Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

340

lifetime

Volume

$317.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$934

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-08 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

91% 100% +$142

Other

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$22.9K	11,458	11,458	+0	open	—	03-02 04:56
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	3	$16.2K	8,268	8,268	+0	open	—	02-22 16:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	14	$14.5K	7,550	7,550	+0	open	—	04-14 23:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$12.2K	6,341	6,341	-0	No	+$30	05-06 08:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	11	$11.0K	5,823	5,823	+0	open	—	04-17 13:42
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	19	$10.6K	7,385	7,385	+0	open	—	01-30 20:47
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	4	$9.0K	4,514	4,514	+0	open	—	01-30 04:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$8.7K	9,275	0	+9,275	open	—	04-17 13:43
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$8.1K	8,932	0	+8,932	open	—	02-22 16:58
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	10	$7.9K	8,014	0	+8,014	open	—	02-20 15:34
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$7.7K	7,878	0	+7,878	open	—	02-19 14:58
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	12	$7.5K	7,720	0	+7,720	open	—	02-18 19:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$7.2K	4,094	4,094	+0	open	—	04-06 02:19
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	27	$7.0K	7,450	0	+7,450	open	—	02-14 18:32
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	20	$6.9K	6,999	0	+6,999	open	—	02-13 18:26
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$6.9K	6,903	0	+6,903	open	—	02-12 19:14
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	4	$6.8K	6,855	0	+6,855	open	—	02-11 20:18
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$6.8K	6,827	0	+6,827	open	—	02-10 11:57
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	2	$6.7K	6,765	0	+6,765	open	—	02-08 21:50
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	4	$6.7K	6,705	0	+6,705	open	—	02-07 15:56
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	3	$6.6K	6,643	0	+6,643	open	—	02-04 18:02
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$6.5K	6,573	0	+6,573	open	—	02-03 17:07
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$6.5K	6,533	0	+6,533	open	—	02-02 15:03
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	6	$6.4K	6,493	0	+6,493	open	—	02-01 19:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	37	$6.2K	8,027	0	+8,027	open	—	03-02 07:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	6	$6.1K	6,441	0	+6,441	open	—	01-31 17:50
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$6.1K	6,150	0	+6,150	open	—	01-30 20:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	6	$5.3K	5,721	100	+5,621	open	—	03-05 22:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$5.2K	5,510	0	+5,510	open	—	04-15 02:20
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	12	$5.2K	5,254	0	+5,254	open	—	02-06 17:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:12:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	3,860	94¢	$3,636	0x8c1f04…
05-10 23:48:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,408	29¢	$2,728	0xf381c8…
05-10 23:40:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xf4ccd7…
05-10 23:39:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	29¢	$160	0xd64446…
05-10 23:39:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x47c546…
05-10 23:39:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf609bc…
05-09 12:49:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	86¢	$1,032	0xd8bb1b…
05-08 16:43:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	1,250	81¢	$1,014	0x3afcce…
05-08 15:54:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x96ff46…
05-08 15:22:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc3fee7…
05-08 15:08:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	373	48¢	$179	0x25694a…
05-08 15:03:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xa3e887…
05-08 14:07:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,486	48¢	$713	0xfea7c8…
05-08 09:36:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	3,116	97¢	$3,031	0x76e8e9…
05-07 18:52:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	568	98¢	$555	0x02b7d0…
05-07 18:52:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x595c7d…
05-07 18:52:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xa81716…
05-07 18:52:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$106	0x05c029…
05-06 16:27:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	86¢	$1,032	0xf9f197…
05-06 10:44:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0x9ea032…
05-06 10:29:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbe8b04…
05-06 10:22:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf69b54…
05-06 10:22:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xd31267…
05-06 10:22:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xbb5077…
05-06 10:22:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x544de4…
05-06 10:21:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x8272d6…
05-06 10:16:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c989f…
05-06 10:13:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f402d…
05-06 09:53:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb50bae…
05-06 09:51:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	196	98¢	$191	0x365a04…
05-06 09:41:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xbdf2d1…
05-06 08:55:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	6,341	96¢	$6,118	0x20cf79…
05-04 15:29:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xf7493f…
05-04 15:29:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$56	0xe5f3d6…
05-04 15:29:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x9eb833…
