Rash-Cappuccino — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$938

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved

115

Trades

661

lifetime

Volume

$133.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$202

Open exposure

$7.22K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-08 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

58% 57% -$6,340

Politics

39% 51% +$1,930

Crypto

3% 31% +$204

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-6,289	-$5,833	98¢	$-6160	-$327	06-05 11:49
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,097	$764	12¢	$762	-$2	09-23 05:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-215	-$174	96¢	$-206	-$32	04-29 09:13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+10,019	$602	1¢	$55	-$547	08-27 02:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	+600	$66	6¢	$36	-$30	10-08 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	14	$23.7K	9,533	15,822	-6,289	open	—	06-05 11:49
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	8	$5.0K	4,823	2,572	+2,251	Yes	+$2,073	06-15 02:43
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	19	$4.8K	2,623	2,623	+0	No	+$462	06-01 07:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$4.6K	2,536	2,536	+0	No	+$422	04-01 07:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	39	$4.6K	3,237	3,237	+0	Yes	+$605	06-15 02:40
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	13	$4.6K	2,452	2,452	+0	No	+$226	04-28 04:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	16	$4.5K	10,236	10,236	+0	No	-$4,249	07-19 13:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$4.3K	4,565	0	+4,565	No	+$235	05-18 05:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$4.3K	2,659	2,659	+0	open	—	08-04 11:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$4.0K	4,176	4,176	+0	No	+$391	07-06 03:47
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	6	$3.7K	2,002	2,002	+0	No	+$224	06-08 02:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-27 15:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	21	$3.4K	22,934	22,934	+0	No	+$247	06-03 09:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	9	$3.3K	3,519	0	+3,519	No	+$175	04-29 02:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	17	$3.1K	8,151	8,151	+0	No	-$1,939	08-29 07:31
will lorenzo musetti win the 2026 australian open	2	$2.8K	1,431	1,431	+0	No	+$13	01-28 08:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$177	05-10 13:21
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	3	$2.5K	2,364	1,504	+860	No	-$5	07-06 03:47
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	23	$2.3K	1,186	1,186	+0	No	+$32	04-09 06:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	9	$2.3K	1,463	4,210	-2,747	Yes	-$1,199	05-27 06:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	14	$2.2K	6,306	6,306	+0	No	-$2,048	07-10 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	6	$2.2K	1,143	1,143	+0	No	+$14	06-02 02:52
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	28	$2.0K	1,442	1,442	+0	No	+$819	04-11 01:36
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	7	$1.8K	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$132	03-23 09:01
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	11	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$226	03-16 03:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	16	$1.5K	7,051	7,051	+0	No	-$185	08-06 03:04
will ben shelton win the 2026 australian open	2	$1.4K	1,451	0	+1,451	No	+$21	01-28 08:28
will alex de minaur win the 2026 australian open	1	$1.4K	1,415	0	+1,415	No	+$16	01-26 03:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,322	1,322	+0	Yes	-$890	06-15 02:47
will daniil medvedev win the 2026 australian open	1	$1.4K	1,399	0	+1,399	No	+$42	01-21 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 02:49:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0xdde153…
10-08 02:46:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,098	2¢	$66	0x10d3d3…
09-23 05:44:13	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,093	15¢	$164	0x99a255…
09-23 05:43:40	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,503	11¢	$164	0x6f624b…
09-08 08:24:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	395	9¢	$36	0x1a240a…
08-29 07:31:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	700	12¢	$84	0x441ed7…
08-29 07:31:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$80	0x92eeda…
08-27 02:40:42	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$74	0x2400d9…
08-21 04:45:03	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$22	0xa3f0ea…
08-21 04:44:13	us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x52d765…
08-21 04:42:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	670	12¢	$80	0xc70b01…
08-21 04:41:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	2,000	5¢	$100	0x742a9f…
08-21 04:38:25	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$5	0x0d7808…
08-20 01:20:30	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,150	5¢	$107	0x055eaf…
08-20 01:19:18	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5,146	2¢	$116	0x300ae8…
08-19 14:03:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	4,426	12¢	$531	0x84cce2…
08-19 14:00:46	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x70a021…
08-19 13:38:06	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xef46d3…
08-19 13:37:54	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x1744a5…
08-19 13:37:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xaa0573…
08-19 13:37:19	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x7bca7d…
08-19 13:37:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xa8642f…
08-19 13:37:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x5fb0b1…
08-19 13:37:18	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x595785…
08-19 13:37:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xdb4b57…
08-19 13:37:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xae4bfc…
08-19 13:37:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x98bb6e…
