Accurate-Decoder — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$2.20K

Unrealized P&L

+$369

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved (7d)

243

Trades (7d)

268

10,791 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$91.7K

$2.12M lifetime

Avg / trade

$196

Open exposure

$16.7K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 275 days

Categories

Other

50% 94% +$5,282

Sports

30% 92% +$5,645

Politics

16% 81% +$2,938

Tech

3% 86% +$4,224

Crypto

0% 71% +$2,301

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 468 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+12,221	$11,610	94¢	$11.5K	-$61	10-31 23:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+6,000	$4,560	82¢	$5.0K	+$390	08-01 03:48
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Yes	+170	$138	100¢	$170	+$32	10-16 19:13
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+390	$1	2¢	$6	+$5	05-20 18:49
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+84	$0	2¢	$2	+$2	05-20 18:55
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+248	$1	0¢	$1	$0	05-20 18:52
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+17	$0	3¢	$1	+$1	05-20 18:55
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+84	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	05-20 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	14	$28.1K	22,113	22,113	+0	cancelled	-$5,560	09-10 18:58
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	19	$24.0K	24,980	0	+24,980	Yes	-$976	10-16 17:51
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	28	$23.9K	25,262	19,903	+5,359	Yes	-$7,478	08-03 15:13
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	40	$20.6K	30,016	0	+30,016	Yes	-$11,658	02-14 16:17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	14	$20.1K	10,971	10,971	+0	No	+$356	08-28 05:37
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	5	$19.0K	16,386	8,059	+8,327	Spain	-$1,876	07-10 20:51
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	10	$19.0K	18,419	18,096	+323	Yes	-$11,286	08-12 17:45
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	18	$17.6K	24,083	0	+24,083	Yes	-$4,726	01-20 23:14
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	39	$16.6K	17,572	7,892	+9,681	No	+$2,742	02-14 16:24
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$11.8K	5,896	5,896	+0	No	+$23	07-08 19:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$11.6K	12,221	0	+12,221	open	—	10-31 23:45
will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708327	10	$10.4K	10,482	0	+10,482	Yes	+$89	07-25 00:23
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	2	$9.9K	9,920	0	+9,920	No	+$40	07-08 17:33
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	2	$9.6K	10,675	0	+10,675	No	+$1,075	06-30 10:11
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	5	$9.6K	9,568	0	+9,568	Yes	+$10	08-16 21:43
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	15	$9.3K	18,340	0	+18,340	No	-$661	08-06 05:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	16	$9.1K	9,286	0	+9,286	Yes	+$138	10-31 00:14
Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?	3	$8.9K	9,881	0	+9,881	No	+$127	06-15 20:18
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	32	$8.8K	20,560	0	+20,560	Tampa Bay Rays	-$471	10-18 18:01
Colts vs. Steelers	1	$8.2K	8,309	0	+8,309	Steelers	+$83	10-11 19:51
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$32	08-12 06:23
Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	5	$7.9K	7,984	0	+7,984	Yes	+$79	08-24 17:08
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	3	$7.8K	6,106	6,106	+0	Yes	+$2,353	08-01 01:53
will trump say midterm during fox interview on tuesday	1	$7.7K	7,800	0	+7,800	Yes	+$55	02-11 04:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	24	$7.7K	3,481	4,429	-948	Yes	+$194	05-31 22:31
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	2	$7.6K	13,052	0	+13,052	Atlanta Dream	+$5,452	10-21 06:35
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	17	$7.5K	21,364	4,330	+17,034	No	+$1,026	06-08 02:47
will jensen huang say million or billion or trillion 20 times during nvidia keynote	22	$7.2K	7,532	0	+7,532	No	+$311	01-07 21:36
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	24	$7.0K	8,594	0	+8,594	Yes	+$1,621	09-27 22:12
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?	2	$6.9K	6,942	0	+6,942	No	+$9	09-23 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:24:12	Will Fresno State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdba63f…
11-01 06:09:30	Will Boise State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfcee83…
11-01 06:09:18	Will Texas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	1,453	100¢	$1,450	0x6394b9…
11-01 05:46:28	Texas State vs. Boise State	Boise State	BUY	578	59¢	$341	0xcdb8d0…
