Realized P&L
+$16.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$338
Hit rate
83.0%
Resolved
149
Trades
9,009
lifetime
Volume
$12.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.39K
Open exposure
$83
1 position
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-26 03:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 29 days
Categories
Crypto
40%
86%
+$21,223
Other
38%
97%
+$86,860
Politics
22%
67%
-$91,403
Tech
0%
100%
+$130
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | -1,276 | -$421 | 6¢ | $-83 | +$338 | 04-30 03:16 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 315 | $1.39M | 826,197 | 664,261 | +161,936 | Yes | +$8,283 | 01-23 01:34 |
| will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026 | 1,157 | $1.17M | 527,800 | 643,425 | -115,624 | No | +$468 | 01-27 22:26 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 131 | $1.11M | 603,870 | 603,870 | +0 | Yes | -$78,454 | 04-09 13:53 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 238 | $702.1K | 366,746 | 366,746 | +0 | No | +$21,595 | 04-28 12:51 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 173 | $527.0K | 508,477 | 35,767 | +472,709 | No | +$17,122 | 03-30 12:22 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 4 | $379.2K | 190,931 | 190,931 | +0 | Yes | -$1,527 | 04-07 23:21 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 261 | $346.5K | 181,752 | 181,752 | +0 | No | +$7,735 | 06-26 08:55 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 123 | $324.7K | 162,980 | 167,980 | -5,000 | No | +$4,855 | 05-29 10:50 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 21 | $313.4K | 157,648 | 157,648 | +0 | Yes | -$904 | 04-07 23:52 |
| will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026 | 74 | $306.3K | 245,474 | 61,306 | +184,168 | No | +$315 | 01-30 12:42 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 147 | $288.7K | 161,654 | 161,653 | +0 | No | +$13,011 | 04-30 16:31 |
| will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026 | 338 | $268.0K | 193,850 | 75,188 | +118,662 | No | +$750 | 01-31 03:07 |
| will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026 | 816 | $241.8K | 129,205 | 113,419 | +15,786 | No | +$475 | 01-28 23:55 |
| will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222 | 206 | $208.7K | 172,200 | 39,095 | +133,105 | No | +$2,487 | 02-28 05:30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 14 | $198.6K | 108,169 | 108,169 | +0 | No | +$6,413 | 05-12 21:01 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | 31 | $190.6K | 196,544 | 3,500 | +193,044 | No | +$8,228 | 04-30 03:14 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 51 | $186.3K | 100,604 | 86,775 | +13,829 | No | +$170 | 01-07 06:16 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 5 | $184.8K | 188,176 | 0 | +188,176 | No | +$3,418 | 03-31 02:45 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 31 | $163.9K | 82,935 | 82,935 | +0 | No | +$1,288 | 03-25 23:19 |
| will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738 | 141 | $157.3K | 115,003 | 45,690 | +69,313 | No | +$3,247 | 02-25 22:22 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 44 | $141.3K | 109,242 | 34,789 | +74,452 | No | +$2,580 | 03-31 23:06 |
| will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793 | 100 | $137.7K | 112,789 | 25,610 | +87,179 | No | +$623 | 02-26 23:33 |
| will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026 | 54 | $126.7K | 94,555 | 32,423 | +62,133 | No | +$156 | 01-28 23:53 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 110 | $121.1K | 74,547 | 48,022 | +26,525 | No | +$1,309 | 03-29 04:36 |
| will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026 | 87 | $120.5K | 63,429 | 57,442 | +5,987 | No | +$227 | 01-30 16:09 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 3 | $108.5K | 55,022 | 55,022 | +0 | Yes | +$1,051 | 03-17 01:29 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | 25 | $102.3K | 59,941 | 59,941 | +0 | No | -$10,257 | 05-07 13:37 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in january 2026 | 128 | $101.3K | 57,717 | 43,846 | +13,871 | No | +$128 | 01-29 22:08 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026 | 56 | $95.3K | 78,748 | 16,735 | +62,013 | No | +$154 | 02-26 05:01 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in january 2026 | 57 | $93.8K | 80,998 | 12,887 | +68,111 | No | +$91 | 01-29 00:48 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||