Threadbare-Pinot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$302

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-12 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	25	$47	43	43	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	13	$23	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	9	$20	27	27	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	6	$18	13	9	+5	open	—	04-30 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	12	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	10	$11	17	6	+11	Up	+$3	05-09 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	10	$10	56	2	+55	Down	$-8	05-12 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	9	$9	14	4	+10	Down	$-1	05-12 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	9	$9	13	0	+13	Down	$-0	05-12 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	8	$9	8	6	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	6	$9	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	7	$8	13	0	+13	Up	$-2	05-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$7	108	0	+108	Up	$-7	05-09 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$7	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	5	$7	54	4	+50	Up	$-1	05-09 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$6	8	2	+6	Up	$-1	05-12 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$6	25	0	+25	Down	$-6	05-12 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-12 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$3	6	5	+1	Up	$-1	05-09 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$3	5	4	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-09 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$3	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 06:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xc26c26…
05-12 15:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xb4094d…
05-12 15:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeeaeb5…
05-12 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xec2ceb…
05-12 15:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xead409…
05-12 15:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xb774cb…
05-12 15:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2b31d6…
05-12 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfa9b9a…
05-12 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x247ce3…
05-12 15:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x3077c9…
05-12 15:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xff2df7…
05-12 15:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe2c759…
05-12 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa547e1…
05-12 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x192844…
05-12 15:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe64a50…
05-12 15:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0cbca1…
05-12 15:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x1d02ab…
05-12 15:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xed115c…
05-12 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb82777…
05-12 15:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x73cbd3…
05-12 15:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd1179f…
05-12 15:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xa93520…
05-12 15:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5bdd9d…
05-12 15:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x895e0e…
05-12 15:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdf304d…
05-12 15:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4109e3…
05-12 15:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa27549…
05-12 14:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x755cdc…
05-12 14:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xac2a45…
05-12 14:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x187a7e…
05-12 14:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x531efa…
05-12 14:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb39f1d…
05-12 14:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3577bc…
05-12 14:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2de204…
05-12 14:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9aa781…
05-12 14:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x92339b…
05-12 14:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa215cc…
05-12 14:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x0b4f81…
05-12 14:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x937d9d…
05-12 14:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x05e052…
05-12 14:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd88157…
05-12 14:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x732f1d…
05-12 14:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x755d14…
05-12 14:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xc26583…
05-12 14:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x174bdd…
05-12 14:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4bbc5d…
05-12 14:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x6b51e8…
05-12 14:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x706cc1…
05-12 14:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x9e46fa…
05-12 14:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2d42c6…
05-12 14:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x4e2899…
05-12 14:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfc84d5…
05-12 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x6fa370…
05-12 14:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9a3842…
05-12 14:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb00e82…
05-12 14:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0bdad8…
05-12 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2eff6a…
05-12 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf09d8e…
05-12 14:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa9b482…
05-12 13:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd91edf…
05-12 13:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x164f9c…
05-12 13:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x80ea7f…
05-12 13:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0498d7…
05-12 13:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5251ef…
05-12 13:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9583d9…
05-12 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x80aec1…
05-12 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x4e2a53…
05-12 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc2344b…
05-12 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5d183b…
05-12 13:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3a9642…
05-12 13:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xc0fbba…
05-12 13:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x096ba2…
05-12 13:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x28d4c1…
05-12 13:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x28e623…
05-12 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe599e4…
05-12 13:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6e32b8…
05-12 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x54ebb8…
05-12 13:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x915487…
05-12 13:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2dded2…
05-12 13:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xbd2328…
05-12 13:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2b6ada…
05-12 13:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8e00f7…
05-12 13:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3cc83d…
05-12 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x31b250…
05-12 13:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd74eef…
05-12 13:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf369c1…
05-12 13:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x77e484…
05-12 13:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd25ff8…
05-12 13:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x05e104…
05-12 13:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x030249…
05-12 13:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x217c83…
05-12 13:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xef76dc…
05-12 13:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6917e9…
05-12 13:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfe9b6e…
05-12 13:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb52347…
05-12 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd20676…
05-12 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc93943…
05-12 13:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x54e4ab…
05-12 13:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xa4309e…
05-12 13:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x89bb65…