11-01 05:25:48	Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	578	27¢	$155	0xf0451f…
11-01 03:32:52	Will Boise State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	399	98¢	$390	0x604c08…
11-01 03:23:58	Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 6.5	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9074c8…
11-01 03:23:28	Will Pittsburgh have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x5e4b6d…
11-01 03:23:09	Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x2cd1d1…
11-01 03:13:52	Will Miami FL have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0x71e213…
11-01 03:10:42	Will Missouri have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	529	100¢	$527	0x8cb54c…
11-01 03:01:34	Will Iowa State have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	605	100¢	$604	0x501bcc…
11-01 02:48:15	Will UCLA have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	993	100¢	$991	0xdbaac5…
11-01 02:22:55	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4,163	100¢	$4,159	0xec0e53…
11-01 02:16:52	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf6f611…
11-01 02:16:52	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x3c7e5f…
11-01 02:15:15	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	318	99¢	$314	0xb160cc…
11-01 02:14:33	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xbe2ecc…
11-01 02:10:27	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf3e03a…
11-01 02:10:06	Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,709	99¢	$1,692	0xa2d2e1…
11-01 02:09:48	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x8db0f3…
11-01 02:08:49	Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd3e53f…
11-01 02:08:07	Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9828a8…
11-01 01:50:00	Will Kiah Stokes win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x67e7f7…
11-01 01:49:46	Will Kaila Charles win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x927ba6…
11-01 01:49:12	Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4ba64d…
11-01 01:39:21	Will Sam Mayer win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xf56a3d…
11-01 01:39:10	Will Sammy Smith win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x3522b7…
11-01 01:10:54	Ohio State vs. USC	Ohio State	BUY	105	36¢	$38	0x2e21ab…
11-01 01:09:48	Will Ohio State have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	148	74¢	$109	0x2b6411…
11-01 00:06:12	Will South Carolina have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	188	99¢	$186	0x58c502…
11-01 00:05:54	Will Oklahoma have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	2,311	100¢	$2,307	0xed7fac…
10-31 23:55:15	Will Kansas have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	367	99¢	$364	0xd699b4…
10-31 23:45:03	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,222	95¢	$2,111	0x00d922…
10-31 23:44:24	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	9,999	95¢	$9,499	0x750d27…
10-31 23:30:24	Will Indiana have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0xbcb70a…
10-31 23:26:15	Will Arizona State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0x28ff39…
10-31 23:23:34	Will BYU have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x14d307…
10-31 23:21:13	Will Florida have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	930	100¢	$927	0x909908…
10-31 23:18:51	Will Utah have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x17bce3…
10-31 22:11:45	Will Wake Forest have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	BUY	550	100¢	$549	0x7949c7…
10-31 22:09:07	Will Auburn have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	1,127	100¢	$1,124	0xa2535e…
10-31 22:06:12	Will SMU have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	394	100¢	$392	0x0447db…
10-31 22:01:03	Will California have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	U 6.5	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0xff8fdb…
10-31 22:00:36	Will California have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	No	BUY	3,072	100¢	$3,067	0x21f124…
10-31 08:37:45	Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?	No	BUY	67	93¢	$62	0xf6c506…
10-31 08:36:34	Republican House odds hit 8% by November 1?	No	BUY	545	85¢	$462	0xa84eed…
10-31 08:34:57	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	167	73¢	$122	0x322891…
10-31 08:25:51	Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?	Yes	BUY	311	63¢	$194	0xedae23…
10-31 08:15:01	Will Isack Hadjar finish second in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x09f619…
10-31 08:14:49	Will Isack Hadjar finish third in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x0bacae…
10-31 08:14:33	Will Isack Hadjar finish fourth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x93d83f…
