Tangible-Harpsichord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$35.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

$37

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-08 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

86% 50% $-12

Other

13% 0% $-1

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+25	$24	99¢	$25	+$0	06-08 06:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	+7	$7	99¢	$7	+$0	06-08 06:43
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	06-08 06:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	98	$16.7K	8,849	8,570	+279	open	—	05-17 23:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	35	$11.7K	5,334	6,557	-1,223	No	$-12	05-03 03:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	48	$4.4K	3,999	502	+3,497	open	—	05-28 16:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	12	$1.3K	1,355	0	+1,355	open	—	04-30 08:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	3	$250	135	120	+15	open	—	05-17 15:09
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$235	127	127	+0	open	—	05-03 11:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$147	74	74	+0	open	—	05-29 20:44
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 11:39
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-26 00:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	06-08 06:37
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 17:04
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-17 17:09
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	05-02 13:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 15:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 16:52
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-08 06:43
XMAQUINA FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-02 15:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-02 16:55
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-08 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 02:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 17:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-17 17:34
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$1	500	0	+500	Yes	$-1	05-03 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 06:43:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xaadcb7…
06-08 06:41:22	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91e579…
06-08 06:37:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x4d51ad…
05-29 20:44:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x375576…
05-28 16:56:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x9dfcb3…
05-26 00:21:03	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1c2343…
05-20 17:04:20	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3d1048…
05-17 23:07:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1,279	96¢	$1,227	0x4cc0d1…
05-17 23:07:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1,847	96¢	$1,771	0x9fb88c…
05-17 22:38:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf6e3bb…
05-17 22:32:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf669a2…
05-17 22:31:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0x5dcc15…
05-17 22:22:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x8fb8fd…
05-17 22:17:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd2f8e3…
05-17 22:17:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x866b86…
05-17 22:11:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	466	96¢	$446	0x5a6961…
05-17 22:06:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x2efb07…
05-17 22:04:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	143	96¢	$137	0x015842…
05-17 21:48:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$958	0x5522d9…
05-17 21:48:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	436	96¢	$416	0x13cb42…
05-17 21:47:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfefa8b…
05-17 21:47:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x91ad4e…
05-17 21:47:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x840f64…
05-17 21:47:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x71a02c…
05-17 21:47:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6b95ad…
05-17 21:47:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x19ce17…
05-17 21:47:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa412de…
05-17 21:43:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa6d4b6…
05-17 21:40:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3cfd80…
05-17 21:39:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x350fa9…
05-17 21:36:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x42f854…
05-17 21:30:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x060959…
05-17 21:30:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe3def3…
05-17 21:28:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	147	95¢	$139	0x09ce9b…
05-17 21:28:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xcbc9d5…
05-17 21:28:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	342	95¢	$324	0x0de86b…
05-17 21:28:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1,335	95¢	$1,261	0x79bc3a…
05-17 21:27:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x710826…
05-17 21:21:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8f1777…
05-17 21:16:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x174aeb…
05-17 21:14:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x7f4785…
05-17 21:01:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x9528b0…
05-17 21:00:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x8b95a5…
05-17 21:00:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	2,061	95¢	$1,966	0x6996ef…
05-17 20:56:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x315ed1…
05-17 20:56:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x97e1bf…
05-17 20:55:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	71	95¢	$68	0x0e0944…
05-17 20:52:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe21913…
05-17 20:52:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	2,004	95¢	$1,906	0x662029…
05-17 20:49:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	228	95¢	$217	0x313ffb…
05-17 20:48:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x6cdf9f…
05-17 20:45:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x84f4b5…
05-17 20:37:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x575768…
05-17 20:37:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x0b0e65…
05-17 20:37:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x06ff83…
05-17 20:33:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0b90c8…
05-17 20:32:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe569d4…
05-17 20:30:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6b1d28…
05-17 20:29:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x5ffc57…
05-17 20:26:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x988759…
05-17 20:26:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x893b8b…
05-17 20:22:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x4e696f…
05-17 20:21:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd43fef…
05-17 20:21:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa8a44b…
05-17 20:21:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6742c8…
05-17 20:21:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe6acfa…
05-17 20:20:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc13b3a…
05-17 20:20:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xccd342…
05-17 20:20:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xde6566…
05-17 20:20:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4b767e…
05-17 20:20:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x21a803…
05-17 20:16:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xddb08d…
05-17 20:16:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x5e85e1…
05-17 20:15:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xd63598…
05-17 20:14:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x1b75f0…
05-17 20:10:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x55857c…
05-17 20:09:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x37b76c…
05-17 20:02:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x54ba8c…
05-17 19:59:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x29f694…
05-17 19:53:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfa4f47…
05-17 19:53:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb11501…
05-17 19:53:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x62b347…
05-17 19:52:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4f191b…
05-17 19:52:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc3b394…
05-17 19:52:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7dd838…
05-17 19:52:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x66691b…
05-17 19:51:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x07446e…
05-17 19:51:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	115	95¢	$109	0x438af9…
05-17 19:50:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	85	95¢	$81	0x8fce7c…
05-17 19:07:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	555	96¢	$533	0xebb041…
05-17 19:07:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x68d6c9…
05-17 19:07:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x229ba9…
05-17 19:06:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8170e2…
05-17 19:06:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	238	96¢	$229	0x78f474…
05-17 19:06:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2b6d28…
05-17 19:05:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa372eb…
05-17 19:05:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	172	96¢	$165	0x478a0f…
05-17 19:05:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	185	96¢	$178	0x8e2398…
05-17 18:59:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	190	96¢	$183	0x0f96db…
05-17 18:59:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	403	96¢	$388	0x4edcce…