Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$637
$1,688 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$2,813
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 07:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $268 | $268 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $16 | $347 | $331 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $487 | $487 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $5 | $40 | $35 |
| Median | 8 | $3 | $7 | $4 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | $14 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawful-Source 0x8839…ddb5 | No | +235 | $219 | $219 | 1 | 05-10 03:16 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +166 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +92 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 05-10 01:40 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | +91 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:47 |
| Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | +87 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:16 |
| Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | +69 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-10 04:10 |
| Frightened-Knee 0x9b7d…ebc1 | Yes | +53 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:31 |
| Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | +51 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:14 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +42 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-10 01:40 |
| Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 05-10 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:11 |
| Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:25 |
| Definitive-Randomisation-Eavesdropper 0x5558…3613 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 23:26 |
| Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Blond-Silkworm 0x558e…8297 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:12 |
| Outstanding-Cupola 0xa258…6182 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:38 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 04:08 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x42c0…b200 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:40 |
| Sure-Footed-Current 0xbf0e…c3cc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:47:21 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xad4871… |
| 05-10 07:47:21 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x57c248… |
| 05-10 07:38:36 | Outstanding-Cupola 0xa258…6182 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x5cab62… |
| 05-10 07:31:32 | Frightened-Knee 0x9b7d…ebc1 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x6671af… |
| 05-10 07:28:55 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5020a2… |
| 05-10 07:16:47 | Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | BUY | 87 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x4d7ff2… |
| 05-10 06:58:31 | Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x038267… |
| 05-10 06:58:17 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0xa589bd… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdd60f6… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6a4126… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xee95b7… |
| 05-10 06:36:32 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xd51ff2… |
| 05-10 04:36:55 | Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0xa7caa9… |
| 05-10 04:14:00 | Unhealthy-Deed 0xd79f…12fb | Yes | BUY | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x207a36… |
| 05-10 04:11:01 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x691b93… |
| 05-10 04:10:59 | Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | BUY | 69 | 96¢ | $66 | 0xde0048… |
| 05-10 04:08:38 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7b11b5… |
| 05-10 03:25:03 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe433f3… |
| 05-10 03:16:53 | Lawful-Source 0x8839…ddb5 | No | BUY | 235 | 93¢ | $219 | 0x469e5f… |
| 05-10 03:05:50 | Sure-Footed-Current 0xbf0e…c3cc | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x82924a… |
| 05-10 01:40:56 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x2dff7b… |
| 05-10 01:40:54 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1a84d8… |
| 05-10 01:40:52 | (anonymous) 0x42c0…b200 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x5da434… |
| 05-10 01:40:49 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 42 | 92¢ | $38 | 0x0ab585… |
| 05-10 01:40:47 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 86 | 89¢ | $77 | 0xa7a2dc… |
| 05-10 01:12:57 | Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x4fe883… |
| 05-10 00:00:36 | Blond-Silkworm 0x558e…8297 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1675ca… |
| 05-09 23:45:03 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 166 | 92¢ | $154 | 0x608c29… |
| 05-09 23:26:12 | Definitive-Randomisation-Eavesdropper 0x5558…3613 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x897e6c… |
| 05-09 18:56:28 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcc8df7… |
| 05-09 18:52:18 | Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xf47810… |