Realized P&L
+$21.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.50K
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved
5,359
Trades
11,061
lifetime
Volume
$2.23M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$201
Open exposure
$34.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 18:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 282 days
Categories
Other
49% 93% +$4,545
Sports
29% 92% +$5,417
Politics
18% 80% +$5,252
Tech
3% 86% +$4,224
Crypto
0% 67% +$2,290
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$88
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +10,157 $10,076 99¢ $10.0K -$46 11-07 16:43
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +10,000 $9,920 99¢ $9.9K -$25 11-07 14:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,000 $4,560 90¢ $5.4K +$870 08-01 03:48
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? Yes +1,635 $915 64¢ $1.0K +$123 10-14 04:20
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +818 $679 99¢ $806 +$127 11-04 07:50
Will Jaylen Waddle be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +662 $661 99¢ $655 -$6 11-06 14:59
Will De'Von Achane be the first RB to 1,000 rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +505 $498 99¢ $501 +$3 11-06 15:25
Will Mike Evans be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +448 $443 99¢ $443 -$1 11-06 14:55
Will Parker Washington be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +405 $404 100¢ $404 $0 11-06 14:58
Will Carnell Tate be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +393 $390 99¢ $391 +$0 11-06 15:00
Will Michael Wilson be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +391 $390 99¢ $388 -$3 11-06 14:58
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +380 $377 99¢ $377 $0 11-06 14:57
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? Yes +464 $337 80¢ $369 +$32 10-15 21:18
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027? Yes +741 $481 49¢ $363 -$118 11-04 07:06
Will Malik Nabers be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +312 $310 97¢ $303 -$7 11-06 18:17
Will Jameson Williams be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +286 $285 100¢ $285 $0 11-06 14:57
Will Jalen Hurts have 3,249.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +290 $237 98¢ $283 +$47 10-18 04:24
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? Yes +266 $4 100¢ $266 +$262 11-05 06:05
Will the Baltimore Ravens have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? No +264 $256 99¢ $261 +$6 11-06 03:36
Will Terry McLaurin be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +254 $252 99¢ $250 -$2 11-06 14:56
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +400 $240 60¢ $242 +$2 11-08 08:56
Will Jalen Hurts have 16.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +247 $192 98¢ $242 +$50 10-31 00:17
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +227 $224 98¢ $222 -$2 11-06 14:55
coreweave downgraded by moodys or sp by june 30 2027 No +321 $170 63¢ $202 +$32 10-19 21:04
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +500 $145 29¢ $143 -$2 11-08 08:55
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? No +178 $159 77¢ $137 -$22 11-08 08:46
Will Jacob Fowler win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? Yes +420 $74 32¢ $135 +$61 11-07 12:48
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +780 $94 14¢ $105 +$12 11-08 20:01
Will Los Angeles Dodgers advance to the World Series in the 2027 MLB Playoffs? Yes +136 $25 69¢ $94 +$69 11-05 05:22
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No +100 $49 93¢ $93 +$44 09-27 05:45