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x1ea930…
09-03 07:03:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xe0644a…
09-03 07:03:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd34f32…
09-03 07:03:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xcd72f8…
09-03 07:03:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xbdb226…
09-03 07:03:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9aea24…
09-03 07:03:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x379011…
09-03 00:23:37	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6726ba…
09-03 00:23:37	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	215	1¢	$1	0x668bf2…