Realized P&L (90d)
+$309
Unrealized P&L
+$336
Hit rate
20.3%
Resolved (90d)
4
Trades (90d)
58
58 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.38K
$5.38K lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$3.30K
10 positions
First seen
2026-09-07
last 10-30 11:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
50% 50% +$309
Politics
50% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +698 $600 96¢ $666 +$66 09-11 13:46
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +596 $407 92¢ $545 +$138 10-28 13:45
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +578 $530 94¢ $540 +$10 09-10 15:32
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +470 $394 94¢ $439 +$45 09-25 14:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +367 $330 94¢ $346 +$16 09-15 21:25
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +251 $237 92¢ $232 -$6 10-21 09:04
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? No +210 $199 95¢ $199 -$1 10-30 11:21
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +470 $108 28¢ $129 +$21 10-30 11:56
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +440 $62 24¢ $106 +$43 10-30 11:37
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +135 $100 76¢ $102 +$2 10-28 13:44