Realized P&L (30d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
13.7%
Resolved (30d)
10
Trades (30d)
1,151
8,745 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$11.9K
$50.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$10.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 11-02 13:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
57% 13% -$182
Politics
30% 29% -$35
Sports
13% 25% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 741 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,111 $930 84¢ $928 -$3 10-13 19:08
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +1,095 $833 80¢ $870 +$38 11-02 14:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +705 $500 76¢ $532 +$32 11-02 10:18
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +450 $437 98¢ $439 +$2 11-02 14:35
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +545 $426 78¢ $422 -$4 11-02 09:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +656 $426 62¢ $410 -$16 11-02 12:49
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +657 $365 62¢ $404 +$39 11-02 12:03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +482 $389 82¢ $393 +$3 11-02 00:11
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +626 $413 62¢ $385 -$28 11-02 05:40
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +500 $361 72¢ $357 -$4 11-02 02:05
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +358 $331 99¢ $354 +$23 10-13 16:31
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +352 $336 98¢ $346 +$10 10-14 12:28
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +351 $336 95¢ $334 -$2 10-12 11:01
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +371 $347 90¢ $334 -$13 10-11 13:03
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +420 $301 74¢ $309 +$8 11-02 10:20
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +320 $310 93¢ $297 -$12 10-12 09:59
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +284 $273 100¢ $284 +$11 10-11 23:28
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +732 $323 38¢ $282 -$41 11-02 13:18
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +281 $270 95¢ $268 -$3 10-14 13:26
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +365 $262 72¢ $265 +$3 11-02 11:32
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +301 $283 86¢ $258 -$25 10-13 09:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +258 $253 98¢ $254 +$1 10-14 13:05
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +271 $260 92¢ $250 -$9 10-13 05:08
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +246 $236 100¢ $245 +$10 10-14 12:29
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +626 $217 38¢ $241 +$24 11-02 06:15
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +270 $236 86¢ $234 -$3 11-02 02:17
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +218 $216 100¢ $217 +$1 11-01 00:40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +290 $197 74¢ $216 +$19 10-31 10:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +576 $208 38¢ $216 +$8 11-02 09:00
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +219 $212 97¢ $213 +$0 10-11 17:31