Frightened-Exploration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

3,143

lifetime

Volume

$157.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-10 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

41% 0% $-1,032

Tech

7% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

3% 20% $-462

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$7.1K	5,750	10,001	-4,251	open	—	05-23 09:32
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	9	$6.4K	3,403	3,403	+0	open	—	07-06 23:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	53	$5.6K	5,818	5,818	+0	open	—	07-01 12:01
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	40	$5.2K	12,164	11,368	+796	open	—	04-29 01:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	26	$4.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-01 10:44
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$4.8K	5,547	5,547	+0	open	—	07-07 20:29
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	64	$4.6K	11,836	0	+11,836	open	—	08-10 14:50
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	14	$4.4K	163	4,651	-4,488	open	—	06-19 19:52
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	35	$4.1K	3,060	3,059	+0	open	—	06-25 18:10
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	39	$3.9K	2,675	2,862	-187	open	—	05-30 23:43
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	15	$3.4K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	07-02 15:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	12	$2.7K	11,499	1,500	+10,000	open	—	05-26 18:44
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	21	$2.7K	2,217	2,217	+0	open	—	06-17 22:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	17	$2.6K	29,600	30,600	-1,000	open	—	06-17 07:48
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	5	$2.6K	1,914	1,914	+0	open	—	06-17 13:59
starmer out by july 31 2026	8	$2.5K	1,505	1,505	+0	open	—	06-20 22:03
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	107	$2.4K	3,544	3,544	+0	open	—	03-16 12:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	35	$2.3K	9,661	10,000	-339	open	—	05-23 09:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	22	$2.3K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-22 13:12
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	38	$2.2K	2,083	1,027	+1,056	open	—	06-12 11:18
starmer out by june 22 2026	8	$2.1K	1,554	1,354	+200	open	—	06-22 08:15
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	10	$2.1K	2,320	2,320	+0	open	—	05-18 23:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$2.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-13 09:27
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	89	$2.0K	24,500	11,338	+13,161	open	—	01-30 16:35
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	29	$1.9K	1,947	1,281	+667	open	—	05-15 22:51
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	15	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-25 03:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	7	$1.6K	1,114	1,024	+90	open	—	06-14 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	11	$1.5K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-21 18:45
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-12 08:58
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	11	$1.4K	2,482	0	+2,482	open	—	02-28 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:50:40	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0x489996…
08-10 13:31:48	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	1,024	42¢	$430	0xac4509…
08-10 13:22:18	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xbf44da…
08-10 13:19:15	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	47	41¢	$19	0xef4800…
08-10 13:05:21	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	133	41¢	$55	0x299f15…
08-10 13:03:19	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb48137…
08-10 13:02:30	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x5a0b68…
08-07 06:55:16	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	1,274	35¢	$446	0xc3cde3…
08-07 04:39:13	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2476e5…
08-07 04:24:10	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1393b0…
08-07 04:04:37	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe6db51…
08-07 03:52:54	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc271ae…
08-07 03:39:55	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfb5b88…
08-07 03:39:46	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2f4fea…
08-07 03:28:51	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x293b62…
08-07 03:24:48	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc47260…
08-07 03:23:31	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe33575…
08-07 02:56:10	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc1828d…
08-07 02:47:16	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9cc133…
08-07 02:43:16	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x01db48…
08-07 02:30:27	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4b203d…
08-07 02:28:07	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x48ecf0…
08-07 02:24:03	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf017e6…
08-07 02:21:58	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	97	35¢	$34	0x5d69c8…
08-07 02:21:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x03b415…
08-07 02:15:34	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x70f31f…
08-07 02:12:45	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xba99d2…
08-07 02:10:19	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x89aeca…
08-07 02:01:09	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x366e6d…
08-07 01:55:55	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x313799…
08-07 01:41:54	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5e2ce2…
08-07 01:23:18	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3ad542…
08-07 01:01:02	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x383e24…
08-07 00:55:57	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa8b696…
08-07 00:55:47	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x866dce…
08-07 00:55:26	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0x6c2226…
08-07 00:55:26	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x1c4c12…
08-07 00:55:23	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x68cb83…
08-07 00:55:23	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x50d9e3…
08-06 22:28:44	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x96811c…
08-06 22:28:41	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa4fd10…
08-06 22:28:41	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x008daa…
08-06 22:28:38	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf2d109…
08-06 22:28:36	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x014366…
08-06 22:00:23	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1ca95b…
08-06 21:31:57	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x5ef308…
08-06 21:31:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x68c0fb…
08-06 21:31:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x351e01…
08-06 21:31:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x2de081…
08-06 21:31:48	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xeb34ca…
08-06 21:31:48	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x2569e3…
08-06 16:05:20	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb4c7a6…
08-06 16:05:14	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x989720…
08-06 16:05:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xfd03d1…
08-06 16:05:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xad0eb9…
08-06 16:05:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xa802f9…
08-06 16:05:12	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x157d3a…
08-06 16:05:09	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x97d49d…
08-06 16:05:09	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8ce7cd…
08-06 16:05:09	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x830b4b…
08-06 12:17:18	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	2,281	38¢	$867	0x5d8357…
08-06 12:15:00	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	588	38¢	$223	0xced007…
08-06 11:54:14	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x9c40a5…
08-06 11:48:50	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	5,130	39¢	$2,001	0x1d02ce…
07-19 21:53:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	48	90¢	$44	0x21772b…
07-19 21:53:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	SELL	52	90¢	$46	0xf6e743…
07-19 21:19:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x217fda…
07-19 21:17:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xd376dc…
07-10 20:44:31	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x5a62aa…
07-09 23:19:25	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	SELL	323	98¢	$315	0x0e462c…
07-07 20:29:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5,547	0¢	$6	0x476966…
07-06 23:13:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3,786	87¢	$3,294	0x74c3be…
07-06 23:08:37	Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?	No	SELL	3,403	95¢	$3,217	0x7e70fc…
07-06 22:56:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x9ee5f0…
07-06 22:53:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	502	87¢	$437	0x1841ac…
07-06 22:50:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xf63295…
07-06 21:16:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	259	77¢	$200	0xf34ea0…
07-05 23:10:01	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xff9d1a…
07-05 23:09:19	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc64d9b…
07-05 23:03:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 7	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf797b6…
07-04 18:03:29	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	506	60¢	$304	0x9670db…
07-04 17:55:43	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x083125…
07-03 23:05:22	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	214	3¢	$6	0x8df3f6…
07-03 06:59:31	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0xb55850…
07-03 04:12:38	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x5643b8…
07-03 02:52:43	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals johan manzambi gte1	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x23f2fd…
07-03 01:25:02	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xdd2408…
07-02 15:48:47	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x30c779…
07-02 15:39:19	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x614106…
07-02 15:38:28	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7b38e4…
07-02 15:17:19	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xebc258…
07-02 15:17:05	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x524086…
07-02 15:11:28	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xc488c3…
07-02 15:08:23	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x23b61f…
07-02 13:43:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	379	100¢	$379	0x2c804b…
07-02 13:43:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x5e92a9…
07-02 12:43:59	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x45130c…
07-02 12:32:38	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x12025e…
07-02 12:27:58	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x735665…
07-01 12:38:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	197	2¢	$4	0x1c443c…