Realized P&L (30d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved (30d)
37
Trades (30d)
273
14,931 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$481
$407.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$62
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-29 10:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 122 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 84% -$754
Politics
1% 65% -$4
Other
0% 82% +$5
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 10-23 14:03
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-23 14:02
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $0 10-23 14:03
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $0 10-23 14:03
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 $5 40¢ $4 -$1 10-23 14:03
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-23 14:02
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-28 10:09
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4 $2 33¢ $1 -$1 10-28 12:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:54
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:53
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:54
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:53
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:52
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:43
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-28 10:09
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:54
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:53
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:51
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:53
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:54
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-28 13:54