Unfit-Savior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

Trades

843

lifetime

Volume

$36.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$167

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-01 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

37% 100% +$35

Sports

34% 67% +$49

Other

28% 100% +$13

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		-151	$-121	82¢	$-123	$-2	06-28 17:59
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		-682	$-55	6¢	$-44	+$10	07-01 03:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	11	$1.7K	1,428	1,428	+0	open	—	04-07 18:24
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	15	$1.2K	1,755	1,546	+209	open	—	02-16 05:03
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	5	$1.1K	632	632	+0	open	—	03-29 19:43
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	13	$1.1K	1,107	981	+126	open	—	03-30 11:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	14	$988	1,642	1,108	+533	open	—	01-23 17:47
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	17	$856	1,334	579	+756	open	—	02-13 17:07
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	3	$821	472	472	+0	open	—	03-07 19:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$744	790	597	+193	open	—	03-08 19:08
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	6	$554	263	567	-303	open	—	02-10 20:32
will norway win the most medal points in the 2026 winter olympics	6	$550	709	709	+0	open	—	02-17 13:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	11	$535	803	803	+0	open	—	03-27 19:24
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	7	$526	408	408	+0	open	—	02-15 15:55
will the us strike somalia next 656	3	$450	382	382	+0	open	—	01-22 21:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$418	953	0	+953	open	—	02-28 06:49
will italy win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$409	47	384	-337	open	—	02-22 16:47
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$407	345	345	+0	open	—	02-04 20:41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$396	258	258	+0	open	—	04-02 15:01
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	11	$386	2,035	2,035	+0	open	—	02-21 00:57
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	4	$381	380	380	+0	open	—	03-17 02:39
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$373	714	714	+0	open	—	03-05 05:02
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$351	763	763	+0	open	—	05-12 20:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$347	770	713	+57	open	—	05-23 18:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	8	$339	487	487	+0	open	—	03-08 21:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$288	174	217	-43	open	—	06-15 03:27
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	3	$277	217	217	+0	open	—	05-22 01:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$267	223	223	+0	open	—	03-31 02:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$254	176	176	+0	open	—	03-20 21:26
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$254	208	208	+0	open	—	05-13 18:27
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	2	$252	141	141	+0	open	—	03-30 23:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$251	306	185	+121	open	—	05-25 19:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 22:26:23	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Down	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x60a9e5…
07-01 22:26:01	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc79ee1…
07-01 22:25:47	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Down	SELL	96	14¢	$13	0x6d072c…
07-01 22:24:53	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Down	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x598e3d…
07-01 22:24:40	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x756c2c…
07-01 22:24:11	btc updown 15m 1782944100	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8d8710…
07-01 22:13:13	btc updown 15m 1782943200	Down	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0xb1463c…
07-01 22:13:01	btc updown 15m 1782943200	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xd307fe…
07-01 22:05:47	btc updown 15m 1782943200	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe2ef05…
07-01 03:09:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	682	8¢	$55	0x103738…
06-29 12:44:59	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	83	92¢	$76	0x38ba73…
06-28 17:59:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	151	80¢	$121	0x6e210c…
06-28 17:59:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb188e4…
06-28 17:17:52	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	BUY	83	57¢	$47	0x744e19…
06-24 23:32:13	btc updown 15m 1782343800	Up	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0xe13a95…
06-24 23:30:32	btc updown 15m 1782343800	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x524ae0…
06-24 23:23:46	btc updown 15m 1782342900	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc2a620…
06-24 22:51:53	btc updown 15m 1782341100	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x49d50f…
06-24 22:46:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	SELL	102	54¢	$55	0x2b0486…
06-24 20:58:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xd0b3bc…
06-24 20:27:05	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	SELL	25	47¢	$12	0x88765e…
06-21 14:31:02	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x082845…
06-20 06:13:49	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	126	20¢	$25	0x9238e8…
06-20 06:11:22	btc updown 15m 1781935200	Up	SELL	41	28¢	$12	0xc3d133…
06-20 06:09:52	btc updown 15m 1781935200	Up	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x901455…
06-19 02:59:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	66¢	$110	0xaf4f94…
06-17 02:54:03	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0x3bb983…
06-17 02:49:00	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	SELL	29	12¢	$4	0xc2b60f…
06-17 02:48:25	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xec50c9…
06-17 02:39:54	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x892387…
06-17 02:37:00	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	SELL	36	76¢	$28	0x94b110…
