Careless-Implementation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.6%

Resolved

Trades

318

lifetime

Volume

$7.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-24 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

51% 25% $-2

Other

30% 0% $-0

Tech

9% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$649	330	330	+0	open	—	04-16 06:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	5	$572	300	300	+0	No	$-1	05-04 15:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$492	250	250	+0	open	—	04-16 08:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$479	240	240	+0	No	$-0	05-11 10:18
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$436	220	220	+0	open	—	04-16 04:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-03 14:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 18:25
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 09:44
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	6	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 06:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$190	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 09:57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 16:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$182	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 11:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	6	$158	106	56	+50	open	—	05-12 10:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	6	$146	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 16:09
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	2	$142	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 01:56
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	3	$140	70	70	+0	No	$-0	05-11 13:57
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$112	120	120	+0	open	—	07-10 06:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	5	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	05-22 09:33
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	7	$88	80	80	+0	open	—	05-14 11:26
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	3	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	05-12 09:26
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	07-14 07:55
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	1	$86	0	100	-100	open	—	05-22 05:53
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	5	$78	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 18:31
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	05-28 02:19
will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	4	$71	40	40	+0	open	—	07-14 08:52
will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	10	$60	70	70	+0	open	—	07-11 09:16
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$58	232	0	+232	open	—	07-02 09:46
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$54	31	31	+0	open	—	04-24 08:30
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-12 06:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	5	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	05-12 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 12:31:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x509dda…
07-24 12:29:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 24 20260723195748423	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x097d21…
07-24 12:24:27	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x8fb366…
07-24 12:23:54	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xdea2c2…
07-14 09:39:07	will mike trout record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249818	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x13f38d…
07-14 09:35:58	will mike trout record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249818	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x1c4820…
07-14 09:35:35	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xc56522…
07-14 09:35:23	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	Yes	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0xccf33a…
07-14 09:35:08	will mike trout record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249818	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2df627…
07-14 09:34:23	will otto lopez record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249842	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe92c5a…
07-14 09:33:31	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xcb031f…
07-14 09:16:32	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x64b7ac…
07-14 09:16:14	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6ba5ab…
07-14 09:15:01	will shea langeliers record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249814	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xadae72…
07-14 09:14:28	will freddie freeman record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249831	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x74bdba…
07-14 08:52:32	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xfbfe6f…
07-14 08:50:23	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x2cd95f…
07-14 08:24:25	trump alleges foreign election interference by july 16 20260714012947569	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x9d6e15…
07-14 08:21:19	trump alleges foreign election interference by july 16 20260714012947569	No	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xb7eb9a…
07-14 08:21:19	trump alleges foreign election interference by july 16 20260714012947569	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x8ee0b2…
07-14 08:21:10	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x984a68…
07-14 08:20:08	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x74bd9c…
07-14 08:20:07	will jd gaming qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715574	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf07ffa…
07-14 08:19:59	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xb08be8…
07-14 08:19:14	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xa523a5…
07-14 08:18:53	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x49864e…
07-14 08:17:58	will jd gaming qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715574	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x377569…
07-14 08:17:29	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0x239090…
07-14 08:17:05	will cj abrams record a hit at the 2026 mlb all star game 20260714022249834	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3913f8…
07-14 08:16:43	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x61400b…
07-14 08:16:32	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xfc0ff2…
07-14 08:16:08	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x009504…
07-14 07:55:58	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x9475d7…
07-14 07:54:53	us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x8915c0…
07-11 09:27:19	will dragon ranger gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409494	U 2.5	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x4d4a8d…
07-11 09:18:50	will dragon ranger gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409494	U 2.5	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xdf82ba…
07-11 09:18:19	will tyloo win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409487	O 3.5	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xefd74c…
07-11 09:17:38	will nova esports win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409490	U 1.5	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xaa82a6…
07-11 09:17:26	will nova esports win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409490	O 1.5	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x9f7004…
07-11 09:16:56	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xcda2e4…
07-11 09:16:40	will tyloo win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409487	O 3.5	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xad5529…
07-11 09:13:14	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8e93d7…
07-11 09:06:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xd67a74…
07-11 09:01:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x723f2d…
07-11 08:58:28	will nova esports win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409490	U 1.5	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x6453e0…
07-11 08:58:25	will nova esports win more than 1pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409490	O 1.5	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xacd289…
07-11 08:53:10	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	O 1.5	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xced2e8…
07-11 08:52:55	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x2a4589…
07-11 08:51:38	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	O 1.5	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6db8f3…
07-11 08:51:31	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1b2545…
07-11 08:50:58	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xd53b49…
07-11 08:50:49	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	O 1.5	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x287847…
07-11 08:50:32	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	O 1.5	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x961fa2…
07-11 08:49:53	will jd gaming win more than 2pt5 games in vct 2026 china stage 2 20260710201409489	U 1.5	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfaa973…
07-10 08:16:43	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x563571…
07-10 07:34:10	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	No	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x99ebf2…
07-10 07:27:40	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xad913b…
07-10 07:26:26	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xedb16d…
07-10 07:26:26	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xca0e1e…
07-10 07:26:22	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8c891b…
07-10 07:26:22	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x7c1f3d…
07-10 07:24:49	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x829409…
07-10 06:42:31	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	120	48¢	$58	0x6a6d64…
07-04 02:06:55	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xcdfef6…
07-04 02:06:46	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x1a2c9f…
07-04 02:06:29	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xa85f80…
07-02 12:34:22	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	120	45¢	$54	0xe8e0e3…
07-02 09:46:08	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	232	25¢	$58	0x474a12…
06-30 05:00:07	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343700	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xa41a8c…
06-30 04:59:20	will the announcers say assist during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526260	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x3ef675…
06-30 04:47:31	will the announcers say corner 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343700	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8d1b63…
06-30 04:45:22	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x11b941…
06-30 04:45:13	will the announcers say offside or offsides during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526254	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xcd7323…
06-30 04:39:47	will the announcers say offside or offsides during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526254	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x709fb9…
06-30 04:39:44	will the announcers say offside or offsides during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526254	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x6eab22…
06-30 04:37:40	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0596e9…
06-30 04:32:46	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x8aa181…
06-30 04:30:44	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x99a291…
06-30 04:30:38	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xc10b66…
06-30 04:30:31	will the announcers say pressure 5 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526250	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xe89786…
06-30 04:30:20	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xcef4bb…
06-30 04:30:19	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x11ca84…
06-30 04:30:13	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xefb8dd…
06-30 04:29:13	will the announcers say pressure 5 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526250	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x5a8fad…
06-30 04:29:08	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xe8a620…
06-30 04:29:07	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe25d08…
06-30 04:25:34	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xfe1549…
06-30 04:24:53	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa05e23…
06-30 04:18:52	will the announcers say assist during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526260	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xfe2825…
06-30 04:11:40	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x24e6d7…
06-30 04:11:16	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x59fda9…
06-30 04:11:14	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xf52458…
06-30 04:11:14	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x7386cc…
06-30 04:11:14	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3fa05e…
06-30 04:11:14	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x1d8afc…
06-30 04:09:34	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7737c7…
06-13 05:26:27	ibanez 20260609165807830	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x0ff189…
06-13 05:26:19	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xe31897…
06-13 05:25:28	world cup single match yellow cards record broken 20260608181825534	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xb16da0…
06-13 05:19:12	ibanez 20260609165807830	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xdbb684…