Drab-Embryo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

318

lifetime

Volume

$4.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$5

Politics

40% 100% +$17

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	7	$339	242	309	-67	open	—	01-20 01:18
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$128	106	101	+5	open	—	04-01 01:41
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	6	$122	118	41	+77	open	—	01-28 11:19
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	9	$117	90	86	+4	open	—	03-26 01:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$107	74	51	+23	No	+$17	05-09 02:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$79	62	38	+23	open	—	04-27 03:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	4	$75	44	43	+1	open	—	04-26 01:54
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	4	$75	65	35	+30	open	—	02-08 16:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$74	45	57	-12	open	—	08-08 14:46
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	7	$74	51	51	+0	open	—	02-23 23:40
Iran leadership change by April 30?	5	$72	61	37	+24	open	—	04-30 01:47
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	5	$67	81	52	+29	open	—	08-12 02:36
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	6	$66	51	51	+0	open	—	03-10 01:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	4	$64	70	43	+27	open	—	07-26 03:17
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$54	38	26	+11	open	—	05-18 09:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$53	57	20	+37	open	—	05-28 15:54
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$51	43	43	+0	open	—	04-01 08:27
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	4	$51	32	28	+4	open	—	04-10 00:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	05-28 02:19
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$50	57	20	+37	open	—	05-24 00:46
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by december 31 696 746 327 188	2	$49	0	49	-49	open	—	01-01 07:49
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	4	$48	64	64	+0	open	—	03-06 01:30
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	3	$46	65	20	+45	open	—	02-25 00:42
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	4	$46	47	39	+9	open	—	03-03 23:54
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	04-01 08:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$43	22	26	-4	open	—	02-23 23:59
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	4	$43	29	24	+5	open	—	05-28 15:54
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	5	$40	6	37	-31	open	—	02-12 01:52
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	3	$39	45	22	+22	open	—	05-01 02:41
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	1	$37	53	0	+53	open	—	06-03 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:37:16	will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572	No	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x3d51ea…
08-12 02:36:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xe7060e…
08-10 08:50:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xeae16a…
08-10 08:50:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x6d7bf7…
08-08 14:46:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xc47fdd…
08-04 11:53:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe102a3…
08-04 11:51:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x438175…
08-04 11:51:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	42	38¢	$16	0x569ff0…
08-02 07:17:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x7ff925…
08-02 07:17:00	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x47487f…
08-02 07:16:47	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xe3b11b…
08-02 07:16:30	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xeddad9…
08-01 06:27:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x0f0f38…
08-01 00:15:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1cbd55…
07-30 03:12:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0xd3a8be…
07-29 13:18:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x746ea2…
07-29 13:17:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x686edc…
07-27 05:38:07	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe66873…
07-27 05:37:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x562107…
07-26 03:17:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x501650…
07-26 03:17:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x217104…
07-26 03:16:31	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x8bcc0a…
07-26 03:16:12	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc32f5e…
07-24 14:21:10	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5f4548…
07-24 14:20:52	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xdfcd04…
07-24 14:20:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xdd965b…
07-24 12:38:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	22¢	$19	0xd66883…
07-24 12:30:01	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9481f4…
07-24 03:06:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	57	69¢	$39	0x9e52ea…
07-24 02:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x51884c…
07-24 02:58:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0xf47b9b…
07-24 02:32:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x28a6bb…
07-24 02:18:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8b6ad1…
07-22 03:06:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x002f1d…
07-22 03:03:12	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x2a494b…
07-21 08:14:06	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa85ff8…
07-21 08:13:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd8a163…
07-21 05:55:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xeb928d…
07-19 16:04:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x8b960c…
07-19 16:03:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	77	9¢	$7	0xb8eda7…
07-16 08:23:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x40a7ea…
07-16 08:21:56	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x6dfe44…
07-15 03:35:38	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x520c15…
07-11 03:03:25	will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf32d3c…
07-10 00:56:04	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xbabcb6…
07-09 03:23:19	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xde8bd4…
07-08 03:08:40	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xd3fc1b…
07-08 00:34:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9a2b53…
07-07 10:21:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x14c41c…
07-06 10:04:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x815eb7…
07-06 05:19:20	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7b23bd…
07-05 10:50:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc0d6e7…
07-05 03:16:02	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x1fc852…
07-03 10:59:41	us agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc0f382…
07-03 10:59:22	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by september 30 2026 358	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb41e0f…
07-03 10:57:01	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	156	13¢	$20	0xe4f26b…
06-24 14:39:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x1308cf…
06-24 01:42:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x361a61…
06-24 01:42:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x22d5a4…
06-24 01:41:40	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x3a75ac…
06-19 12:11:23	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf38220…
06-19 12:10:14	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa49615…
06-18 08:49:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x84896c…
06-18 02:46:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x28e4ad…
06-17 02:38:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xdf82ed…
06-17 02:37:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdbb2e8…
06-16 13:30:40	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbea5c0…
06-16 01:41:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x629b0a…
06-15 10:06:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x370f17…
06-12 13:12:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xfc394b…
06-12 02:21:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x280b04…
06-11 02:09:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x08047c…
06-11 02:09:12	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa1f069…
06-10 06:35:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc0348d…
06-10 01:26:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xf7a570…
06-08 15:30:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc8e053…
06-08 15:30:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x87b6b0…
06-06 02:12:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xc6dc30…
06-06 02:09:51	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x378365…
06-05 00:21:54	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8560d3…
06-04 01:53:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x93bd32…
06-04 01:48:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x36682f…
06-03 02:37:20	Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	No	BUY	53	69¢	$37	0xe26e53…
05-30 01:58:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xd99c9e…
05-30 01:58:13	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xd0a263…
05-28 15:54:53	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x384d08…
05-28 15:54:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xef805a…
05-28 15:54:18	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x2b6359…
05-28 02:19:39	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x987909…
05-28 02:19:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x947887…
05-26 14:45:17	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4cca3a…
05-26 02:00:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2f829b…
05-26 01:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9c1700…
05-24 00:46:56	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x83b2e3…
05-19 10:32:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf08900…
05-18 09:40:34	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xbc1851…
05-18 09:40:18	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xbe1a51…
05-17 03:46:43	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x331211…
05-15 02:26:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x986d4d…
05-15 02:26:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xcb284b…