06-17 02:12:13	btc updown 15m 1781661600	Up	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x0e51ee…
06-17 02:07:43	btc updown 15m 1781661600	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x925c6d…
06-17 02:02:48	btc updown 15m 1781661600	Down	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0xa775fc…
06-17 02:02:30	btc updown 15m 1781661600	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbc6f1b…
06-17 01:42:04	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x638d1c…
06-15 20:46:58	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0x2cbad7…
06-15 03:28:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0x625e3d…
06-15 03:27:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0xdc6376…
06-14 23:32:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0x83af4e…
06-12 17:16:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xb1dae2…
06-12 02:33:57	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Hurricanes	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x65dfb2…
06-12 00:15:49	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Hurricanes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x32963f…
06-12 00:10:19	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0xfa84f2…
06-11 23:39:36	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x281520…
06-11 21:17:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	613	1¢	$9	0x626949…
06-11 17:58:42	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0ef513…
06-11 17:57:58	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x94f5b0…
06-11 05:07:24	btc updown 15m 1781154000	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9236e7…
06-10 19:47:12	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x2ff497…
06-10 19:16:18	btc updown 15m 1781118900	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xa3cc4b…
06-10 19:15:24	btc updown 15m 1781118900	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa9abd9…
06-08 22:39:16	btc updown 15m 1780957800	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x17e2a7…
06-08 22:24:19	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Down	SELL	42	28¢	$12	0x2f571e…
06-08 22:23:07	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x053c37…
06-08 22:21:36	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Up	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x0be72e…
06-08 22:20:13	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb38c6a…
06-08 15:32:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xac98c0…
06-08 05:47:57	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x61e1f3…
06-08 05:46:54	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x3c6a42…
06-07 20:18:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x31f1db…
06-07 17:54:21	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe7cbb5…
06-07 17:52:54	btc updown 5m 1780854600	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x16e2b9…
06-07 17:47:06	andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	Yes	SELL	35	79¢	$28	0xefa4c1…
06-05 03:31:51	btc updown 5m 1780630200	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa6d908…
06-05 03:30:34	btc updown 5m 1780630200	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x55ca84…
06-05 03:26:57	btc updown 5m 1780629900	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa4fb94…
06-05 02:53:13	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xdd8978…
06-05 02:43:42	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	47	17¢	$8	0x284e3e…
06-04 23:06:57	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Hurricanes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x16af70…
06-04 22:50:48	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x4ed5ad…
06-04 22:50:33	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x3ce7a1…
06-04 22:45:52	btc updown 5m 1780613100	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xd3e86e…
06-04 22:43:42	btc updown 5m 1780612800	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x0ed725…
06-04 22:40:33	btc updown 5m 1780612800	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xefeb1e…
06-04 22:36:00	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5afde5…
06-04 21:13:30	nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xab2c6c…
06-04 21:06:09	btc updown 5m 1780607100	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x63a577…
06-04 21:02:09	btc updown 5m 1780606800	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xdad053…
06-04 15:39:31	will cristiano ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x2f0103…
06-03 17:02:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	29¢	$22	0xc8b646…
06-01 22:17:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x3986d4…
06-01 22:17:11	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xf3c828…
06-01 19:08:20	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xb2fbb8…
06-01 01:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	27¢	$8	0x924dc5…
06-01 01:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x471c9c…
05-30 14:01:09	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x03282e…
05-30 13:56:30	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	47	49¢	$23	0x9da40c…
05-29 16:25:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	93¢	$67	0x736454…
05-29 15:25:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	66	75¢	$49	0x590d11…
05-29 04:26:19	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	312	3¢	$8	0xd78ebe…
05-29 01:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xfb4bee…
05-29 01:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd11719…
05-29 01:25:16	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x927ea8…
05-29 01:21:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	66	79¢	$52	0x32f909…
05-29 01:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4b25fb…
05-29 01:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x605bab…
05-29 01:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	56	51¢	$28	0x427ce5…
05-29 01:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x64275d…
05-29 00:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xb0869b…