Worn-Bungalow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$9.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-19 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Politics

18% 0% $-1

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	12	$485	337	337	+0	open	—	04-07 07:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	8	$359	186	186	+0	No	$-0	05-08 06:35
will the uk join the board of peace	4	$358	181	181	+0	open	—	03-30 22:57
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$343	174	174	+0	open	—	04-09 01:03
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$342	175	175	+0	open	—	04-05 07:40
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$313	162	162	+0	open	—	03-26 02:28
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$200	366	366	+0	open	—	04-10 12:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$200	194	194	+0	open	—	05-12 13:36
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$193	99	99	+0	open	—	04-27 08:07
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$189	95	95	+0	open	—	05-07 03:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	6	$185	264	264	+0	open	—	05-08 21:43
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$183	97	97	+0	open	—	04-12 09:07
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	2	$183	98	98	+0	open	—	04-11 09:48
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$183	94	94	+0	open	—	04-12 18:00
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$181	92	92	+0	open	—	04-09 09:36
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$181	96	96	+0	open	—	04-13 15:33
will chris gotterup win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$181	91	91	+0	open	—	04-11 03:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$181	94	94	+0	open	—	04-13 22:08
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	2	$181	95	95	+0	open	—	04-02 07:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	2	$181	93	93	+0	open	—	04-02 11:15
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$179	97	97	+0	open	—	04-06 16:39
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$179	92	92	+0	open	—	04-10 00:26
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$176	89	89	+0	open	—	04-29 14:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$175	89	89	+0	open	—	04-21 17:06
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$175	90	90	+0	open	—	04-24 12:17
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	4	$175	91	91	+0	open	—	04-23 14:03
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$174	89	89	+0	open	—	04-24 05:17
Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	3	$174	88	88	+0	open	—	04-23 00:49
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$173	88	88	+0	open	—	04-23 04:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	5	$172	89	89	+0	No	$-0	05-09 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 12:17:30	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x38980b…
05-18 22:25:20	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xeb86fb…
05-18 22:25:20	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9ec69f…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x629159…
05-18 22:25:19	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x4a3d94…
05-13 02:19:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	188	3¢	$5	0x94fc63…
05-13 00:41:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	188	3¢	$6	0x3cbeba…
05-12 13:36:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0xd05767…
05-12 13:36:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xb96dda…
05-12 12:31:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0x2cdfa5…
05-12 04:00:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	3¢	$5	0xdd553b…
05-12 01:31:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	3¢	$4	0x6836d9…
05-12 01:31:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	3¢	$2	0x0e7cb6…
05-11 19:05:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	4¢	$8	0x29f042…
05-11 17:57:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$3	0xd26a8a…
05-11 17:57:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0x81ec12…
05-11 14:16:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x90d710…
05-11 11:49:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	4¢	$4	0x405539…
05-11 10:04:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$6	0x4440fc…
05-11 04:28:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	95	6¢	$6	0xa9bce1…
05-11 02:09:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	95	6¢	$6	0x257bcd…
05-09 12:47:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0xae4f0d…
05-09 12:47:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa1d506…
05-09 12:47:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7cc4e5…
05-09 08:03:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xd30ea1…
05-09 08:03:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x67af1c…
05-08 21:43:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	86	98¢	$84	0xfdefc8…
05-08 21:43:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0c73a2…
05-08 18:27:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0xe7b7a7…
05-08 12:24:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	176	4¢	$7	0x5615d2…
05-08 10:18:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0x87d439…
05-08 10:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	137	4¢	$5	0x411d14…
05-08 06:35:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x448bbc…
05-08 06:35:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x7fd885…
05-08 06:35:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xb66c8c…
05-08 06:34:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x1a0b42…
05-08 02:52:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xd80db1…
05-08 02:52:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0x5e30f0…
05-07 22:18:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$94	0x1e5c2d…
05-07 22:17:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0x673446…
05-07 03:00:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x5c14b4…
05-07 01:46:03	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xcdd8ba…
05-06 06:03:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	253	3¢	$7	0xdd500e…
05-06 06:02:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	3¢	$7	0xe289bc…
05-05 21:52:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$2	0x4048b1…
05-05 20:18:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$2	0x4bbc41…
05-05 14:42:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xe42c3f…
05-05 13:19:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$8	0x564436…
05-05 06:53:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	4¢	$7	0xfdaf93…
05-05 04:26:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xf51682…
05-05 04:26:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xa12365…
05-05 04:26:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	4¢	$2	0x2b35ad…
04-30 19:12:08	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xdac438…
04-30 15:13:52	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7c5a4b…
04-29 14:27:48	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xffde9f…
04-29 10:08:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3f8fdb…
04-29 10:08:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x3755e3…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xec417e…
04-27 12:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	1¢	$1	0x59d0ea…
04-27 10:46:22	Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x691d00…
04-27 08:07:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0xa5436d…
04-27 06:16:48	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0x312e4d…
04-26 22:09:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	113	2¢	$2	0xf54f4f…
04-26 19:22:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xb22516…
04-26 19:22:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x77ea8c…
04-26 09:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0xae07c9…
04-26 09:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	2¢	$2	0x4ceeb0…
04-26 09:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0x2eb959…
04-26 05:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$5	0xd8951c…
04-25 19:09:08	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0xc025b0…
04-25 14:33:44	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$1	0xdbdb85…
04-24 12:17:48	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x96e4e6…
04-24 07:19:30	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xbe99ea…
04-24 05:17:40	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x26c861…
04-24 00:23:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x5a7f8a…
04-24 00:23:26	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x010f17…
04-23 18:17:06	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	185	1¢	$3	0x22a8d9…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x9622f9…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x111719…
04-23 14:03:18	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x28aba1…
04-23 12:38:32	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xda8236…
04-23 08:37:04	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x4f4bb7…
04-23 08:37:04	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x22da98…
04-23 04:21:14	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xc58921…
04-23 04:21:14	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x081c97…
04-23 00:59:46	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0x3ef163…
04-23 00:49:54	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0xce73e1…
04-22 21:53:08	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2f43fd…
04-22 17:15:40	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	88	99¢	$87	0xac6891…
04-22 11:59:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0xa51505…
04-22 09:49:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xf66ffc…
04-22 09:49:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xdd2e6a…
04-21 17:06:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	89	98¢	$88	0xb5f433…
04-21 15:17:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x02a748…
04-21 13:12:14	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x5f9996…
04-21 10:20:48	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	4¢	$3	0x74e28d…
04-21 07:22:00	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	4¢	$4	0x6a95e3…
04-21 04:46:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xdd877d…
04-21 04:45:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	68	9¢	$6	0x2b319e…
04-21 04:45:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0x56885b…