Accurate-Decoder — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

+$902

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved (90d)

2,684

Trades (90d)

4,792

10,903 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$985.0K

$2.18M lifetime

Avg / trade

$200

Open exposure

$6.20K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 23:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 278 days

Categories

Other

50% 93% +$4,440

Sports

29% 92% +$5,643

Politics

17% 80% +$5,208

Tech

3% 86% +$4,224

Crypto

0% 67% +$2,290

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+6,000	$4,560	90¢	$5.4K	+$810	08-01 03:48
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+818	$679	93¢	$761	+$82	11-04 07:50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+100	$57	55¢	$55	-$2	11-04 23:52
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+390	$1	1¢	$6	+$4	05-20 18:49
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	No	+5	$0	100¢	$5	+$5	10-17 19:11
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+84	$0	2¢	$2	+$2	05-20 18:55
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+248	$1	0¢	$1	+$0	05-20 18:52
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+17	$0	4¢	$1	+$1	05-20 18:55
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+84	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	05-20 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs	14	$28.1K	22,113	22,113	+0	cancelled	-$5,560	09-10 18:58
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	19	$24.0K	24,980	0	+24,980	Yes	-$976	10-16 17:51
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	28	$23.9K	25,262	19,903	+5,359	Yes	-$7,478	08-03 15:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$22.4K	23,456	0	+23,456	No	+$1,060	11-03 23:19
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$20.7K	10,980	10,980	-0	No	+$1,208	11-04 06:52
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	40	$20.6K	30,016	0	+30,016	Yes	-$11,658	02-14 16:17
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	14	$20.1K	10,971	10,971	+0	No	+$356	08-28 05:37
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	5	$19.0K	16,386	8,059	+8,327	Spain	-$1,876	07-10 20:51
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	10	$19.0K	18,419	18,096	+323	Yes	-$11,286	08-12 17:45
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	18	$17.6K	24,083	0	+24,083	Yes	-$4,726	01-20 23:14
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	39	$16.6K	17,572	7,892	+9,681	No	+$2,742	02-14 16:24
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$11.8K	5,896	5,896	+0	No	+$23	07-08 19:35
will stock market be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260717155708327	10	$10.4K	10,482	0	+10,482	Yes	+$89	07-25 00:23
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	2	$9.9K	9,920	0	+9,920	No	+$40	07-08 17:33
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	2	$9.6K	10,675	0	+10,675	No	+$1,075	06-30 10:11
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	5	$9.6K	9,568	0	+9,568	Yes	+$10	08-16 21:43
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?	15	$9.3K	18,340	0	+18,340	No	-$661	08-06 05:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	16	$9.1K	9,286	0	+9,286	Yes	+$138	10-31 00:14
Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?	3	$8.9K	9,881	0	+9,881	No	+$127	06-15 20:18
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	32	$8.8K	20,560	0	+20,560	Tampa Bay Rays	-$471	10-18 18:01
Colts vs. Steelers	1	$8.2K	8,309	0	+8,309	Steelers	+$83	10-11 19:51
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$8.0K	8,000	0	+8,000	Yes	+$32	08-12 06:23
Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	5	$7.9K	7,984	0	+7,984	Yes	+$79	08-24 17:08
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	3	$7.8K	6,106	6,106	+0	Yes	+$2,353	08-01 01:53
will trump say midterm during fox interview on tuesday	1	$7.7K	7,800	0	+7,800	Yes	+$55	02-11 04:53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	24	$7.7K	3,481	4,429	-948	Yes	+$194	05-31 22:31
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	2	$7.6K	13,052	0	+13,052	Atlanta Dream	+$5,452	10-21 06:35
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	17	$7.5K	21,364	4,330	+17,034	No	+$1,026	06-08 02:47
will jensen huang say million or billion or trillion 20 times during nvidia keynote	22	$7.2K	7,532	0	+7,532	No	+$311	01-07 21:36
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?	24	$7.0K	8,594	0	+8,594	Yes	+$1,621	09-27 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 23:52:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	98	57¢	$56	0xfaee5e…
11-04 23:51:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa17d8c…
11-04 17:19:01	AOC flips Newsom for 2028 president by December 31?	Yes	BUY	953	100¢	$952	0x5d454b…
11-04 17:09:55	Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?	Yes	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0xeb553e…
11-04 16:39:06	Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x39b220…
11-04 16:38:19	Will Mike Johnson be the first House Minority Leader after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x3e834e…
11-04 14:37:51	Will San Diego FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x27759d…
11-04 14:37:27	Will New York Red Bulls be runner-up in the 2026 MLS?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x290925…
11-04 14:37:21	Will New York City FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x730043…
11-04 14:37:15	Will Toronto FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xe50535…
11-04 14:36:48	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$360	0x351c17…
11-04 14:36:42	Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$321	0x67ce4a…
11-04 14:36:28	Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0xc748f7…
11-04 14:36:22	Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x775a58…
11-04 14:36:16	Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	705	100¢	$704	0x892254…
11-04 14:36:07	Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,052	0x03ec40…
11-04 13:35:13	Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	BUY	2,402	100¢	$2,399	0x21c217…
11-04 07:50:51	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	818	83¢	$679	0x1a6e35…
11-04 07:42:33	Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	2,387	1¢	$15	0x70f8c0…
11-04 07:42:21	Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	1,126	1¢	$7	0x2706b8…
11-04 07:06:27	Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?	Yes	BUY	741	65¢	$481	0xac2cf7…
