Realized P&L (7d)
+$87
Unrealized P&L
+$471
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved (7d)
56
Trades (7d)
902
8,901 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.9K
$52.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$7.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 11-03 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
55% 13% -$182
Politics
33% 58% +$55
Sports
12% 25% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 491 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,111 $930 88¢ $972 +$42 10-13 19:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +475 $341 96¢ $456 +$115 11-03 12:47
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +358 $331 99¢ $356 +$25 10-13 16:31
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +352 $336 99¢ $347 +$11 10-14 12:28
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +371 $347 91¢ $339 -$8 10-11 13:03
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +351 $336 96¢ $336 $0 10-12 11:01
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +320 $310 92¢ $295 -$15 10-12 09:59
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +284 $273 100¢ $284 +$11 10-11 23:28
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +281 $270 95¢ $267 -$3 10-14 13:26
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +301 $283 86¢ $258 -$25 10-13 09:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +258 $253 99¢ $256 +$2 10-14 13:05
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +275 $33 93¢ $255 +$221 11-03 12:56
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +246 $236 100¢ $245 +$10 10-14 12:29
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +271 $260 88¢ $238 -$22 10-13 05:08
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +218 $216 99¢ $216 +$0 11-01 00:40
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +219 $212 98¢ $213 +$1 10-11 17:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +208 $189 100¢ $207 +$18 08-18 17:48
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +190 $187 97¢ $184 -$2 10-13 19:59
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +185 $159 90¢ $166 +$7 11-01 13:17
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +165 $153 96¢ $158 +$4 10-11 22:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +183 $88 82¢ $149 +$61 10-13 18:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +183 $104 82¢ $149 +$45 10-14 12:31
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +159 $153 93¢ $148 -$4 10-31 15:57
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +140 $123 100¢ $140 +$17 09-20 14:48
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +144 $139 97¢ $140 +$1 10-13 20:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,115 $181 12¢ $139 -$41 10-14 11:09
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +140 $133 96¢ $135 +$2 10-31 14:35
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +125 $125 100¢ $125 +$0 11-02 01:18
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +119 $118 98¢ $117 -$1 10-13 01:25
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +117 $116 100¢ $116 +$0 10-11 18:47