Live-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

2,173

Trades

2,236

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 215 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$8

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 96% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-19 05:04
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-05 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:33
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd53241…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x142378…
10-24 13:22:36	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb8e42c…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f67d2…
10-24 12:40:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x775726…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8c571…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x561f22…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1f87f…
10-22 20:12:41	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23cb68…
10-21 21:00:20	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb497b4…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc378f8…
10-20 22:55:48	Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61def2…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71ed54…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c2aca…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3edc0d…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69bf6a…
10-15 20:32:39	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5e55b5…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19e198…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2bbf41…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2b537…
10-13 20:58:58	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42250…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72762b…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x466682…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f8bfb…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b0b01…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9f43b…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa55e60…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e1367…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x373a49…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x577722…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34a155…
10-08 07:41:16	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x572624…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0e6dc…
10-07 10:16:26	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf03457…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x69a628…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3bba1…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8af231…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9ec2f…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d157e…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13c602…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x570053…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745255…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf33a3…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18becd…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xde4203…
10-02 14:12:33	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e303c…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9582ff…
10-01 20:36:08	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa795e9…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd70c6c…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51ba5f…
10-01 11:47:32	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdde8d3…
10-01 06:03:09	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33d129…
09-30 23:54:48	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd84541…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cb80b…
09-29 13:18:53	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7ec1b1…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b2ab9…
09-29 06:51:53	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaac319…
09-29 00:46:30	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e8808…
09-28 20:58:44	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef7e14…
09-28 16:53:26	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1107d8…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc15e9e…
09-27 20:19:11	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf243f…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x333772…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x031b31…
09-27 12:16:03	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf535de…
09-27 00:28:21	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56d994…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53786…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa67adf…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0efdd2…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01cef7…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x290bab…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf47562…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b70af…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9fa2d…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa0929…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15b502…
09-23 04:45:13	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xea5175…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x427a7f…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cd767…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f68ef…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fa2b0…
09-20 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f2b90…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94e9f4…
09-20 12:02:25	M15 Forbach: Manuel Frank vs Antoine Walch	Antoine Walch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x090348…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c5916…
09-19 11:36:24	Will V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57423f…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7e52c…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfeb1cc…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdde3d2…
09-17 19:34:51	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7be920…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfa98a…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8db13…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32935c…
09-17 12:48:04	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d79ee…
09-16 15:14:29	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b5eeb…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98395a…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaebc48…
09-14 09:20:42	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28a56d…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdacde3…
09-12 09:27:54	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc420e…