Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$182

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

310

Trades

1,019

lifetime

Volume

$44.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$630

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

53% 40% +$298

Sports

30% 55% +$365

Politics

15% 32% -$1,938

Crypto

2% 100% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+500	$328	72¢	$362	+$34	10-19 18:16
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	+500	$215	41¢	$205	-$10	10-04 20:55
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+100	$45	52¢	$52	+$7	10-31 02:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+50	$9	22¢	$11	+$2	10-26 10:30
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$215	30¢	$0	-$215	10-31 10:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	20	$2.7K	3,088	1,588	+1,500	Yes	+$499	09-16 09:32
peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	15	$2.7K	1,525	1,525	+0	No	+$258	03-21 05:43
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$2.4K	200	2,222	-2,022	Yes	-$9	01-28 00:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$2.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$105	07-29 15:36
nba sas lal 2026 02 10 spread away 14pt5	6	$1.1K	619	619	+0	Spurs	+$123	02-11 05:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$1.1K	759	759	+0	No	+$69	04-01 23:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	21	$1.0K	719	835	-116	Yes	+$76	03-03 15:55
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	15	$858	500	500	+0	Yes	+$88	07-07 11:53
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	13	$730	800	1,000	-200	No	-$382	03-31 13:10
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	6	$680	1,000	0	+1,000	Spain	+$320	07-19 21:29
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$636	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$634	03-28 06:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$618	500	500	+0	No	+$116	04-17 08:50
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	33	$571	600	500	+100	Yes	+$130	10-26 07:52
nba 2025 26 ppg leader luka doncic	16	$549	356	356	+0	Yes	+$121	03-21 05:43
atp alcaraz zverev 2026 01 30	2	$500	643	0	+643	Alcaraz	+$143	01-30 07:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$495	500	500	+0	open	—	10-31 10:55
nba hou bkn 2026 01 01 spread away 12pt5	1	$490	500	0	+500	Rockets	+$10	01-02 01:19
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$485	600	600	+0	Yes	+$35	07-05 22:05
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	2	$476	560	0	+560	Spurs	+$84	05-25 02:29
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	4	$475	500	0	+500	Spurs	+$25	01-03 01:33
Will Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?	6	$461	500	100	+400	Yes	+$94	05-06 08:22
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$454	400	400	+0	No	-$62	07-12 13:10
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	30	$430	500	500	+0	No	+$20	07-12 03:44
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	1	$418	500	0	+500	Djokovic	-$418	01-30 12:30
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$410	447	447	+0	No	-$275	07-19 21:18
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$410	500	500	+0	Yes	+$110	06-28 04:35
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)	4	$400	500	0	+500	Knicks	+$100	05-26 01:02
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 15pt5	2	$400	500	0	+500	Knicks	+$100	06-09 01:09
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 spread home 16pt5	10	$400	500	0	+500	Knicks	+$100	06-14 00:57
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	9	$386	698	800	-102	Yes	-$321	02-03 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 12:57:16	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1f6492…
10-31 10:55:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x4ae698…
10-31 10:16:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	28¢	$29	0x0630ca…
10-31 10:12:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	28¢	$21	0xb9b5b1…
10-31 10:11:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	28¢	$19	0x16e495…
10-31 10:09:55	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0x96ee3a…
10-31 10:09:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	28¢	$40	0x4f09f6…
10-31 10:00:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	28¢	$17	0x777d3d…
10-31 02:59:13	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x4539ec…
10-30 18:22:58	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x9d161a…
10-29 02:37:52	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe25196…
10-29 02:37:50	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x6eedc8…
10-28 17:52:47	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x6c0809…
10-28 12:26:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd6d238…
10-28 04:12:11	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5161b4…
10-28 01:59:20	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5	Over	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x0fdf23…
10-27 04:56:24	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	83	41¢	$34	0x0a75d0…
10-27 03:31:29	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	79	75¢	$60	0x092f67…
10-26 20:23:33	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x1f1ae2…
10-26 14:03:14	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	92	43¢	$39	0x014160…
10-26 13:50:45	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	114	43¢	$49	0x7f8775…
10-26 13:11:24	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0x225ba2…
10-26 10:30:23	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x9ba067…
10-26 07:52:41	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe5ea41…
10-26 07:46:14	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7a9c9c…
10-26 07:45:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	85	68¢	$58	0x1c2606…
10-26 07:45:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe38a6c…
10-26 02:19:45	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xdf651f…
10-23 03:54:08	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$11	0x7c055a…