08-19 13:37:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x39dc83…
08-19 13:37:16	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x0bab36…
08-19 12:34:15	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xd4b1e4…
08-19 12:20:43	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xcef03c…
08-19 12:20:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x68ba03…
08-19 12:19:49	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x87a938…
08-19 11:47:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	244	12¢	$29	0xf39909…
08-19 11:45:45	us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,383	10¢	$138	0xe8c865…
08-19 11:42:40	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	Yes	BUY	260	12¢	$31	0xc0a9b5…
08-19 07:46:13	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	518	7¢	$36	0x0ca591…
08-19 07:43:18	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	176	6¢	$11	0x523611…
08-19 07:42:58	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0551af…
08-19 07:42:36	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	246	5¢	$12	0x439288…
08-19 07:42:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$60	0x8a3bea…
08-18 06:10:28	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5,146	3¢	$136	0x28b699…
08-18 06:09:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,500	9¢	$135	0x79c87b…
08-18 06:04:33	us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,162	9¢	$193	0xb4af72…
08-18 06:03:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	201	96¢	$194	0x42f6e3…
08-18 02:48:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	320	20¢	$64	0xcf7951…
08-18 02:48:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xa6dd74…
08-15 00:23:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	67	23¢	$15	0xe37871…
08-15 00:23:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xf6e02f…
08-15 00:21:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	565	23¢	$130	0x75568f…
08-15 00:21:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	1,000	13¢	$130	0xa18abc…
08-15 00:10:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	292	22¢	$65	0xc31058…
08-15 00:10:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	500	13¢	$65	0x55140e…
08-15 00:09:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	Yes	BUY	89	22¢	$20	0x0fefa0…
08-15 00:09:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	151	13¢	$20	0x574068…
08-11 09:03:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xd00d2e…
08-11 09:02:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	285	82¢	$234	0xded1dd…
08-11 09:00:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x4d4eea…
08-11 09:00:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	296	74¢	$219	0x96c6ff…
08-09 04:40:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xb4a9c9…
08-06 03:07:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x899fd2…
08-06 03:05:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	600	30¢	$180	0x3e1287…
08-06 03:04:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,429	13¢	$186	0xd70b85…
08-05 04:19:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7c9560…
08-05 04:15:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$3	0x73436d…
08-04 11:58:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	148	4¢	$6	0x851000…
08-04 11:56:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xaf0a17…
08-01 02:16:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x467fed…
08-01 02:15:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	296	67¢	$200	0x4d4f14…
08-01 02:12:17	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xd572f7…
08-01 02:10:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	962	16¢	$154	0xc18f9f…
08-01 02:09:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,582	6¢	$155	0xaa0cef…
07-30 02:05:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x06f26b…
07-30 01:44:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x437734…
07-30 01:40:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	530	19¢	$101	0xd1579f…
07-28 01:58:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	89	13¢	$12	0xac0ba0…
07-28 01:57:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0xc68d6c…
07-28 01:51:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	167	73¢	$121	0x922fec…
07-28 01:50:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,027	12¢	$123	0x20767b…
07-24 02:12:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	918	22¢	$202	0x2e6f76…
07-24 02:11:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,013	10¢	$201	0x189e95…
07-20 05:52:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0xc1380c…
07-20 05:32:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,025	23¢	$236	0x4f755f…
07-19 14:19:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x93a1ef…
07-19 14:18:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	750	20¢	$150	0xebe562…
07-19 14:17:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x6b28c5…
07-19 14:16:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	400	20¢	$80	0x3441f8…
07-19 13:55:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,139	10¢	$114	0xd0d4b7…
07-19 13:46:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	502	10¢	$50	0x579aa8…
07-19 13:46:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5,005	1¢	$50	0xf76f60…
07-19 13:18:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x8d329b…
07-19 13:18:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5,005	1¢	$50	0x797eba…
07-16 02:42:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0xb96705…
07-15 10:27:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	270	11¢	$30	0x3dbdac…
07-15 08:31:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x87c55e…
07-10 17:46:58	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	35	79¢	$27	0x33a9ec…
07-10 17:45:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5,541	1¢	$28	0x835b4c…
07-07 04:58:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x4fad3d…
07-07 04:57:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x2034f8…
07-07 04:46:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0xc30d02…