Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.58K
Unrealized P&L
-$570
Hit rate
52.0%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
252
5,186 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$14.4K
$235.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$3.43K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-29 15:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Other
44% 40% -$3,801
Politics
36% 49% +$5,135
Tech
13% 59% +$11,164
Sports
5% 24% -$6,622
Crypto
3% 23% -$961
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,000 $1,120 11¢ $1.1K -$70 10-06 15:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $920 94¢ $935 +$15 10-24 01:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $475 18¢ $355 -$120 06-22 11:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +800 $163 34¢ $273 +$110 10-22 15:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,500 $344 16¢ $244 -$100 07-05 13:09
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +550 $126 32¢ $173 +$48 10-22 15:04
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $101 5¢ $98 -$3 07-02 09:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,000 $161 10¢ $95 -$66 05-24 20:20
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,001 $337 1¢ $65 -$272 08-15 00:38
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? Yes +352 $102 14¢ $48 -$55 10-25 04:43
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +10,001 $248 0¢ $30 -$218 08-26 14:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,803 $20 2¢ $30 +$10 10-28 04:21
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes -2,000 -$180 1¢ $-29 +$151 05-13 20:14