Realized P&L
-$125
Unrealized P&L
+$554
Hit rate
20.4%
Resolved
102
Trades
9,136
lifetime
Volume
$53.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$7.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 11-09 09:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
54% 13% -$182
Politics
33% 58% +$55
Sports
13% 25% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 411 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,111 $930 90¢ $1.0K +$75 10-13 19:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +475 $341 98¢ $468 +$127 11-03 12:47
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +383 $356 99¢ $381 +$25 11-09 04:38
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +404 $377 92¢ $371 -$6 11-09 08:56
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +381 $364 95¢ $361 -$3 11-08 14:39
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +357 $341 99¢ $352 +$11 11-08 19:58
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +343 $330 91¢ $313 -$17 11-08 00:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +284 $279 99¢ $282 +$3 11-09 08:01
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +325 $304 86¢ $280 -$24 11-08 21:51
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +297 $286 94¢ $279 -$6 11-08 15:54
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +275 $33 99¢ $271 +$238 11-03 12:56
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +300 $285 88¢ $263 -$23 11-09 01:29
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +246 $236 100¢ $246 +$10 10-14 12:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +247 $228 99¢ $246 +$18 11-08 18:32
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +253 $246 97¢ $245 $0 11-08 23:49
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +218 $216 100¢ $217 +$1 11-01 00:40
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +221 $217 97¢ $215 -$2 11-08 11:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +272 $156 76¢ $208 +$52 11-07 12:10
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +210 $182 94¢ $196 +$14 11-08 07:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +230 $141 78¢ $178 +$37 11-08 16:30
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +165 $157 98¢ $162 +$5 11-08 09:51
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +165 $153 96¢ $159 +$6 10-11 22:49
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +161 $155 98¢ $158 +$2 11-08 16:58
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +164 $157 93¢ $152 -$5 11-08 14:16
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +153 $143 94¢ $144 +$0 11-08 16:02
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +140 $123 100¢ $140 +$17 09-20 14:48
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +138 $136 98¢ $135 -$1 11-07 02:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +130 $129 99¢ $129 +$0 11-08 23:02
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +125 $125 100¢ $125 +$0 11-02 01:18
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +117 $116 100¢ $116 +$1 10-11 18:47