Unfit-Savior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

Trades

791

lifetime

Volume

$35.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$48

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

37% 100% +$35

Sports

35% 67% +$49

Other

27% 100% +$13

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-71	$-67	39¢	$-28	+$39	05-29 16:25
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	+76	$22	20¢	$15	$-7	06-03 17:02
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	+435	$10	1¢	$5	$-5	06-01 22:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	11	$1.7K	1,428	1,428	+0	open	—	04-07 18:24
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	15	$1.2K	1,755	1,546	+209	open	—	02-16 05:03
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	5	$1.1K	632	632	+0	open	—	03-29 19:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	13	$1.1K	1,107	981	+126	open	—	03-30 11:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$988	1,642	1,108	+533	open	—	01-23 17:47
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	17	$856	1,334	579	+756	open	—	02-13 17:07
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	3	$821	472	472	+0	open	—	03-07 19:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$744	790	597	+193	open	—	03-08 19:08
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	6	$554	263	567	-303	open	—	02-10 20:32
will norway win the most medal points in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$550	709	709	+0	open	—	02-17 13:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$535	803	803	+0	open	—	03-27 19:24
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	7	$526	408	408	+0	open	—	02-15 15:55
will the us strike somalia next 656	3	$450	382	382	+0	open	—	01-22 21:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$418	953	0	+953	open	—	02-28 06:49
will italy win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$409	47	384	-337	open	—	02-22 16:47
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$407	345	345	+0	open	—	02-04 20:41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$396	258	258	+0	open	—	04-02 15:01
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	11	$386	2,035	2,035	+0	open	—	02-21 00:57
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$381	380	380	+0	open	—	03-17 02:39
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$373	714	714	+0	open	—	03-05 05:02
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$351	763	763	+0	open	—	05-12 20:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$347	770	713	+57	open	—	05-23 18:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	8	$339	487	487	+0	open	—	03-08 21:19
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	3	$277	217	217	+0	open	—	05-22 01:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$267	223	223	+0	open	—	03-31 02:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$254	176	176	+0	open	—	03-20 21:26
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$254	208	208	+0	open	—	05-13 18:27
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	2	$252	141	141	+0	open	—	03-30 23:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$251	306	185	+121	open	—	05-25 19:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$247	132	132	+0	open	—	05-09 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:39:16	btc updown 15m 1780957800	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x17e2a7…
06-08 22:24:19	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Down	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x2f571e…
06-08 22:23:07	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x053c37…
06-08 22:21:36	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Up	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x0be72e…
06-08 22:20:13	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb38c6a…
06-08 15:32:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xac98c0…
06-08 05:47:57	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x61e1f3…
06-08 05:46:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x3c6a42…
06-07 20:18:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x31f1db…
06-07 17:54:21	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe7cbb5…
06-07 17:52:54	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x16e2b9…
06-07 17:47:06	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	SELL	35	79¢	$28	0xefa4c1…
06-05 03:31:51	btc updown 5m 1780630200	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa6d908…
06-05 03:30:34	btc updown 5m 1780630200	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x55ca84…
06-05 03:26:57	btc updown 5m 1780629900	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa4fb94…
06-05 02:53:13	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xdd8978…
06-05 02:43:42	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	47	17¢	$8	0x284e3e…
06-04 23:06:57	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x16af70…
06-04 22:50:48	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x4ed5ad…
06-04 22:50:33	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3ce7a1…
06-04 22:45:52	btc updown 5m 1780613100	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd3e86e…
06-04 22:43:42	btc updown 5m 1780612800	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x0ed725…
06-04 22:40:33	btc updown 5m 1780612800	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xefeb1e…
06-04 22:36:00	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5afde5…
06-04 21:13:30	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xab2c6c…
06-04 21:06:09	btc updown 5m 1780607100	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x63a577…
06-04 21:02:09	btc updown 5m 1780606800	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdad053…
06-04 15:39:31	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x2f0103…
06-03 17:02:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	29¢	$22	0xc8b646…
06-01 22:17:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x3986d4…
06-01 22:17:11	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xf3c828…
06-01 19:08:20	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xb2fbb8…