05-04 15:29:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	734	96¢	$706	0xb7710d…
05-04 15:29:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5,506	96¢	$5,286	0x35e35f…
04-17 13:43:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5,570	99¢	$5,509	0xb27c4f…
04-17 13:42:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$946	0x27893c…
04-17 13:41:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2,543	95¢	$2,406	0xd7e57a…
04-17 13:31:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	2,279	95¢	$2,156	0xc5be81…
04-16 12:24:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	998	94¢	$938	0x00eac6…
04-16 12:16:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xafcbfe…
04-16 12:09:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xd0a2e4…
04-16 12:06:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x58db47…
04-16 12:06:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x4b976d…
04-16 12:06:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x498965…
04-16 12:03:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	94	94¢	$89	0xbd6251…
04-16 08:48:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3,646	95¢	$3,463	0x54ebb3…
04-15 02:20:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	364	95¢	$346	0x1dbc15…
04-15 02:19:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5,146	95¢	$4,878	0xf95d9a…
04-14 23:46:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,500	81¢	$2,025	0x903c65…
04-14 23:31:54	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	711	96¢	$682	0xce699b…
04-14 23:31:50	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	3,042	96¢	$2,921	0xf35f6a…
04-14 23:28:38	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xb5fd10…
04-14 23:28:38	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x90ffb3…
04-14 23:28:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xeb6920…
04-14 23:28:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xa9b4ef…
04-14 23:28:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x5a2779…
04-14 23:28:34	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x387f0d…
04-14 23:28:32	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x89aa36…
04-14 23:28:32	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x07c0da…
04-14 23:28:30	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	710	96¢	$681	0xf8d249…
04-14 23:28:30	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x8ff52e…
04-14 23:28:28	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	2,849	96¢	$2,735	0x0d8ca9…
04-13 03:33:47	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	7,550	96¢	$7,248	0x0d02a3…
04-06 23:37:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,657	59¢	$978	0xa993ff…
04-06 23:18:13	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xdb9b6c…
04-06 23:13:29	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x00692d…
04-06 23:08:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2dcf38…
04-06 23:03:49	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe9592e…
04-06 23:00:59	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	59¢	$40	0x6f969a…
04-06 23:00:47	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	109	59¢	$64	0xe427fc…
04-06 22:58:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc7fc2b…
04-06 22:53:43	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xe8fe28…
04-06 22:51:19	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	109	59¢	$64	0xa65018…
04-06 22:46:29	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x399fa2…
04-06 22:41:59	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc1372b…
04-06 22:41:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3a663b…
04-06 22:37:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x6ebe00…
04-06 22:35:53	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x2dae3d…
04-06 22:32:43	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0dc870…
04-06 22:30:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x50fa7d…
04-06 22:25:49	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x6fbc5f…
04-06 22:15:41	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x28d1ce…
04-06 22:11:23	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x89833d…
04-06 22:10:51	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xfaf1f2…
04-06 22:06:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x050793…
04-06 22:02:47	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0xa04156…
04-06 02:32:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	700	42¢	$294	0x04b1c5…
04-06 02:19:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xce5b7e…
04-06 02:18:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	54	83¢	$45	0xbbd1b9…
04-06 02:18:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x1ec103…
04-06 02:18:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	4,020	83¢	$3,337	0x83ca03…
04-06 00:14:03	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	46	47¢	$22	0x24be5a…
04-06 00:13:31	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	550	47¢	$258	0x036c61…
04-04 06:16:27	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,228	72¢	$884	0x49e7eb…
04-04 06:00:27	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,503	72¢	$1,082	0xafcafb…
04-03 06:53:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	4,094	94¢	$3,848	0xfea937…
04-02 18:12:11	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	384	59¢	$227	0x5a2fab…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	52	$5.28M	15,942	06-09 20:43
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	49	$11.7M	16,383	06-09 22:51
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	47	$538.2K	7,574	06-09 22:24
Hateful-Generation 0x4478…02a4	45	$444.3K	1,613	06-09 22:16
Dutiful-Limit 0xc3e4…5bf6	45	$416.9K	543	06-09 16:35
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	45	$80.7K	440	06-08 22:11
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	45	$47.6K	940	05-16 22:51
Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65	44	$2.12M	3,652	06-09 21:58