10-23 03:53:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x5a84f9…
10-23 03:52:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x8ecb51…
10-23 03:45:32	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0x4d9437…
10-23 03:45:32	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	55	44¢	$24	0x3a8c85…
10-22 06:15:07	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xed8479…
10-22 01:03:06	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Heat	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf51314…
10-22 00:40:32	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Heat	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9c7cc0…
10-22 00:10:48	Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1414f5…
10-21 23:17:00	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf9759d…
10-21 23:16:17	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x915ef0…
10-21 21:02:36	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x3ab2dd…
10-21 19:22:09	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x34c459…
10-21 03:46:44	Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	Thunder	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x77b3f0…
10-19 18:16:26	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x634596…
10-18 10:01:06	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0xb85ef1…
10-18 10:01:06	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x86e020…
10-18 10:01:06	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x6208ea…
10-18 10:01:06	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5379df…
10-18 10:01:06	Will Lamine Yamal (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$7	0x40fcbb…
10-17 01:22:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$55	0x8e4637…
10-17 01:20:33	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x953781…
10-17 01:19:02	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x580c82…
10-17 01:14:29	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$51	0xe883b4…
10-14 13:23:33	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	28¢	$123	0xa8280b…
10-14 13:17:15	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd83f46…
10-14 12:43:42	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	28¢	$14	0x7a45b4…
10-14 12:30:15	will xauusd dip to 4000 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xceee61…
10-14 04:06:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	No	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0x175b12…
10-06 09:48:39	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x7f5dfb…
10-06 05:14:55	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x89e39b…
10-06 04:58:36	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	82	25¢	$21	0x9b44e1…
10-05 16:40:17	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xb17959…
10-05 13:17:43	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev	Novak Djokovic	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xd67f89…
10-05 11:48:50	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x0ae3bc…
10-05 09:46:53	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x817605…
10-04 20:55:32	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	46¢	$14	0xbe5474…
10-04 20:49:44	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x6dd882…
10-04 08:24:44	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x736d81…
10-04 05:42:43	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	46¢	$78	0x6549ae…
10-04 03:40:34	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xb386d2…
10-02 00:22:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	400	25¢	$100	0x15ee59…
10-01 12:03:48	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xacdb38…
09-30 14:23:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xa6c8dd…
09-30 00:49:47	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x912e71…
09-27 22:01:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xaec0af…
09-26 07:03:06	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	40¢	$66	0x6e1a27…
09-26 07:03:06	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0x361a4a…
09-25 13:20:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	192	65¢	$125	0xc1f064…
09-25 13:19:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x12217b…
09-25 13:18:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6d3986…
09-18 09:02:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x354295…
09-17 13:17:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xc5fdfe…
09-16 11:50:46	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbc5de9…
09-16 11:31:15	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa007c6…
09-16 11:10:21	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xe54f91…
09-16 11:00:49	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x54972e…
09-16 09:45:28	Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	113	38¢	$43	0x9b01d2…
09-16 09:32:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	88	88¢	$77	0xbdfcb8…
09-14 05:06:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	388	80¢	$310	0xb49e19…
09-14 05:04:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	60¢	$300	0x354a66…
09-11 14:36:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	700	80¢	$560	0x41864b…
09-11 08:52:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	61¢	$305	0xd03a26…
09-01 05:27:25	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	148	43¢	$63	0x37ebb0…
08-29 15:42:30	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6d5b4d…
08-28 23:48:43	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	Yes	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x41f35f…
08-28 08:45:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x7170af…
08-12 03:12:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x3c6515…
08-10 15:37:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	40¢	$200	0x2e6aeb…
08-06 19:04:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x5f4738…
08-06 19:00:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0xa4185c…
08-06 18:55:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	105	50¢	$53	0xad2abc…