Monstrous-Penguin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

166

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$52.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-31 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

99% 86% -$27,915

Crypto

0% 99% +$27

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 fly sh2 2026 01 17 total games 2pt5	2	$9.4K	9,530	9,530	+0	Under	-$9,054	01-17 14:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?	2	$8.3K	7,899	7,899	+0	Yes	-$5,450	01-17 14:07
eritrea invades ethiopia by december 31	2	$7.0K	20,645	20,645	+0	open	—	09-29 11:33
crind vid utt 2026 01 29 toss winner	2	$6.6K	6,916	6,916	+0	Uttar Pradesh	-$6,224	01-25 09:46
sc2 krysti maru 2026 03 15 game1	4	$6.2K	6,299	6,299	+0	Maru	-$5,729	03-09 13:10
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 19 january 25 be less than 14250000	2	$5.6K	6,883	6,883	+0	Yes	+$4,680	01-17 14:16
Will Armaan Bhatia / Ting Chieh Wei win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	3	$4.6K	4,590	4,590	+0	No	-$4,452	04-09 14:24
will googl close between 330 and 335 week january 23 2026	2	$1.6K	1,410	1,410	+0	No	-$804	01-17 13:58
will united airlines say tariff during earnings call	2	$1.2K	750	750	+0	No	-$105	01-17 13:50
meta close above 660 on january 26 2026	2	$693	700	700	+0	Yes	-$567	01-25 09:43
val qor slp 2026 01 20 game1	2	$124	127	127	+0	sleepers	-$112	01-17 13:48
aus mac per 2026 02 06 total 2pt5	2	$74	75	75	+0	Over	-$65	01-25 09:41
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 240 259	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	03-08 14:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$48	51	0	+51	Yes	+$3	10-31 04:59
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$47	78	0	+78	Spain	-$47	07-12 12:53
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	1	$36	48	0	+48	Canada	+$12	06-28 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 24?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-22 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 30?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 11:37
highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 29c	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 13:20
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$23	51	0	+51	No	+$27	03-04 12:46
bitcoin above 62k on february 18	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	02-18 12:48
ethereum above 2400 on april 11	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-11 08:02
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 22c	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-17 11:50
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-09 13:12
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in september 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-29 11:36
will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-29 11:36
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-29 11:36
Will XRP reach $2.40 in September?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	09-29 11:36
ethereum above 2000 on april 9	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	04-09 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 11?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-10 10:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:59:03	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	51	94¢	$48	0x7163d4…
09-29 11:36:42	will solana dip to 90 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0a9eda…
09-29 11:36:39	Will Solana dip to $80 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc2c16c…
09-29 11:36:36	Will Solana reach $140 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x00eac7…
09-29 11:36:32	Will Solana reach $150 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ce569…
09-29 11:36:29	Will Solana reach $160 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7145e7…
09-29 11:36:26	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x99141a…
09-29 11:36:23	Will XRP reach $2.20 in September?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6bbdeb…
09-29 11:36:21	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc51055…
09-29 11:36:18	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in september 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x349bd8…
09-29 11:36:12	Will XRP reach $2.40 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x69e125…
09-29 11:36:09	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2da120…
09-29 11:36:06	will ethereum dip to 2200 in september 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb9bb39…
09-29 11:36:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4f7c63…
09-29 11:36:00	will bitcoin dip to 75k in september 2026 from september 16	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2f54d5…
09-29 11:35:57	will bitcoin dip to 72pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2a8c79…
09-29 11:35:53	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xef5e1e…
09-29 11:35:50	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1be407…
09-29 11:33:42	eritrea invades ethiopia by december 31	Yes	SELL	20,645	28¢	$5,781	0x02f71a…
09-29 11:33:27	eritrea invades ethiopia by december 31	Yes	BUY	20,645	6¢	$1,239	0xc8ed8a…
07-12 12:53:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	78	60¢	$47	0x14602c…
06-28 07:15:13	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x8fb1d8…
05-22 13:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 24?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x054f0f…
05-10 10:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf7e6f2…
05-10 10:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x269459…
05-10 10:03:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x61e540…
05-10 10:03:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcae821…
05-10 10:03:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdcaf8a…
05-10 10:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3101cf…
05-10 10:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x145543…
05-10 10:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x96deba…
05-10 10:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6fc061…
05-10 10:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0bad3…
05-10 10:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ac697…
05-10 10:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71e557…
