Few-Significance — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

13 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$52

$52 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-12 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Other

30% — —

Sports

7% 100% +$3

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	-18	$-10	56¢	$-10	$-0	05-12 18:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	-6	$-6	99¢	$-6	$-0	05-12 18:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	-21	$-6	26¢	$-5	+$0	05-12 18:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-5	$-3	72¢	$-4	$-0	05-12 18:07
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	-2	$-2	76¢	$-2	+$0	05-12 16:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	-2	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	05-11 23:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$14	27	27	+0	open	—	05-12 18:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	3	$12	3	9	-6	open	—	05-12 18:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	0	18	-18	open	—	05-12 18:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$6	0	21	-21	open	—	05-12 18:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	0	5	-5	open	—	05-12 18:07
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$3	5	0	+5	Avalanche	+$2	05-12 00:08
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-12 16:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-11 23:54
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$1	0	7	-7	Baltimore Orioles	+$1	05-12 00:48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	05-12 17:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 18:07:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf7acde…
05-12 18:07:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x0c74c9…
05-12 18:07:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x788d69…
05-12 18:07:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0xd8a16f…
05-12 18:06:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x50354b…
05-12 17:46:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	Coco Gauff	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xb2d7bc…
05-12 16:31:32	Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller	Elmer Moeller	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xd3104c…
05-12 00:48:43	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x238abd…
05-12 00:33:46	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6c915d…
05-12 00:08:16	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8dde97…
05-11 23:54:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x67e61b…
05-11 10:17:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x070e28…
05-10 20:15:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	24¢	$6	0x2a4843…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	5	$695	13	05-12 18:56
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	4	$10.9K	56	05-12 19:26
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	4	$1.77K	111	05-12 19:26
Legitimate-Brewer 0xbb8e…08c1	4	$574	23	05-12 19:26
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	3	$6.63K	5	05-12 08:42
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	3	$3.55K	20	05-13 02:22
Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65	3	$1.98K	3	05-10 23:52
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	3	$1.85K	17	05-12 19:25