Instructive-Tummy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

134

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-23 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

46% 67% +$30

Politics

16% 76% -$47

Sports

16% 60% -$1

Crypto

13% 88% -$52

Tech

9% 67% +$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	18	$1.5K	781	781	+0	No	+$11	06-04 07:05
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	35	$1.1K	581	580	+0	No	+$11	06-01 17:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	13	$933	490	490	+0	Yes	+$9	05-20 09:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	9	$764	413	413	+0	Yes	-$2	06-20 20:50
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$731	414	414	+0	No	-$4	06-23 06:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	6	$654	335	335	-0	No	+$4	05-11 07:07
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$599	328	328	+0	No	-$1	05-11 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$580	316	316	+0	No	-$5	05-23 20:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$566	300	300	+0	No	-$4	05-06 11:17
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?	4	$527	278	278	+0	No	+$27	05-01 20:32
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	8	$521	269	269	+0	No	+$6	06-04 15:50
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	12	$504	262	262	+0	No	+$9	06-06 04:50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$495	267	267	-0	No	+$0	06-23 06:53
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$493	282	282	+0	No	-$36	06-07 15:55
bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	5	$473	243	243	+0	No	+$4	06-06 15:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$472	242	242	+0	No	+$7	05-11 07:07
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	5	$453	233	233	+0	No	+$3	06-09 14:10
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	7	$428	249	249	+0	No	-$40	05-28 13:30
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$428	285	285	+0	Yes	-$22	06-11 01:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	9	$400	208	208	+0	No	+$3	06-23 06:53
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	5	$398	211	211	-0	No	+$8	06-08 00:05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	5	$395	207	207	+0	No	+$7	06-03 06:10
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$380	193	193	+0	Yes	+$3	05-26 00:45
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$366	191	191	+0	No	+$16	05-05 22:32
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	5	$359	193	193	+0	No	$0	05-07 08:40
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	3	$350	179	179	+0	No	+$0	05-07 08:40
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$344	182	182	+0	No	-$1	06-23 06:54
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$303	158	158	+0	No	+$3	05-14 03:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	7	$301	154	154	+0	No	+$2	05-20 10:00
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$286	148	148	+0	No	+$7	06-03 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 06:54:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x7a5299…
06-23 06:54:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	42	94¢	$39	0xd56c1b…
06-23 06:54:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x69b728…
06-23 06:54:13	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	94¢	$55	0x6220b4…
06-23 06:54:10	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	103	94¢	$97	0xf2f1c4…
06-23 06:53:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	208	97¢	$202	0x7418a6…
06-23 06:53:50	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x13a3df…
06-23 06:53:40	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843 464	Yes	SELL	83	96¢	$79	0x00ffd7…
06-23 06:53:32	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	105	93¢	$98	0x92e7b7…
06-23 06:53:28	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	330	88¢	$289	0x279dbf…
06-23 06:43:28	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x5a4cb9…
06-22 11:03:17	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x13307d…
06-22 11:01:53	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xba0436…
06-22 06:33:08	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	41	96¢	$40	0xf23662…
06-21 05:49:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x65a323…
06-21 02:54:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe4db32…
06-21 00:40:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x9df9a5…
06-20 23:40:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x85ce92…
06-20 22:32:22	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x6b2e00…
06-20 20:50:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x12ae85…
06-20 20:25:05	Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xbf37ea…
06-20 14:37:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf5dbf8…
06-20 14:37:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x05f6c6…
06-20 14:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xd114df…
06-20 12:21:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x29c9d5…
06-20 12:01:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x41d93c…
06-20 08:48:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xb0bfd1…
06-20 08:48:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x885936…
06-20 06:33:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x33474a…
06-19 19:48:07	Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x8f24dd…
06-18 12:49:56	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x0b8f24…
06-18 05:26:14	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xb6fb02…
06-18 05:05:56	Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xb06727…
06-16 21:05:04	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf4d141…
06-16 21:00:05	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xd31481…
06-15 21:05:04	Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	42	85¢	$35	0xf6f501…
06-14 15:55:06	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe8a8d2…
06-14 15:50:42	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xd2bebf…
06-14 15:50:07	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xf92f01…
06-14 15:50:06	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x545f72…
06-13 18:35:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	264	96¢	$253	0x63a02a…
06-11 15:20:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	SELL	65	98¢	$63	0x92dc07…
06-11 15:15:09	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x7b689c…
06-11 08:39:36	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xa72d7f…
06-11 02:56:27	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x4ff462…
06-11 02:32:51	Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x27402d…
06-11 01:15:07	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	116	49¢	$57	0x2ef68b…
06-11 01:10:07	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xff5b7e…
06-10 18:33:09	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe77ce7…
06-10 07:50:07	bitcoin above 58k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	123	98¢	$121	0x8c9d0a…
06-10 06:02:54	bitcoin above 58k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x09d02d…
06-10 05:20:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10?	Yes	SELL	127	28¢	$36	0x6ca2dd…
06-10 05:20:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10?	Yes	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xa05d68…
06-10 04:32:40	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	120	62¢	$75	0x4cf9ed…
06-10 04:32:39	bitcoin above 62k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	127	33¢	$42	0x032faf…
06-10 00:02:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcaf241…
06-09 14:10:07	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	233	98¢	$228	0x6437fe…
06-09 12:33:33	bitcoin above 58k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xc26291…
06-09 02:50:55	Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?	Yes	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0x50d624…
06-08 00:33:16	Will Spain win on 2026-06-08?	Yes	BUY	115	85¢	$98	0xab10ef…
06-08 00:05:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	143	96¢	$137	0x036aaf…
06-08 00:01:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc15e09…
06-08 00:00:06	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	63	96¢	$60	0x34eeb7…
06-07 15:55:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	282	81¢	$228	0xdd724b…
06-07 06:33:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	104	94¢	$97	0x35ee2b…
06-06 18:33:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0x07afd5…
06-06 15:15:06	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	166	98¢	$162	0xa7151f…
06-06 15:10:06	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	77	98¢	$76	0x48099b…
06-06 14:33:04	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xdad60b…
06-06 10:34:30	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	104	94¢	$97	0x398aff…
06-06 10:33:24	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x3d3c25…
06-06 04:50:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	262	98¢	$257	0xb702ef…
06-06 04:33:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xfd2fdf…
06-05 18:00:06	Will Yaxel Lendeborg be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xf05c21…
06-05 07:55:07	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x997bce…
06-05 06:35:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$76	0x114cfd…
06-05 06:33:43	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x819744…
06-04 15:50:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xdf47b8…
06-04 15:11:33	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x00e235…
06-04 14:33:10	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$75	0x9ce030…
06-04 12:35:06	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x6def86…
06-04 10:56:00	bitcoin above 58k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x8129a6…
06-04 09:45:06	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x3875ab…
06-04 09:35:10	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x318254…
06-04 09:35:04	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	SELL	143	98¢	$140	0x1255e7…
06-04 09:16:28	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$23	0xb8cb4b…
06-04 09:15:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$52	0xafea93…
06-04 08:33:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xd7c84a…
06-04 08:33:21	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0c633c…
06-04 07:05:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	231	98¢	$228	0x04307c…
06-04 02:43:01	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf5104c…
06-04 02:43:01	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xd91629…
06-04 00:32:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	105	93¢	$98	0xcfc543…
06-03 20:33:15	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x5d02b5…
06-03 20:32:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0xc00d95…
06-03 17:30:06	Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xa89044…
06-03 17:20:06	Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	78	82¢	$64	0xa73370…
06-03 11:19:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd0c331…
06-03 11:15:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x943018…
06-03 11:04:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x130e22…