Enormous-Nonbeliever 0xe2a51e…6251b4
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.49K
Unrealized P&L
-$753
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
132
Trades
327
lifetime
Volume
$25.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$1.42K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-28 08:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
56% 50% +$80
Politics
27% 60% +$1,625
Sports
9% 57% +$635
Tech
6% 67% +$181
Crypto
2% 0% -$32
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -400 -$397 100¢ $-398 -$2 10-27 10:05
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11,111 $200 2¢ $272 +$72 06-01 15:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +493 $191 27¢ $133 -$58 06-18 12:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +400 $104 21¢ $85 -$18 06-21 20:43
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +500 $80 16¢ $78 -$2 06-21 14:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $67 66¢ $66 $0 10-27 10:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +100 $61 60¢ $60 $0 10-27 10:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +833 $200 7¢ $55 -$145 04-28 17:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +120 $54 43¢ $52 -$2 10-27 10:26
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +120 $50 38¢ $46 -$4 10-27 10:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +1,000 $100 4¢ $40 -$60 06-26 13:10
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +300 $126 12¢ $34 -$92 06-27 12:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $30 30¢ $30 +$0 10-27 10:17
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 No +550 $132 4¢ $19 -$113 06-26 13:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +100 $54 18¢ $18 -$36 06-21 14:04
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 Yes +300 $84 4¢ $12 -$72 06-26 16:26
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +500 $65 2¢ $8 -$57 06-26 13:04
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +188 $100 4¢ $7 -$93 06-21 13:53
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $71 1¢ $1 -$70 10-27 10:14