Drab-Embryo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

262

lifetime

Volume

$3.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$122

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-24 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$5

Politics

38% 100% +$17

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+33	$25	82¢	$27	+$2	06-06 02:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$22	58¢	$23	+$1	06-10 01:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+34	$16	60¢	$21	+$5	06-17 02:38
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+21	$15	76¢	$16	+$1	06-04 01:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+21	$14	56¢	$12	$-2	05-30 01:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+43	$20	26¢	$12	$-8	06-24 01:42
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	+8	$7	92¢	$7	+$0	06-12 13:12
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	+8	$5	48¢	$4	$-1	06-19 12:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	7	$339	242	309	-67	open	—	01-20 01:18
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	8	$128	106	101	+5	open	—	04-01 01:41
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	6	$122	118	41	+77	open	—	01-28 11:19
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	9	$117	90	86	+4	open	—	03-26 01:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$107	74	51	+23	No	+$17	05-09 02:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	6	$79	62	38	+23	open	—	04-27 03:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	4	$75	44	43	+1	open	—	04-26 01:54
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	4	$75	65	35	+30	open	—	02-08 16:26
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	7	$74	51	51	+0	open	—	02-23 23:40
Iran leadership change by April 30?	5	$72	61	37	+24	open	—	04-30 01:47
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	6	$66	51	51	+0	open	—	03-10 01:35
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$54	38	26	+11	open	—	05-18 09:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$53	57	20	+37	open	—	05-28 15:54
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$51	43	43	+0	open	—	04-01 08:27
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	4	$51	32	28	+4	open	—	04-10 00:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	05-28 02:19
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$50	57	20	+37	open	—	05-24 00:46
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by december 31 696 746 327 188	2	$49	0	49	-49	open	—	01-01 07:49
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	4	$48	64	64	+0	open	—	03-06 01:30
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	3	$46	65	20	+45	open	—	02-25 00:42
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	4	$46	47	39	+9	open	—	03-03 23:54
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	04-01 08:28
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$43	22	26	-4	open	—	02-23 23:59
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	4	$43	29	24	+5	open	—	05-28 15:54
will russia capture all of kupiansk by march 31	5	$40	6	37	-31	open	—	02-12 01:52
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	3	$39	45	22	+22	open	—	05-01 02:41
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	1	$37	53	0	+53	open	—	06-03 02:37
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	03-16 12:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$35	43	0	+43	open	—	02-24 00:00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$34	0	36	-36	open	—	06-17 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:39:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x1308cf…
06-24 01:42:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x361a61…
06-24 01:42:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x22d5a4…
06-24 01:41:40	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x3a75ac…
06-19 12:11:23	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf38220…
06-19 12:10:14	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xa49615…
06-18 08:49:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x84896c…
06-18 02:46:46	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x28e4ad…
06-17 02:38:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xdf82ed…
06-17 02:37:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xdbb2e8…
06-16 13:30:40	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbea5c0…
06-16 01:41:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x629b0a…
06-15 10:06:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x370f17…
06-12 13:12:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xfc394b…
06-12 02:21:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x280b04…
06-11 02:09:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x08047c…
06-11 02:09:12	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa1f069…
06-10 06:35:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xc0348d…
06-10 01:26:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xf7a570…
06-08 15:30:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc8e053…
06-08 15:30:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x87b6b0…
06-06 02:12:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xc6dc30…
06-06 02:09:51	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x378365…
06-05 00:21:54	will trump speak to vladimir putin in june	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8560d3…
06-04 01:53:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x93bd32…
06-04 01:48:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x36682f…
06-03 02:37:20	Iran closes its airspace by July 15?	No	BUY	53	69¢	$37	0xe26e53…
05-30 01:58:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xd99c9e…
05-30 01:58:13	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xd0a263…
05-28 15:54:53	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x384d08…
05-28 15:54:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xef805a…
05-28 15:54:18	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x2b6359…
05-28 02:19:39	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x987909…
05-28 02:19:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x947887…
05-26 14:45:17	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4cca3a…
05-26 02:00:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2f829b…
05-26 01:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9c1700…
05-24 00:46:56	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x83b2e3…
05-19 10:32:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf08900…
05-18 09:40:34	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xbc1851…
05-18 09:40:18	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xbe1a51…
05-17 03:46:43	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x331211…
05-15 02:26:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x986d4d…
05-15 02:26:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xcb284b…
05-14 02:33:03	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x2a83fc…
05-14 02:02:38	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x202a80…
05-11 03:36:02	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x691fb7…
05-11 03:35:17	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x5d1e2a…
05-11 01:55:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x3786a3…
05-09 23:06:35	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0x0b7d32…
05-09 23:06:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xb16411…
05-09 02:03:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7f8635…
05-09 02:00:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x08cc02…
05-09 01:59:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa10dff…
05-08 09:17:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	65	16¢	$10	0xe1df56…
05-08 09:16:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x21dae4…
05-08 09:16:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x88c1f5…
05-06 05:43:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x650e60…
05-04 17:19:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x8c3e21…
05-03 03:33:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc38d42…
05-03 03:31:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	59	79¢	$47	0xa995c7…
05-02 02:48:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x3ea65e…
05-02 02:43:54	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xfaf72e…
05-01 02:42:00	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xaa7cfa…
05-01 02:41:42	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x84aba8…
04-30 01:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4a67a2…
04-30 01:48:32	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa5b662…
04-30 01:47:00	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5c9df9…
04-27 03:17:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x764a9c…
04-27 03:17:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x26a689…
04-26 01:54:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x25348f…
04-23 01:46:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x5008c6…
04-21 03:15:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x380e84…
04-21 03:15:38	Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x81413d…
04-21 03:15:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x1565c3…
04-21 03:14:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x47d9c5…
04-17 02:04:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x267464…
04-17 02:04:10	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x3dc4bd…
04-15 16:17:58	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xa7a0b1…
04-15 16:17:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x48aa1f…
04-14 00:51:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x63a0f8…
04-14 00:50:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5e78fe…
04-11 02:04:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x189eea…
04-10 00:56:29	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xa4c15e…
04-10 00:56:05	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2d8e8e…
04-08 10:56:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xffb8c8…
04-08 10:55:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x7c4e74…
04-08 02:51:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3fb729…
04-06 15:55:17	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1cc594…
04-06 15:55:03	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x391f03…
04-06 05:02:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xdb6ca1…
04-06 05:01:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb8653c…
04-06 04:58:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x865e9c…
04-03 00:57:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x9a8c63…
04-02 02:54:33	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x8b0b79…
04-02 02:53:17	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x196f1d…
04-01 13:01:09	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x57c4db…
04-01 08:28:11	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x080d6f…
04-01 08:27:49	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x50e536…
04-01 01:43:57	will russia enter borova by march 31	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc16f01…