Big-Badger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

170

Trades

356

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-20 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

76% 48% -$48

Sports

9% 46% +$50

Politics

7% 33% -$5

Crypto

5% 33% +$2

Tech

3% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+86	$12	14¢	$12	$0	07-23 20:42
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+86	$12	13¢	$11	-$1	07-23 20:43
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+18	$6	3¢	$1	-$5	05-14 21:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+36	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	07-13 19:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$1.8K	930	930	+0	No	-$1	02-23 14:06
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$930	465	465	+0	No	$0	01-03 14:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$920	462	462	+0	No	$0	04-07 16:41
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$540	270	270	+0	No	$0	01-20 02:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$540	271	271	+0	No	$0	05-05 21:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$540	280	280	+0	No	$0	05-03 17:03
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$480	298	298	+0	open	—	05-07 18:06
another us strike on venezuela on january 3	2	$460	230	230	+0	No	$0	01-04 13:26
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$460	230	230	+0	Yes	$0	05-11 23:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$460	230	230	+0	No	$0	05-13 18:20
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$460	232	232	+0	No	$0	05-15 21:43
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 100 119	2	$440	220	220	+0	No	$0	01-28 17:06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$440	266	266	+0	Yes	$0	05-27 02:30
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$370	186	186	+0	No	$0	04-09 13:13
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	2	$366	183	183	+0	No	$0	03-29 23:03
Will Evan Mobley win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	2	$366	183	183	+0	No	$0	03-29 23:27
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	03-27 02:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$360	182	182	+0	Yes	$0	04-13 12:42
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	3	$360	181	181	+0	No	$0	03-24 02:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$360	182	182	+0	No	$0	03-24 02:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	3	$360	181	181	+0	No	$0	03-29 22:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$320	161	161	+0	Yes	$0	04-21 20:35
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	2	$292	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 11:55
Trump out as President by June 30?	2	$254	132	132	+0	No	$0	04-29 01:58
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	$0	03-27 02:10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$144	138	120	+18	open	—	05-14 21:11
epl ast eve 2026 01 18 ast	2	$104	89	89	+0	No	+$4	01-08 12:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	03-25 20:35
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	4	$69	55	55	+0	Yes	+$9	07-04 18:26
epl mac not 2026 03 04 mac	2	$64	42	42	+0	No	+$4	03-04 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:43:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x405720…
10-19 17:25:33	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xddb4de…
10-14 19:30:27	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0xab9b54…
10-14 19:26:03	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x70c1b6…
10-14 19:19:03	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x905300…
10-14 19:18:51	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb62f61…
10-14 19:18:46	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x63b529…
10-14 19:18:36	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5ee025…
10-14 19:17:46	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5fd13e…
10-14 19:17:45	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8190b5…
10-12 17:20:48	Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xf7b8f3…
10-12 17:18:20	AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x2bc9ff…
09-14 14:19:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x785b59…
09-12 22:18:46	CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x9fbfd2…
09-12 22:10:01	CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xc9a9dc…
09-12 22:10:01	CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x82a295…
09-12 17:11:42	CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x1e1089…
09-12 17:11:21	CA Tucumán vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x810e6e…
09-12 14:36:06	Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x08a96b…
09-11 19:47:30	Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x785836…
09-11 19:46:19	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xd4de47…
09-11 19:45:49	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x7b3704…
09-09 19:35:58	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x3706d2…
09-09 16:41:13	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x7ca80e…
09-09 16:39:03	Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x767bac…
09-08 19:47:46	SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x637d00…
09-08 19:46:09	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xe11c6b…
09-08 19:44:27	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x65988d…
09-08 19:26:07	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0x636f8b…
09-07 22:44:42	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x3c70c8…
09-07 22:42:21	Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x6905a2…
09-07 22:39:24	Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x8dc5fb…
09-06 15:57:31	Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0x58cc2c…
09-04 19:34:49	lal bet rea 2026 09 04 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0xe1f04b…
09-04 17:58:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x1702f0…
09-02 17:50:24	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x3e7649…
08-31 19:15:31	epl mun mac 2026 09 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x18bca0…
08-31 19:14:28	epl che hul 2026 09 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf5a786…
08-31 13:38:46	Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x382f51…
08-30 13:36:27	Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6cfb1f…
08-29 17:05:42	epl ars che 2026 09 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0xe1bdb4…
08-29 17:04:27	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xd171dc…
08-29 14:46:13	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x166077…
08-28 20:40:18	AFC Bournemouth vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xbff5dc…
08-28 20:37:09	Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbed0eb…
08-28 20:30:28	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x3fb5a5…
08-27 19:08:42	Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x87069d…
08-27 19:04:04	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa4cabf…
08-26 19:47:39	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0xe281de…
08-26 19:47:33	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x1c6a74…
08-26 19:26:21	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8e628b…
08-23 21:12:07	Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd95897…
08-23 21:10:27	FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xb28c8e…
08-23 21:07:57	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x67deaa…
08-12 01:01:46	pacifica fdv above 50m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd2274a…
07-23 20:43:13	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0x80c289…
07-23 20:42:54	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0x8de4f0…
07-15 20:52:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	12	64¢	$8	0x74d1cf…
07-15 20:46:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	22	79¢	$17	0x68b24a…
07-13 19:28:05	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa17d95…
07-13 19:25:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb201f5…
07-13 19:25:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc840bc…
07-13 19:24:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xaded97…
07-12 01:29:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	17	78¢	$13	0x0e4479…
07-11 21:55:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x12c97b…
07-11 16:25:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcc3054…
07-09 20:33:55	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x900c05…
07-08 14:17:43	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4ad4b2…
07-08 14:16:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5e31e1…
07-07 17:55:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x139b19…
07-07 17:03:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5d650f…
07-06 22:17:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	78	33¢	$26	0x8cec38…
07-06 22:16:52	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x0f36a5…
07-06 22:16:29	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	90	15¢	$14	0x9246fc…
07-06 13:32:55	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd3edad…
07-05 21:41:31	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd2838b…
07-05 21:41:29	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x367d3e…
07-05 21:41:28	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc22b3e…
07-05 19:54:37	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x078ff7…
07-05 19:54:13	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x82f7d6…
07-05 15:25:46	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x99f221…
07-05 15:24:22	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xedaced…
07-04 22:31:13	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xffa0d7…
07-04 18:26:55	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	55	70¢	$39	0xa1d46b…
07-04 15:01:23	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf1c4a4…
07-04 14:55:41	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7e2469…
07-04 14:55:13	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xaa5f59…
07-04 14:42:26	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x5ca7a0…
07-03 20:40:29	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	18	53¢	$9	0x9ee981…
07-03 20:01:19	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf863a0…
07-03 18:50:35	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x2615da…
07-03 16:41:31	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3271ce…
07-03 03:16:29	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x10e7b1…
07-02 00:58:05	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0xd0cedc…
07-01 21:01:11	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1b4dc6…
07-01 20:55:01	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdf8074…
07-01 20:53:35	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc56786…
07-01 00:49:04	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0xf089b8…
06-30 22:32:38	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xca79ee…
06-30 22:32:38	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x23bf14…