Realized P&L
-$737
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved
3,257
Trades
15,295
lifetime
Volume
$408.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$126
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 11-09 10:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 84% -$736
Politics
1% 70% -$6
Other
0% 81% +$4
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 11-05 10:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 $0 11-06 10:05
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 11-08 09:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +7 $6 94¢ $6 +$0 11-09 10:18
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-23 14:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 11-07 20:51
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 11-08 09:46
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 10-23 14:03
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 $5 46¢ $5 $0 10-23 14:03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 10-23 14:03
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 10-23 14:02
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 11-08 07:48
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 10-23 14:02
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $0 10-23 14:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +2 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 11-09 10:18
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 11-09 10:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +3 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 11-09 10:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 11-09 10:18
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-23 14:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 11-09 10:18
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 10-23 14:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 $0 11-08 07:49
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $0 11-06 06:48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $2 62¢ $2 $0 11-08 07:49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 11-07 20:58
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 11-07 20:50
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 11-07 20:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 11-07 20:57
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 11-07 20:58