11-04 06:52:49	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10,980	100¢	$10,969	0x4a5e02…
11-04 06:25:37	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x314f02…
11-04 06:12:51	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x30e90c…
11-04 05:53:27	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf74fc0…
11-04 05:53:27	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	SELL	113	1¢	$1	0xf74fc0…
11-04 05:53:06	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	98	96¢	$93	0x7de1c6…
11-04 05:51:49	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa6e181…
11-04 05:51:49	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0x4c22a0…
11-04 05:51:12	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	259	96¢	$249	0x466d42…
11-04 05:49:13	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc8608d…
11-04 05:28:31	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	309	0¢	$0	0x57bd64…
11-04 05:05:43	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x3c64f2…
11-04 05:04:09	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x70579c…
11-04 04:55:15	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xaeb8c9…
11-04 04:53:31	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6b9362…
11-04 04:52:31	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0xee8a4f…
11-04 04:27:04	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	160	96¢	$153	0x1789bf…
11-04 04:26:54	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	130	84¢	$109	0x98319d…
11-04 04:21:22	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	510	99¢	$506	0xae047e…
11-04 04:20:52	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x749ca6…
11-04 04:20:43	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x9868ea…
11-04 04:20:24	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	303	0¢	$0	0xf33288…
11-04 04:19:00	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x65cf3a…
11-04 04:15:42	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	560	84¢	$468	0xa2cdf1…
11-04 04:12:52	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	748	50¢	$372	0xee297c…
11-04 04:11:10	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x80bbf2…
11-04 04:11:04	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0xa51435…
11-04 04:09:07	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	551	99¢	$545	0x790f01…
11-04 03:49:42	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb2e494…
11-04 03:45:40	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8c12b5…
11-04 03:43:55	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	247	95¢	$235	0x857208…
11-04 03:39:01	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	No	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x742efe…
11-04 03:38:46	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xfac40d…
11-04 03:34:10	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	51	75¢	$38	0x6eddc3…
11-04 03:34:01	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x290992…
11-04 03:33:52	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	84	75¢	$63	0x6a5cc4…
11-04 03:33:51	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xe90a67…
11-04 03:33:51	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	217	75¢	$163	0x44fcc1…
11-04 03:33:46	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x4e58f8…
11-04 03:20:19	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	162	19¢	$30	0x99d48e…
11-04 03:12:27	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xffaac0…
11-04 03:11:22	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x45647b…
11-04 03:11:21	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xd33834…
11-04 03:03:43	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x18361c…
11-04 02:35:46	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	176	77¢	$136	0xef4388…
11-04 02:26:58	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xcc774c…
11-04 02:07:00	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	240	88¢	$211	0xb28baa…
11-04 02:03:18	Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	485	82¢	$397	0x1e7d17…
11-04 02:02:30	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x8949bb…
11-04 02:02:21	Will AP call US Senate control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xe953a1…
11-04 02:00:52	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x954e95…
11-04 02:00:40	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x6e2da0…
11-04 01:52:58	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	42	8¢	$4	0xe8f14d…
11-04 01:52:45	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x19229f…
11-04 01:49:52	Will AP call US House control by November 3, 10:59 PM?	Yes	BUY	509	4¢	$19	0xd13f7f…
11-04 01:47:55	Will AP call US House control by November 4, 12:59 AM?	Yes	BUY	80	72¢	$58	0xe3cd8b…
11-04 01:10:43	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	368	11¢	$42	0xcd564a…
11-04 01:10:25	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	283	14¢	$40	0x39e505…
11-04 01:10:10	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	94	14¢	$13	0x9f7e6b…
11-04 01:10:04	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	80	14¢	$11	0x87f457…
11-04 01:09:57	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0xf6cd70…
11-04 01:09:57	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x6970d8…
11-04 01:09:55	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xf06868…
11-04 01:09:54	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xd62fdf…
11-04 01:09:52	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xa4a946…
11-04 01:09:52	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x9f8bc2…
11-04 01:09:51	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xe8521f…
11-04 01:09:49	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0xa426f2…
11-04 01:09:49	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x75b4b6…
11-04 01:09:49	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	398	14¢	$56	0x23a3a6…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	102	14¢	$14	0xb7e39c…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	99	14¢	$14	0x9f94f8…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7a8864…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x79772e…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x63cce6…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x5f8183…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x51c98a…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x46b9a2…
11-04 01:09:48	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0x0e3377…