Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$341

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

74 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$6.56K lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

$2.86K

8 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-05 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

56% 71% +$35

Other

44% 67% +$343

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+698	$600	95¢	$665	+$65	09-11 13:46
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	+596	$407	96¢	$569	+$162	10-28 13:45
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	+578	$530	95¢	$550	+$20	09-10 15:32
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	+470	$394	94¢	$444	+$50	09-25 14:43
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	+251	$237	96¢	$242	+$4	10-21 09:04
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?	No	+210	$199	96¢	$201	+$1	10-30 11:21
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+135	$100	82¢	$111	+$11	10-28 13:44
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+82	$54	99¢	$81	+$27	11-05 08:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	6	$794	816	220	+596	open	—	10-28 13:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$696	367	367	+0	No	+$36	11-04 09:49
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	11	$633	1,526	1,526	+0	No	+$33	11-03 17:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	6	$618	364	364	+0	No	+$20	10-28 13:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	3	$600	698	0	+698	open	—	09-11 13:46
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	3	$530	578	0	+578	open	—	09-10 15:32
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	4	$394	470	0	+470	open	—	09-25 14:43
Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	3	$384	3,491	3,491	+0	No	-$14	10-22 16:33
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	5	$330	740	740	+0	open	—	11-03 17:06
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	4	$306	213	132	+82	open	—	11-05 08:46
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	4	$237	251	0	+251	open	—	10-21 09:04
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	1	$200	250	0	+250	Yes	-$200	09-16 12:20
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?	1	$199	210	0	+210	open	—	10-30 11:21
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	2	$131	870	870	+0	No	-$69	10-22 16:29
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	135	0	+135	open	—	10-28 13:44
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	1	$75	90	0	+90	Yes	+$15	11-03 23:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$75	89	0	+89	Yes	+$14	11-03 23:58
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	5	$74	104	52	+52	Yes	+$26	11-04 00:49
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	2	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	09-11 13:46
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	1	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	+$7	11-03 22:16
katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	5	$43	223	0	+223	Yes	+$180	10-13 15:51
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$19	14	14	+0	Yes	-$1	09-29 13:26
katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 31	1	$13	343	0	+343	Yes	+$330	10-13 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 08:46:12	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0x776fde…
11-04 16:28:09	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xcff112…
11-04 13:25:33	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xfa3e79…
11-04 10:05:03	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	121	82¢	$100	0x43f43b…
11-04 09:49:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	367	100¢	$366	0x1cba08…
11-04 00:49:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0xa8d367…
11-04 00:49:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	46¢	$8	0x8e19b4…
11-04 00:49:40	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x062493…
11-03 23:58:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	84¢	$75	0x13b621…
11-03 23:57:25	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	83¢	$75	0xf1ba6d…
11-03 22:16:39	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x15e366…
11-03 19:49:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xee8fd4…
11-03 19:49:43	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	101	48¢	$49	0x8d1e4c…
11-03 17:06:06	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	440	21¢	$92	0x98909d…
11-03 17:05:42	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	235	29¢	$68	0x30b648…
11-02 15:56:00	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	235	31¢	$73	0xa0b16b…
10-30 11:56:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	157	24¢	$38	0x39f9dc…
10-30 11:37:33	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	300	29¢	$88	0xf715d4…
10-30 11:21:49	Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$199	0xe687a9…
10-29 10:11:59	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xd569c4…
10-29 09:40:01	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x32a370…
10-28 13:45:16	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xde0171…
10-28 13:44:50	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x05de6c…
10-28 13:43:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	107	98¢	$106	0xf76ce5…
10-22 16:33:06	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,491	5¢	$185	0xd90a9b…
10-22 16:32:08	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	900	17¢	$154	0x2fddbf…
10-22 16:29:26	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	870	4¢	$31	0xca8652…
10-22 13:47:54	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x0a1bd7…
10-22 13:46:57	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	59	19¢	$11	0x6b96b6…
10-22 13:46:47	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	242	19¢	$46	0xcb6805…
10-22 13:46:47	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0x431cd6…
10-22 13:46:44	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	183	19¢	$35	0xdd6bf6…
10-22 13:45:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xd4b1cc…
10-22 13:37:11	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	870	11¢	$100	0x71d51e…
10-22 12:56:12	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x12818f…
10-22 12:44:24	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,737	6¢	$99	0xc92f46…
10-22 12:43:54	Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,754	6¢	$100	0x4b7696…
10-22 12:40:09	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	87¢	$104	0xf045d6…
10-21 09:04:38	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	190	95¢	$180	0x760330…
10-20 22:48:29	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xdc6311…
10-20 13:40:32	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xb06042…
10-20 12:07:02	Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x293da9…
10-20 11:54:08	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xdaa07e…
10-13 17:24:12	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x8f4316…
10-13 15:51:48	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3dd94a…
10-13 15:45:36	katie zacharia out as press secretary by october 31	Yes	BUY	343	4¢	$13	0x71edbd…
10-13 15:41:33	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x361cfc…
10-13 15:38:46	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	59	22¢	$13	0xc80df9…
10-13 15:38:26	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xf1dac6…
10-13 15:38:22	katie zacharia out as press secretary by december 31	Yes	BUY	57	19¢	$11	0xbd6ad0…
09-29 13:26:15	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0xcdf86d…
09-25 14:43:06	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	89¢	$99	0x6bd1c0…
09-25 08:19:41	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	107	83¢	$89	0x75b08b…
09-25 08:16:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	83¢	$124	0x41570d…
09-16 12:20:57	Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x97d565…
09-16 09:33:57	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x5faa42…
09-16 09:29:51	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb00e5e…
09-15 21:25:03	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	367	90¢	$330	0x9b7f70…
09-15 19:39:49	Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	79¢	$90	0x9be82b…
09-15 10:31:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x9afd14…
09-15 10:27:13	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xf9116d…
09-15 10:25:49	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xbd6a42…
09-14 07:43:21	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	71¢	$48	0x95c625…
09-13 07:29:30	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	633	71¢	$449	0xdc486a…
09-12 16:17:46	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xce404f…
09-11 13:46:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x4abdb5…
09-11 13:46:22	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x312ffd…
09-10 15:32:37	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	380	92¢	$350	0xd0d0a1…
09-10 13:12:45	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	154	91¢	$140	0xc51f5b…
09-09 11:47:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0xd39df5…
09-08 16:00:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xb1486d…
09-07 14:08:31	Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xa92d68…
09-07 14:02:04	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf319c0…
09-07 13:56:15	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xfea061…