(anonymous) 0xe503c2…c122b1 Create alert
bot 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$182
Unrealized P&L
+$203
Hit rate
1.8%
Resolved
166
Trades
2,611
lifetime
Volume
$19.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-23
last 10-04 01:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
69% 3% -$102
Politics
19% 6% -$58
Tech
4% 0% -$22
Crypto
4% 100% +$1
Sports
3% 20% -$2
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No one announced as next James Bond? No +260 $212 86¢ $223 +$11 09-27 20:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +227 $173 93¢ $212 +$39 09-14 22:46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? No +160 $48 81¢ $130 +$82 09-03 11:32
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +150 $118 86¢ $128 +$10 10-02 17:40
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? No +100 $88 100¢ $100 +$11 09-28 18:58
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +100 $87 99¢ $99 +$12 09-03 23:46
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? No +105 $93 93¢ $98 +$4 10-02 08:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +110 $92 88¢ $97 +$5 09-16 07:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +115 $87 74¢ $85 -$2 09-20 17:15
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +82 $69 96¢ $79 +$10 09-21 12:55
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? No +69 $58 99¢ $69 +$10 09-16 21:48
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +104 $74 66¢ $68 -$5 09-01 19:48
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? No +72 $60 94¢ $68 +$8 09-11 07:04
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +70 $48 92¢ $64 +$16 10-03 22:35
Will Petar Musa win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? No +55 $35 99¢ $54 +$19 09-15 07:10
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +55 $49 96¢ $53 +$3 09-11 10:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +50 $10 82¢ $41 +$31 09-15 14:55
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +60 $41 68¢ $41 -$1 09-20 19:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +50 $34 78¢ $39 +$6 09-16 16:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +40 $33 98¢ $39 +$6 09-03 19:43
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +260 $57 14¢ $37 -$20 09-09 20:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +55 $12 66¢ $36 +$24 09-07 05:06
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +104 $31 34¢ $36 +$5 09-01 22:19
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +55 $31 62¢ $34 +$3 09-18 02:49
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +55 $48 61¢ $34 -$14 09-18 03:43
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +50 $11 62¢ $31 +$20 08-31 01:10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? Yes +160 $114 19¢ $30 -$84 09-04 12:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +115 $39 26¢ $30 -$9 09-20 16:47
US recession by end of 2027? No +40 $29 68¢ $27 -$1 09-04 13:35
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No +37 $25 74¢ $27 +$3 10-03 23:32