Quarterly-Mutton — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

94 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$114 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-13 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 31% -$18

Other

17% 44% +$1

Sports

14% 0% -$2

Tech

4% 33% -$1

Politics

4% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-22 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$5	112	4	+108	Down	$0	05-01 05:01
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$5	16	16	+0	No	$0	06-05 02:46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$5	28	28	+0	No	$0	06-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$4	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 04:43
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$4	102	2	+100	Down	$0	05-06 04:53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-11 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 06:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$3	18	18	+0	open	—	05-17 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 09:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-06 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 07:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 09:58
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	05-01 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-01 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$2	103	0	+103	Down	-$2	05-01 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	05-06 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$2	05-22 09:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 16:06
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	04-30 12:34
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 14:47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	05-22 10:02
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	$0	05-01 08:26
Will Neymar win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1	33	33	+0	No	-$1	06-13 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	05-01 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:09:18	Will Neymar win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x9c2143…
06-05 13:25:00	Will Neymar win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x5e6a05…
06-05 13:22:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x90aedf…
06-05 03:49:12	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x171c76…
06-05 03:41:10	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x7fb863…
06-05 02:46:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x4be092…
06-05 02:46:45	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xb2222d…
06-05 02:46:36	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x595cd5…
06-02 17:17:03	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x5f87cf…
06-02 16:45:05	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x188e44…
06-02 16:12:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1f6006…
06-02 16:06:47	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x06bd51…
05-28 19:30:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7d85ba…
05-28 19:29:51	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8c3fa7…
05-28 19:28:20	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xd32ae5…
05-28 19:22:51	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0x2e22c2…
05-24 11:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xadbb13…
05-24 11:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc164d1…
05-24 11:45:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6147e0…
05-22 10:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x57af90…
05-22 10:02:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x6148b0…
05-22 09:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3e5c45…
05-22 09:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfed564…
05-22 09:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4449da…
05-22 07:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x460f56…
05-22 07:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe2a584…
05-22 07:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcb7cb7…
05-22 07:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x26dc2e…
05-22 07:00:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x273e4f…
05-17 14:51:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb68202…
05-17 14:47:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xd802d2…
05-17 14:47:30	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x73a804…
05-11 09:38:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x31568b…
05-11 09:34:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x9f9e7f…
05-06 16:09:50	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5922c4…
05-06 15:58:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x39aa20…
05-06 07:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdf0df7…
05-06 06:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa3ed6f…
05-06 06:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xdfc90b…
05-06 06:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x719754…
05-06 05:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdd8e7e…
05-06 05:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8f420b…
05-06 04:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa4f504…
05-06 04:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xe74db1…
05-06 04:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaf4e24…
05-06 04:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xcac7f9…
05-06 04:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdb1427…
05-06 03:00:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0805d8…
05-04 00:22:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xed6fde…
05-04 00:12:36	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x44f6d0…
05-04 00:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7804e2…
05-04 00:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x53b567…
05-03 17:34:48	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x11097b…
05-01 10:21:18	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x34e587…
05-01 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x50a405…
05-01 10:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6fa172…
05-01 10:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x29125e…
05-01 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5a146a…
05-01 09:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbb40b8…
05-01 09:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1c7ba3…
05-01 09:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1a3572…
05-01 09:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x3ba9c3…
05-01 09:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd63de5…
05-01 09:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x3d1129…
05-01 09:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x63cdb5…
05-01 08:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x766e3e…
05-01 08:34:06	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0f3d57…
05-01 08:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x568026…
05-01 08:26:24	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x606954…
05-01 08:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa368f4…
05-01 08:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb99a28…
05-01 07:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x90030d…
05-01 07:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2bbf29…
05-01 07:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x692062…
05-01 07:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7c6694…
05-01 05:16:56	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x27d50a…
05-01 05:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88bff0…
05-01 05:08:34	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7e721a…
05-01 05:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x488f0f…
05-01 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd34053…
05-01 04:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xda793a…
05-01 04:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x88e923…
05-01 04:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3193c…
05-01 04:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbfe577…
05-01 04:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x87142f…
05-01 04:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfb8ef4…
05-01 04:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa01dec…
05-01 04:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5a83f6…
05-01 04:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd0747d…
05-01 04:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x423b97…
05-01 04:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xff2ecf…
05-01 04:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbd766d…
04-30 12:36:58	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xc5be99…
04-30 12:34:04	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x254469…