10-31 08:14:25	Will Kimi Antonelli finish fourth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1e1ed8…
10-31 08:14:06	Will Kimi Antonelli finish fifth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x021d12…
10-31 08:14:00	Will Isack Hadjar finish fifth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0xa073a4…
10-31 08:05:13	Will the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x53f06c…
10-31 07:57:42	Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0113b2…
10-31 06:51:19	Will Ty Majeski win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x9b9faa…
10-31 06:51:13	Will Chandler Smith win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf02b62…
10-31 06:47:27	Will Christian Eckes win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$248	0xf0a714…
10-31 06:47:19	Will Ty Majeski win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	889	100¢	$888	0x8a023b…
10-31 06:47:12	Will Chandler Smith win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	1,269	100¢	$1,268	0xea3063…
10-31 05:11:25	Hong Kong Sixes: Bangladesh vs South Africa - Most Sixes Draw	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa349e8…
10-31 03:16:39	Will Trump say "Muscle" or "Muscular" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aa941…
10-31 01:38:25	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Cup?	No	BUY	140	90¢	$126	0x635391…
10-31 00:17:10	Will Jalen Hurts have 16.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x11d20e…
10-31 00:14:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xae4149…
10-30 23:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xbbff2b…
10-30 23:48:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xf5cb3e…
10-30 23:48:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0x78ff74…
10-30 23:47:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0x7e405a…
10-30 23:37:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf5b7ba…
10-30 23:33:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	502	98¢	$493	0x6c7808…
10-30 23:31:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x590130…
10-30 23:19:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x53ecc9…
10-30 23:05:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	244	97¢	$238	0x3c893c…
10-30 23:04:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,907	99¢	$1,881	0x53c784…
10-30 22:33:54	W35 Norman, OK: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Irina Balus	Irina Balus	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x378ff2…
10-30 10:37:06	Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6aaf74…
10-30 10:24:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,238	96¢	$2,148	0x47f986…
10-30 07:41:27	Will Elias Pettersson (2004) record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x15209d…
10-30 06:32:52	Will Grant Enfinger win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x68d7a3…
10-30 06:32:46	Will Tyler Ankrum win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x0135c4…
10-30 06:32:36	Will Ben Rhodes win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x44da6d…
10-30 06:32:25	Will Daniel Hemric win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x0fcbb3…
10-30 06:32:21	Will Daniel Hemric win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xbed599…
10-30 06:32:10	Will Giovanni Ruggiero win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?	No	BUY	528	100¢	$528	0x229d1f…
10-30 06:27:01	Will Parker Retzlaff win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	452	100¢	$451	0x067f96…
10-30 06:26:54	Will Rajah Caruth win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	428	100¢	$428	0xd48142…
10-30 06:26:43	Will Brandon Jones win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xd54d2e…
10-30 06:26:30	Will Taylor Gray win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	669	100¢	$668	0x914182…
10-30 06:26:18	Will Austin Hill win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?	No	BUY	358	100¢	$358	0x2afb71…
10-30 06:17:03	Will Carson Hocevar win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	1,852	100¢	$1,849	0xb982d3…
10-30 06:16:46	Will Bubba Wallace win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	1,401	100¢	$1,397	0x776f52…
10-30 06:16:18	Will Ty Gibbs win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	379	100¢	$378	0x0212e8…
10-30 06:16:07	Will Austin Cindric win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xb1d534…
10-30 05:21:01	Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,307	100¢	$1,305	0xa242b6…
10-30 03:22:54	Will Bryce Young be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	261	99¢	$259	0xaa8db7…
10-30 02:26:49	Will Tyler Shough be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xa57b4f…
10-30 02:03:55	Will Tyler Shough be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$336	0x4dee3a…