Adored-Polyester — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$443

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

415

Trades

1,081

lifetime

Volume

$45.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-12 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

55% 76% -$223

Sports

31% 60% -$158

Crypto

13% 77% -$12

Politics

1% 20% -$51

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$1.7K	2,949	2,949	+0	Yes	+$85	05-29 02:51
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$1.2K	4,065	4,015	+50	No	-$275	07-19 09:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 29?	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$0	04-30 04:49
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.0K	18,528	18,528	+0	No	+$55	06-16 21:22
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	Yes	+$6	04-30 20:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	3	$854	430	430	+0	Yes	+$4	05-01 15:59
Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$799	402	402	+0	No	-$1	05-04 23:17
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	4	$747	464	464	+0	Yes	+$98	06-22 18:57
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$745	23,251	23,251	+0	No	-$61	06-25 00:34
Will England win?	6	$701	377	377	+0	Yes	+$52	06-07 12:39
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$665	5,194	5,194	+0	No	-$31	06-20 02:50
Will New Zealand win?	5	$664	355	355	+0	Yes	+$46	06-21 11:01
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$641	19,099	19,099	+0	No	+$26	06-11 20:55
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	3	$613	321	321	+0	Yes	+$29	06-23 00:29
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$566	18,877	18,877	+0	No	$0	06-18 04:09
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$559	2,586	2,586	+0	No	+$21	06-17 17:08
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$540	15,250	15,250	+0	No	-$20	06-21 20:46
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$530	17,086	17,086	+0	No	+$17	06-13 19:54
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$507	20,287	20,287	+0	No	+$20	06-13 01:39
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	2	$426	213	213	+0	Peshawar Zalmi	+$0	05-03 19:49
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$424	19,284	19,284	+0	No	+$39	06-15 21:39
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$422	222	222	+0	Knicks	+$22	06-06 03:31
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	7	$402	202	202	+0	Yes	+$2	05-31 17:56
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	2	$392	201	201	+0	Scotland	+$10	05-30 16:08
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	6	$384	262	262	+0	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$20	05-17 13:46
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$378	203	180	+23	Yes	+$5	05-05 20:15
crint ind4 afg2 2026 06 20	2	$376	200	200	+0	India	+$24	06-20 13:22
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?	3	$375	192	192	+0	No	-$2	06-04 19:51
Will Bangladesh win?	11	$374	224	224	+0	Yes	+$35	05-19 20:21
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$373	3,420	3,420	+0	No	+$17	06-14 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 12:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x19dc5e…
11-12 12:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x03615f…
11-12 12:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3dfac1…
11-12 12:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on November 12?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe3e403…
11-12 09:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x6b1c5d…
11-12 04:41:43	Warriors vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x28ca1d…
11-12 04:30:54	Magic vs. Jazz	Magic	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xb663bd…
11-12 03:39:51	Magic vs. Jazz	Magic	BUY	35	59¢	$21	0x9d5c35…
11-12 03:32:18	Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Nuggets	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x4e456f…
11-12 03:00:07	Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Nuggets	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x8a5e73…
11-12 02:48:18	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xff09ce…
11-12 02:33:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x9c6130…
11-11 17:03:51	Celtics vs. Raptors	Celtics	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0xce22e3…
11-11 17:03:01	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x94a320…
11-11 12:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbbddfc…
11-11 12:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb94c6d…
11-11 12:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8e35ea…
11-11 12:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 11?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbd61b3…
11-11 09:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xabfddb…
11-11 09:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xcd09df…
11-10 20:59:07	Heat vs. Jazz	Heat	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xe8fc6f…
11-10 20:56:40	Clippers vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xdb81d5…
11-10 20:47:52	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x29ca7a…
11-10 20:45:37	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0x074c97…
11-10 12:17:18	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	22	57¢	$12	0x9eafac…
11-10 12:16:40	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x375a80…
11-10 12:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf791ff…
11-10 09:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe69d4a…
11-09 07:32:21	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Cavaliers	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0ca577…
11-09 07:31:54	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc01cad…
11-09 07:21:42	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xb24262…
11-09 07:21:22	Spurs vs. Suns	Spurs	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xdb46ea…
11-08 17:16:09	Heat vs. Kings	Heat	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x843828…
10-25 09:20:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xeaab05…
10-24 09:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2a96e0…
10-24 09:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x9e436b…
10-24 08:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0xa20ca7…
10-23 08:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd497e4…
10-23 05:12:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcd1ee4…
10-21 09:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb6c03e…
10-21 08:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x039092…
10-20 09:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x367267…
10-20 05:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xea5e71…
10-19 15:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0x409061…
10-19 15:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	36	80¢	$28	0x0861a2…
10-19 15:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xfc0580…
10-19 11:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x74d0cc…
10-19 11:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xb6afe8…
10-19 11:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7be9a1…
10-19 11:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xdeae5d…
10-19 09:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x7536ec…
10-19 08:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x4e34e1…
10-19 08:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb9bc9a…
10-19 08:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xaf64b8…
10-19 08:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbe6b05…
10-18 17:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xf9214b…
10-18 17:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x81b6d8…
10-18 17:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x49599b…
10-18 17:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	60	16¢	$9	0x2790ae…
10-18 17:07:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfbc994…
10-18 08:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x668a14…
10-17 22:26:21	Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x9dc2bc…
10-17 22:04:29	Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x4e62f2…
10-17 21:50:29	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xe43aee…
10-17 21:26:54	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x7466c8…
10-17 20:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x3353bf…
10-17 08:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xd2f5cc…
10-17 08:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x2c9318…
10-17 08:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x25dc6a…
10-17 08:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xff24d4…
10-17 08:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xb24790…
10-16 08:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x97fca6…
10-16 08:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xcc07b0…
10-16 08:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x52f732…
10-15 09:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8b4a85…
10-15 08:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x194ad8…
10-15 08:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x7edb05…
10-15 08:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x7cffea…
10-14 20:32:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xd594ba…
10-14 08:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x368ca7…
10-13 15:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x30b9f2…
10-13 13:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x11b1e4…
10-13 11:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x773a0a…
10-13 09:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x137efa…
10-13 04:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x2bd58d…
10-12 22:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0ca9da…
10-12 20:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xab188f…
10-12 18:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5a7fdb…
10-12 16:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x578171…
10-12 16:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf144a0…
10-12 16:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x55fcc8…
10-12 14:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xaef798…
10-12 13:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x8afb0e…
10-12 13:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x785e24…
10-12 13:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$15	0x423297…
10-12 13:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x3aea25…
10-12 13:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x194fec…
10-12 13:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12?	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x5016c6…
10-12 09:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x9800f4…
10-12 08:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x901835…