06-01 01:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	27¢	$8	0x924dc5…
06-01 01:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x471c9c…
05-30 14:01:09	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x03282e…
05-30 13:56:30	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0x9da40c…
05-29 16:25:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	93¢	$67	0x736454…
05-29 15:25:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	66	75¢	$49	0x590d11…
05-29 04:26:19	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	312	3¢	$8	0xd78ebe…
05-29 01:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xfb4bee…
05-29 01:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd11719…
05-29 01:25:16	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x927ea8…
05-29 01:21:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	66	79¢	$52	0x32f909…
05-29 01:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4b25fb…
05-29 01:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x605bab…
05-29 01:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	56	51¢	$28	0x427ce5…
05-29 01:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x64275d…
05-29 00:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xb0869b…
05-29 00:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0f2102…
05-29 00:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8e3c23…
05-29 00:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa12321…
05-28 02:43:43	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0x321b1a…
05-28 02:43:08	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x287c3f…
05-27 20:35:01	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x63ee8a…
05-27 20:34:38	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xcd58cf…
05-27 03:41:43	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	34	95¢	$33	0xa31a85…
05-27 01:51:26	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	34	67¢	$23	0x707284…
05-26 02:45:20	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x3e2352…
05-26 02:24:51	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x344145…
05-26 00:03:08	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	66	58¢	$38	0x92e698…
05-25 19:42:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xf68bd0…
05-25 19:42:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	65	81¢	$52	0xa3fd6a…
05-25 00:21:58	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x78175c…
05-23 22:19:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	152	20¢	$30	0xb624be…
05-23 22:17:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	52¢	$29	0xdd5101…
05-23 22:17:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x8a7130…
05-23 18:31:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x03be1d…
05-23 18:30:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x6933db…
05-23 18:19:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	65	59¢	$38	0x912612…
05-23 17:07:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x3e5853…
05-23 17:06:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x3b1154…
05-23 16:23:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	34¢	$65	0xc7f9a6…
05-23 16:02:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,667	1¢	$10	0xdc94d7…
05-23 15:24:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x7fc96c…
05-22 22:30:53	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	SELL	78	39¢	$30	0x9c20da…
05-22 22:04:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xa1e18d…
05-22 17:51:32	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	78	40¢	$31	0xc57f8a…
05-22 02:46:56	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xa9aeb3…
05-22 01:01:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	217	75¢	$163	0x881187…
05-21 23:48:52	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0xbb225b…
05-21 23:24:32	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	148	51¢	$75	0x97f3d5…
05-21 22:51:17	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xdcd1db…
05-21 22:47:46	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x639b3b…
05-21 22:40:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	56	67¢	$37	0x0bcec7…
05-21 05:00:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0x675438…
05-18 23:42:08	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xa4b2d4…
05-15 05:10:36	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x7b65e4…
05-14 23:08:05	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x3c562b…
05-14 23:07:46	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x74e371…
05-13 18:27:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	186	72¢	$134	0xeaff51…
05-13 17:21:24	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xe46b64…
05-13 04:45:47	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xd7fc64…
05-13 02:45:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	16¢	$14	0x214d44…
05-13 02:09:13	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x2a7276…
05-13 02:06:53	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	42	68¢	$29	0x451501…
05-13 02:01:20	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	99	92¢	$91	0x7bc6e3…
05-13 01:53:03	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	103	14¢	$14	0x985064…
05-12 23:30:05	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x9a9b18…
05-12 23:14:09	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x86c3a5…
05-12 22:05:00	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xe45edc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	188	$175.5K	2,180	06-08 20:20
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	165	$1.86M	32,710	06-10 01:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	158	$630.1K	51,052	06-10 01:08
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	157	$702.0K	13,448	06-05 02:55
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	156	$178.4K	2,109	06-08 22:26
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	150	$489.0K	59,919	06-10 00:11
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	148	$26.4K	6,905	06-09 16:53
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	147	$37.2M	55,859	06-10 04:52