Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$243

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-23 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

74% 23% +$14

Sports

21% 43% -$9

Tech

4% 100% +$6

Politics

1% 50% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+31	$5	18¢	$5	+$0	10-07 04:08
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	24¢	$1	+$0	10-07 04:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+3	$1	20¢	$1	$0	09-03 22:01
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	09-03 21:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	2	$67	67	67	+0	No	+$47	09-03 20:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$40	44	41	+3	Yes	-$19	07-07 17:48
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	714	714	+0	No	$0	06-27 21:37
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$12	0	31	-31	No	+$12	07-12 04:12
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	06-22 16:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	09-02 14:33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	1	$10	31	0	+31	Yes	+$21	07-15 13:55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$9	13	0	+13	Movistar KOI	-$9	10-23 19:28
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$5	17	17	+0	No	+$3	10-23 17:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$5	33	0	+33	Yes	-$5	09-14 18:42
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	10-07 04:08
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	1	$5	1,667	0	+1,667	Yes	-$5	09-04 21:10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	0	27	-27	Yes	-$22	07-08 01:28
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$5	10	10	+0	No	+$3	09-14 18:41
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	0	31	-31	No	+$5	07-08 01:28
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	68	0	+68	No	-$3	06-26 04:10
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	37	0	+37	No	-$3	06-26 04:10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	1	$3	11	0	+11	Yes	-$3	06-24 03:10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	0	36	-36	No	+$2	07-07 17:30
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	291	0	+291	No	-$1	09-03 21:36
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	11	0	+11	Yes	-$1	01-29 10:37
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$1	70	0	+70	No	-$1	09-03 21:55
Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	09-03 21:55
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	06-24 03:14
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?	1	$1	878	0	+878	No	-$1	09-04 20:51
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 11, 2026?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	09-03 21:40
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	10-07 04:08
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	09-03 21:57
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	37	0	+37	No	-$1	09-03 21:36
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	09-03 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 19:28:23	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xa8ba81…
10-23 17:19:32	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0xc2d976…
10-07 04:08:11	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbdf033…
10-07 04:08:00	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x93523a…
09-14 18:42:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x75e16e…
09-14 18:41:52	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x4e4704…
09-04 21:10:58	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x5d9885…
09-04 20:51:01	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	878	0¢	$1	0x601ceb…
09-03 22:01:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5f576e…
09-03 22:00:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xee2a07…
09-03 21:57:34	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc045c1…
09-03 21:55:58	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1934a8…
09-03 21:55:40	Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x973f66…
09-03 21:55:03	Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x3774fe…
09-03 21:49:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xaea85f…
09-03 21:48:16	will donald trump publicly insult barack obama by september 30 2026	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3ef81b…
09-03 21:45:22	Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xed9e0a…
09-03 21:44:43	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe7fa3e…
09-03 21:40:57	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e4c37…
09-03 21:38:58	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbadc99…
09-03 21:36:37	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x44b03b…
09-03 21:36:34	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	0¢	$1	0x1b3ba9…
09-03 20:49:19	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	SELL	67	85¢	$57	0x67310e…
09-02 14:56:28	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xad97bf…
09-02 14:36:54	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x251943…
09-02 14:33:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x28946a…
07-15 13:55:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x56d9f0…
07-12 04:12:13	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0xf2ee13…
07-08 01:28:50	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	31	16¢	$5	0x0100c9…
07-08 01:28:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0xf638e5…
07-07 17:48:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x72abae…
07-07 17:30:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$2	0x92d679…
07-07 17:30:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0x3c5e43…
07-07 14:32:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x9800e9…
06-27 21:37:20	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	714	1¢	$10	0x5f718b…
06-26 14:37:28	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x89a02e…
06-26 04:10:56	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0xc0155c…
06-26 04:10:44	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xf7b96e…
06-24 03:14:31	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x73ce5b…
06-24 03:14:22	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x71874b…
06-24 03:13:56	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb20939…
06-24 03:10:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xa3a43e…
06-22 16:21:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9c800e…
01-29 10:37:34	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x66a685…