Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

36.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$147

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$71

10 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-29 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

88% 53% -$10

Politics

8% — —

Sports

4% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	+444	$44	11¢	$50	+$6	10-24 08:04
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	+25	$1	41¢	$10	+$9	10-29 22:47
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+125	$1	2¢	$2	+$1	10-24 05:50
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	+13	$2	15¢	$2	+$0	10-24 07:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2	$1	77¢	$2	+$1	10-28 02:16
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+31	$1	4¢	$1	+$0	10-24 05:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-24 05:40
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	$0	10-24 05:51
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	+1	$1	86¢	$1	$0	10-24 05:40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+50	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-24 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:47:43	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa3b7fc…
10-29 14:17:28	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 82.5%?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xd928ee…
10-29 14:17:28	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 82.5%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x86e122…
10-28 02:16:54	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3a0ba6…
10-28 02:16:48	Will Persib Bandung win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x17f48c…
10-28 02:16:44	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb6767e…
10-28 02:16:38	CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe57070…
10-28 02:16:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd45884…
10-28 02:16:26	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5b76ac…
10-27 15:22:54	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe76155…
10-26 22:25:38	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x620978…
10-26 06:31:57	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xfce1f8…
10-24 11:40:39	Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5bd93d…
10-24 09:32:27	Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0xda06f5…
10-24 09:31:15	Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x5ace7e…
10-24 09:31:09	Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xb31af5…
10-24 09:31:05	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 82.5%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd73f28…
10-24 09:31:05	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x9b7bcf…
10-24 09:31:05	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 82.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x76749b…
10-24 09:20:35	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x4a4198…
10-24 09:20:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x289298…
10-24 09:20:29	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x17c1db…
10-24 09:20:26	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x83e5d1…
10-24 09:20:23	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x675f3c…
10-24 09:17:20	Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $42B?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe32723…
10-24 09:05:41	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x5858b1…
10-24 08:04:53	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x5987dd…
10-24 08:04:33	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	10¢	$22	0xfb94c0…
10-24 08:04:02	AI bubble burst in 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	10¢	$22	0x225f5c…
10-24 07:11:59	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x4992f7…
10-24 07:05:38	Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x8c8e21…
10-24 05:52:54	Spread: Stanford (-3.5)	NC State	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9c24eb…
10-24 05:51:36	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x72fe28…
10-24 05:51:29	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)	RC Deportivo A Coruña	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x96a834…
10-24 05:51:24	NC State vs. Stanford	Stanford	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb337b4…
10-24 05:51:18	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76fb50…
10-24 05:51:11	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbd6488…
10-24 05:51:06	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7a14d8…
10-24 05:50:48	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x961e0b…
10-24 05:50:44	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xea2fb1…
10-24 05:46:21	Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?	No	BUY	75	14¢	$11	0xa11831…
10-24 05:41:03	Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x3e6f5a…
10-24 05:40:59	Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x68f696…
10-24 05:40:53	Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x249056…
10-24 05:40:47	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x43e778…
10-24 05:40:42	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x71f68e…
10-24 05:40:36	Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6f868a…
10-24 05:40:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x19d3ab…
10-24 05:40:24	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa837a7…
10-24 05:40:20	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1f7ae0…
10-24 05:40:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe2f1d5…
10-24 05:40:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9d9a26…
10-24 05:40:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xb9ff09…
10-24 05:39:59	NC State vs. Stanford: O/U 65.5	Under	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3f5d55…
10-24 05:39:53	NC State vs. Stanford	Stanford	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdf183c…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$72	460	15	+444	open	—	10-24 09:05
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above $16.0B?	2	$15	95	0	+95	open	—	10-24 09:31
Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$9	30	0	+30	Yes	-$9	10-24 09:32
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 82.5% and 85%?	2	$9	170	0	+170	open	—	10-24 09:31
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	10-24 09:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	10-24 09:20
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $44B?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	10-24 11:40
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above $42B?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	10-24 09:17
NC State vs. Stanford	2	$2	2	0	+2	Stanford	+$0	10-24 05:51
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$2	16	16	+0	open	—	10-24 09:20
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$2	7	7	+0	No	$0	10-24 09:20
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?	1	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	10-24 07:11
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?	4	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	10-29 22:47
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	10-24 05:50
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	10-24 05:40
Will Persib Bandung win on 2026-10-28?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	10-28 02:16
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	10-24 05:40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	10-24 05:40
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$1	31	0	+31	open	—	10-24 05:41
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	10-28 02:16
Spread: Stanford (-3.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	NC State	+$1	10-24 05:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-28 02:16
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	10-24 05:40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	10-24 05:40
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	1	$1	2	0	+2	Trail Blazers	-$1	10-28 02:16
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	+$1	10-28 02:16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 2.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	+$1	10-24 05:51
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Under	-$1	10-28 02:16
Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Under	+$1	10-24 05:40
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)	1	$1	1	0	+1	RC Deportivo A Coruña	+$0	10-24 05:51