05-10 10:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x197530…
05-10 10:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e4788…
05-10 10:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 11?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x7648a1…
05-10 10:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1de9a3…
05-10 10:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe32bda…
04-29 12:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf33e77…
04-29 11:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa8a9f7…
04-29 11:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xadac9a…
04-29 11:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b5f96…
04-21 13:20:46	highest temperature in singapore on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x206b41…
04-17 11:50:56	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 22c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x89b0ab…
04-17 11:50:52	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf9e756…
04-17 11:50:44	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9f61e4…
04-17 11:50:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 160 179	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63fc17…
04-17 11:50:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x801032…
04-17 11:50:34	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 480 499	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x895d45…
04-17 11:50:32	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 500 519	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa957c…
04-17 11:50:18	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe0bf1d…
04-17 11:50:16	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 29c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd93f05…
04-17 11:50:12	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 28c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb7d2c9…
04-17 11:50:08	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 28c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3bec2f…
04-17 11:50:04	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 27c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6abedf…
04-17 11:50:02	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 26c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a1e6e…
04-17 11:49:58	highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 35corhigher	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72b80d…
04-11 08:02:25	ethereum above 2300 on april 11	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe70fbd…
04-11 08:02:17	ethereum above 2400 on april 11	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60a32f…
04-11 08:01:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1ca18a…
04-11 08:01:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x041604…
04-11 08:00:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x551070…
04-11 08:00:51	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca99be…
04-09 14:26:29	will ethereum reach 2600 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x48ffa8…
04-09 14:26:27	will ethereum reach 2700 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9d041d…
04-09 14:26:23	will ethereum reach 2800 april 6 12	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x928a40…
04-09 14:26:21	will ethereum dip to 1700 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef9651…
04-09 14:26:17	will ethereum dip to 1600 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x302d7d…
04-09 14:26:15	will ethereum dip to 1500 april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4ac4c…
04-09 14:26:05	will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe9c9c…
04-09 14:26:03	will bitcoin reach 82k april 6 12	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8d2eff…
04-09 14:25:59	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x863ccb…
04-09 14:25:57	will bitcoin dip to 60k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcad517…
04-09 14:25:55	will bitcoin dip to 58k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d5515…
04-09 14:25:53	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8ad6c…
04-09 14:24:15	Will Armaan Bhatia / Ting Chieh Wei win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	No	SELL	4,590	2¢	$92	0x459f63…
04-09 14:23:57	Will Armaan Bhatia / Ting Chieh Wei win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xaa80bb…
04-09 14:23:37	Will Armaan Bhatia / Ting Chieh Wei win the 2026 PPA: Sacramento Open (Mixed Doubles) tournament?	No	BUY	4,528	99¢	$4,483	0xffc5aa…
04-09 14:19:01	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd21d4a…
04-09 14:18:55	ethereum above 2100 on april 9	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xed626d…
04-09 14:18:51	ethereum above 2300 on april 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf661d3…
04-09 14:18:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad2940…
04-09 14:18:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 9	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5bee98…
04-09 14:18:39	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b1f2c…
04-09 14:18:33	bitcoin above 68k on april 9	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8678f2…
04-09 14:18:29	bitcoin above 72k on april 9	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5409c3…
04-09 14:18:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78b98a…
04-09 14:18:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0853bb…
04-09 14:18:11	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 320 339	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x248c22…
04-09 14:18:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd172d…
03-14 06:20:11	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc7d97e…
03-14 06:20:09	bitcoin above 68k on march 14	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15807c…
03-14 06:20:05	bitcoin above 74k on march 14	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47ad0a…
03-09 13:12:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x046f8b…
03-09 13:12:51	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3cfb4…
03-09 13:12:47	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x93a4ad…
03-09 13:12:45	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3d59a0…
03-09 13:12:41	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7cba17…